Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm Prediction and Picks - June 11, 2025

Author: Liam Keating Last Updated: June 11, 2025 Game Start: 10:00pm EST

It’s the fourth game of the Commissioner’s Cup in the WNBA on Wednesday, June 11. Read our Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm prediction along with our other top WNBA picks. The Lynx are one of two remaining undefeated teams in the league with their 9-0 record. They are currently in first place in the Commissioner’s Cup in the West. Seattle is one game behind Minnesota in the in-season tournament with their 2-1 record while they also have a 5-4 overall record. The tip-off time between the two teams is set for 10 P.M. EST. 

Minnesota's undefeated start continues

Minnesota is 9-0 overall this season. Along with the New York Liberty, they are one of two remaining undefeated teams in the league. In the Commissioner’s Cup, Minnesota is in first place with a 3-0 record. They have won three straight games by double digits entering this outing. 

In their last game, the Lynx defeated Dallas on the road 81-65 on Sunday, June 8. Minnesota led 57-56 at the end of the third quarter, but the Lynx went on a 14-3 run to take the lead and eventual win. Minnesota shot 43.3% from the field and 41.9% from behind the 3-point line in the win. They forced 17 turnovers which led to 24 points for the Lynx. 

Napheesa Collier continues to be one of the best offensive threats in the league. She leads the team with 25.5 points and 8.9 rebounds per game. Courtney Williams is dishing out a team-leading 6.4 assists per game. 

Minnesota is averaging 84.4 points per game which ranks fourth best. They are the third best shooting team in the league making 46.3% from the field and 37.5% from behind the 3-point line. 

On defense, the Lynx are allowing 73.8 points per game which ranks second best. They are forcing their opponents to shoot 39.4% which ranks second best. Minnesota is the best 3-point defensive team in the league allowing 27.8% from behind the arc. 

The Lynx are 4-5 against the spread this season. They are 3-2 against the spread when they have played on the road. Minnesota is 2-2 against the spread when they have been single-digit favorites. The under is 6-3 when Minnesota has played this season. The under is 3-2 when the total has been set at 159 or less. 

There are no injuries listed for the Lynx coming into this game. 

Seattle winners of back-to-back games

Seattle is 5-4 overall this season. They are in sixth place in the overall standings. The Storm are in second place in the West for the Commissioner’s Cup with a 2-1 record. After losing three straight games, the Storm has won back-to-back games entering this matchup. 

In their last game, the Storm defeated Phoenix 89-77 away from home on Saturday, June 7. The Storm closed the game on a 12-5 run to cling on to their lead and secure a big road win. The Storm shot 48.5% from the field and 54.5% from behind the arc. They did turn the ball over 12 times which gave Phoenix 17 points. Skylar Diggins led the team with 26 points on 8-for-18 shooting. 

Diggins leads the team with 17.8 points and 6.4 assists per game. Nneka Ogqumike is grabbing a team-leading 8.7 rebounds per game.

Seattle is averaging 80.3 points per game which ranks eighth in the league. They are shooting 46.3% from the field which ranks second best. The Storm is also second best in 3-point shooting making 37.6% from behind the arc. 

On defense, the Storm are allowing 78.9 points per game which ranks fourth best. They are forcing their opponents to shoot 42.7% from the field which places them seventh. Seattle is also the seventh-ranked 3-point defensive team allowing 32.1% from behind the arc.

Seattle is 5-4 against the spread this season. They are 2-1 against the spread when they have been underdogs. The Storm are 2-3 against the spread when they have played at home. The under is 5-4 when Seattle has played. The under is 3-2 when they have played at home. 

Katie Lou Samuelson is listed as out for this game against Minnesota. 

Best Bets for Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm

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Minnesota continues to be one of the two best teams in the sport. They are one of two remaining undefeated teams, along with the New York Liberty. Thanks to their defense, they have been dominating their opponents. They rank second best in scoring defense while they are also the second best defensive in opponents’ field goal and 3-point percentage. This is going to be a tough game for Seattle as they lack multiple scoring options if Skylar Diggins gets shut down. The Storm are also the seventh-ranked field goal and 3-point defense team as Minnesota’s offense will have a chance to put up points in a hurry. The Lynx have the fourth-best scoring offense as Napheesa Collier continues to be one of the best players in the league.

Take Minnesota to cover. 

Prediction: Minnesota Lynx -4.5

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Minnesota’s defense has been top-tier this season and a reason for their undefeated success so far. They don’t allow easy baskets and they turn their opponents over often. This is going to lead to a low scoring game on Wednesday with Seattle struggling to score points. The Storm do rank just eighth in scoring in the league. The Lynx will be able to shut that side of the game down and turn this into a low scoring matchup. The under is 3-2 when Seattle has played at home. The under is 3-2 when the total has been set at 159 or less for Minnesota games.

Take the under on Wednesday. 

Prediction: Under 154.5
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Author Profile

Liam Keating , "Liam Keating"

Liam Keating is a local sports journalist in the Kansas City metro area where he covers high school athletes. As a former NAIA college athlete, Liam could not stray far from the sports industry as he studied journalism. Liam has covered an array of sports from high schoolers to college athletes to professional soccer. He is excited to showcase his skills in a new arena of work, sports betting. Liam is pumped to join the great team at Winners and Whiners. Follow along for in-depth previews along with killer picks. You can be up-to-date on Liam’s work on twitter at @ liamkeating7