The Michigan Panthers (4-2) travel to Choctaw Stadium to take on the Arlington Renegades (3-3) in a pivotal Week 7 UFL clash.
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Michigan, under head coach Mike Nolan, is coming off its most dominant win of the season, while Arlington, led by Bob Stoops, is seeking to regain early-season momentum after a midseason stumble.
Coming off a dominant win
The Panthers have established themselves as one of the UFL’s most balanced teams, boasting a 4-2 record and sitting atop the USFL Conference. Michigan’s offense has been steady, averaging 23.0 points per game and leaning on a potent ground attack that ranks among the league’s best. In their most recent outing, the Panthers dismantled the DC Defenders 38-14, piling up 213 rushing yards and controlling the line of scrimmage throughout the contest. Quarterback Bryce Perkins has been a dual-threat weapon, highlighted by his 76 rushing yards and three total touchdowns against DC. Running back Toa Taua has emerged as a reliable workhorse, notching 94 yards and a score on 19 carries in that game.
Defensively, Michigan has been equally impressive, surrendering just 19.0 points per game and holding opponents to 143.6 passing yards and 103.2 rushing yards on average. The Panthers’ ability to limit big plays and dominate time of possession has been a key factor in their success. Their only setbacks this season have come in close contests, and they have shown resilience by responding to losses with strong performances. With efficient quarterback play, a physical rushing attack, and a disciplined defense, Michigan enters this matchup with confidence and momentum.
Trending in the wrong direction
The Arlington Renegades enter the heart of the 2025 UFL season seeking to recapture the dominance that saw them open with a 3-1 record. Led by veteran quarterback Luis Perez-last year’s XFL Championship MVP-the Renegades have showcased an explosive offense, capable of quick-strike touchdowns and creative play-calling. Perez has thrown for 1,145 yards and three touchdowns through five games, making him second in the UFL in passing yards.
Arlington’s passing attack is its clear strength. Perez has developed strong chemistry with playmakers like Deontay Burnett and Sal Cannella, frequently connecting for big plays and red-zone scores. Trick plays and well-timed deep shots have kept defenses guessing, as evidenced by highlight-reel touchdowns to Javonte Payton and South Canelo.
However, consistency remains an issue. After a dominant 33-9 season-opening win, the Renegades have dropped two of their last three, including a narrow 37-33 loss to the DC Defenders. The ground game has shown flashes but struggles to sustain drives, and penalties have stalled momentum at key moments.
Best Bets for Michigan Panthers vs. Arlington Renegades
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Given recent form of both teams, the Michigan Panthers have the edge in this matchup. Michigan’s balanced offense, led by the Bryce Perkins and a resurgent ground game, poses significant challenges for an Arlington defense that has struggled to contain both the run and the pass. The Panthers’ defense, meanwhile, has been among the league’s most reliable units, and their ability to control the clock should limit Arlington’s offensive opportunities.
Expect the Panthers to continue their strong form and cover against Arlington and its struggling offense.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Michigan leads the UFL in scoring, putting up at least 26 points in five of their six games this season and averaging 26 points per game overall. Their offense is efficient, producing 330.6 yards per game and converting nearly half of their third downs, which suggests they can sustain drives and finish with points.
Arlington, while inconsistent, has shown the ability to light up the scoreboard, scoring 30 or more points in Weeks 1, 4, and 5, and averaging 20.3 points per game. When their offense clicks, they’re capable of matching Michigan’s pace. Both teams have playmakers and have combined for 27 touchdowns this season, indicating plenty of scoring potential. With Michigan’s reliable offense and Arlington’s ceiling for big scoring games, this matchup sets up well for the over.
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