Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#13 St. Louis Blues 5 vs.
#14 Boston Bruins -170
Wednesday, June 12, 2019 at 8:08pm EDT
TD Garden, Boston
Written by David Hess

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The two greatest words in sports… Game Seven!!! The 2018/19 NHL season will come to a close this evening as the St Louis Blues and the Boston Bruins battle it out in game seven of the Stanley Cup Finals. This contest has a start time of 8:08 pm ET and will take place at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The Bruins forced this game seven with a 5-1 win on Sunday.

Not So Fast St Louis

The St Louis Blues had a 3-2 series lead and game six was at home. They had everything set up to win their first Stanley Cup in the history of the franchise, but the Bruins said “Not So Fast St Louis”. The Bruins won game six by a score of 5-1 and now here we are in a game seven go decide it all. No matter what happens here, the Blues have to be pleased with their play in this series, especially since they were 0-12 in the Stanley Cup Finals in their history.  Game six was 1-0 Boston as the teams headed to the 3rd, but the Bruins outscored the Blues 4-1 in the final frame to walk away with the win. Scoring their lone goal was Ryan O’Reilly, which was his 4th in the last three games and 7th of the postseason. St Louis has two wins here in Boston in this series, so they know how to win here, but the Bruins have still been one of the best home teams in the league all year. This game should be a good one.

Absorbing the loss was Jordan Binnington, who allowed four goals on 31 shot attempts to fall to 15-10 with a 2.52 GAA in the postseason this year. This is his first full year in the league and his first season of playoff hockey. Binnington went 24-6 with a 1.89 GA during the regular season, including 10-4 with a 1.72 GAA on the road. He faced the Bruins once this year during the regular season and he won the game 2-1 in a shootout.

The Blues have gone 30-23 on the road and they have averaged 2.81 gpg and have allowed 2.40 gpg in those games. During the playoffs, St Louis ranks 7th in scoring, putting up 2.84 gpg, 7th in goals allowed at 2.76 gpg, 12th in power play conversions at 16.3%, and 12th in penalty kill at 75.0%.

Bruins Stave Off Elimination

The Boston Bruins had their backs against the wall in games six as they were down 3-2 in the series and were playing on the road. This is a veteran team that didn’t panic and after the game being tight throughout, their experience showed up in the 3rd period where they outscored the blues 4-1 to walk away with a 5-1 win. Boston now has game seven at home and while they have been a strong home team all year, we do note that the Blues have taken two games here in Beantown in this series. The Bruins do have momentum from their win in game six, plus they have the experience factor, but St Louis has stepped up each time we thought they were dead and they will look to do so here as well. Scoring in the game six win was Brad Marchand, which was his 9th of the postseason, Brandon Carlo, which was his 2nd, Karson Kuhlman, which was his 1st, David Pastrnak, which was his 9th, and Zdeno Chara, which was his 2nd.

Snatching up the win was Tuukka Rask, who stopped 28 of the 29 shots that he faced to improve to fall to 15-8 with a 1.93 GAA in the postseason this year and 50-38 with a 2.17 GAA in the postseason in his career. Rask went 27-18 with a 2.48 GAA on the year overall, including 15-8 with a 2.32 GAA here at home and 1-0 with a 1.44 GAA against the Blues. In his career, he has gone 6-6 with a 2.12 GAA against the Blues in the regular season.

The Bruins have gone 36-17 here at home and they have averaged 3.36 gpg and have allowed 2.40 gpg in those games. During the playoffs, Boston is 2nd in scoring, putting up 3.39 gpg, while also ranking 1st in goals allowed at 2.04, 1st in power play conversions at 32.9% and 3rd in penalty kill at 88.4%.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

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I seem to have been wrong every step of the way in this series and anything can happen in a game seven, but I will still go with the Bruins. Their experience showed through in game six and I will look for it to carry over to this one. The Bruins have been one of the best teams in the league all year and Tuukka Rask has been the best goalie in the postseason so far. Jordan Binnington has been tough this year, but he has been a bit weaker in the postseason. He had just six losses in the Regular season, but 10 so far in the playoffs. The Bruins at home in a game seven is the way to go in this one.

Prediction: Boston -165

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will look for this one to go Under the total as this is a game seven and those games tend to be low-scoring in any sport. The Blues have been tough in the crease once Binnington took over midway through the season and Raks has posted a 1.93 GAA in the postseason this year. He has a 2.17 GAA in his career in the postseason, so Rask always brings it in the NHL’s 2nd season. Both teams will be looking for the defense to win this one and we may not see a ton of power play opportunities as the refs will not be willing to call the small ticky-tack foul that they would in the regular season. Look for this one to be a defensive battle.

Prediction: Under 5.5

Written By David Hess

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.