Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever Prediction and Picks - July 10, 2024

Author: Chris King Last Updated: July 10, 2024 Game Start: 12:00pm EST

A pair of Eastern Conference teams trying to gain ground in the WNBA playoff picture do battle on the hardwood in the Hoosier State. The Washington Mystics are on the road as they travel to take on the Indiana Fever on Wednesday afternoon. Washington comes in off a 74-67 road loss to Minnesota in their previous contest Saturday, though they did cover the line as a nine-point underdog. Indiana surprised New York, 83-78, at home Saturday, winning outright as a 10.5-point underdog. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Mystics have won six of the last 10 meetings though the Fever have taken three of the last four matchups, including the last two. The most recent clash was an 88-81 Fever triumph at home on June 19, covering as a five-point favorite.

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Washington Mystics Hoping to Get Back in Win Column

Washington dropped their second straight game and fourth in the last five games as they were dropped by Minnesota on the road Saturday. The Mystics fell to 5-17 on the season and stood last in the Eastern Conference, 12.5 games behind the Liberty for the top spot. They were tied for 11th in the overall standings, four games behind the Sky for the final playoff spot. Against Minnesota, Washington trailed 14-2 out of the gate and was down 11 after the opening quarter before rallying to tie the game at halftime. The Mystics led by two after three quarters but gave up a 7-0 run in the fourth that left them down 65-60 with 6:48 remaining. They never got even again as they went down in defeat. Washington shot 41.7% from the field, including seven of 28 from beyond the arc, and turned the ball over 18 times in the loss. Ariel Atkins and Shatori Walker-Kimbrough each had 15 points to lead the Mystics in a losing effort.

The Mystics are 11th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 78.5 points per contest this season. Washington comes in 12th in the league in rebounding (31.8 boards per game) and is 3rd in assists by handing out 21.9 dimes a night. The Mystics are 7th in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 83 points a contest. Ariel Atkins leads the way for Washington as she averages 14.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. Shakira Austin (11.7 points, 6.8 boards) and Brittney Sykes (11.3 points, five rebounds, 3.7 assists) are secondary scoring options. Karlie Samuelsson, Stefanie Dolson (10.5 points, 4.8 rebounds), Aaliyah Edwards, Julie Vanloo, Myisha Hines-Allen, Shatori Walker-Kimbrough, Jade Melbourne, Emily Engstler and DiDi Richards are key pieces for coach Eric Thibault. Washington is 9th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 42.8% from the floor as a team. The Mystics are fourth in the league in threes per game (9.7) and stand 2nd in the league in three-point percentage (36.3%) on the year. Washington is in the middle of the pack at the charity stripe as they are eighth in the league by sinking 77.3% of their chances this season.

Sykes (foot) last played on June 11 and is expected to be out through the Olympic break. Austin (hip) hasn’t played since May 31 and has been ruled out for this contest as well. Samuelsson (hand) last was in action on June 23 and remains out here.

Indiana Fever Looking to Stay Hot

Indiana won for the sixth time in their last eight games as they beat the Liberty for the first time in four meetings this season. The Fever entered Tuesday 9-13 and sat third in the Eastern Conference, 8.5 games behind the Liberty for the top spot. They were seventh in the playoff picture, one game ahead of the ninth-place Dream to remain in the playoff picture. Against New York, Indiana scored the game’s first eight points and led by as many as 12 in the opening quarter. The lead was six after the first quarter and was trimmed to one at the half, before getting outscored 24-16 in the third quarter to trail by seven. Indiana still trailed by seven with 4:21 remaining before closing the game on a 15-3 run to earn the win. The Fever shot 47.8% from the field, including seven of 24 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 41-31 in the game. Caitlyn Clark had the first triple-double by a rookie in WNBA history with 19 points, 12 rebounds and 13 assists in the win.

The Fever comes into this game 7th in the league in scoring offense with 80.6 points per game. Indiana is eighth in the league in rebounding (34.2 boards per contest) and is 7th in the league in assists with an average of 20 dimes per game. The Fever are 11th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 87.2 points a night. Kelsey Mitchell is one of four players for the Fever averaging in double figures with 16.5 points a night. Caitlin Clark (16.1 points, six rebounds, 7.4 assists), Aliyah Boston (13.5 points, 8.4 rebounds) and NaLyssa Smith (11.5 points, eight rebounds) are solid secondary options on the offensive end. Temi Fagbenle, Kristy Wallace, Katie Lou Samuelsson, Erica Wheeler, Grace Berger, Lexie Hull, Celeste Taylor and Victaria Saxton are looked at to contribute for coach Christie Sides. Indiana is 6th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 43.9% as a team on the year. The Fever are 6th in threes per game (8.5) while standing tied for 4th by hitting 34.6% of their long-range attempts. Indiana is 10th in free throw shooting as they sink 76.3% of their chances at the stripe this season.

The Fever have no injuries to report as of Tuesday afternoon.

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Best Bets for Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever

Full-Game Side Bet

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Washington is still dealing with a variety of injuries that have impacted the team’s depth, especially in the scoring department. Being without Sykes and Austin takes two of the four players that have averaged in double figures out of the mix. Indiana has gotten hot of late with six wins in their last eight games and they are flying high after upending New York Saturday at home. Clark continues to develop and is becoming a more complete player and has helped spark Indiana. With the Mystics struggling and Indiana soaring, you have to look for the Fever to earn the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Indiana Fever -5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Washington has gone over the total in 12 of their 22 games this season. On the road, the Mystics have gone over the mark in six of their 12 road games and three of their last four games overall heading into this contest. Indiana has been a team that tends to be in high-scoring contests as they have gone over the total in 14 of their 22 games this season. The Fever have posted four straight unders heading into this contest though they have gone over the number in six of their nine home games on the year. Both meetings this season have gone over the total with 168 and 169 points, but six of the previous eight fell short of the mark. With Washington sputtering and Indiana playing a little better defensively, this game ends up short of the total.

Prediction: Under 168

Author Profile

Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.