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Jordan Spieth enters Friday at the FedEx St. Jude Championship with considerably more at stake than simply chasing the tournament lead. Spieth began the opening event of the FedExCup Playoffs ranked No. 54 in the season standings, four spots outside the top 50 that will advance to next week's BMW…
A'ja Wilson gets another shot at the Washington Mystics on Thursday night, and Kalshi traders have her primary scoring contract sitting almost exactly at a coin flip. Wilson is currently priced at 51% to score 25 or more points when the Las Vegas Aces host Washington at 10:00 p.m. ET.…
Fernando Mendoza enters his first NFL preseason game already tied at the top of one of the league's most closely watched rookie markets. Kalshi currently gives the Las Vegas Raiders quarterback a **17% chance to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year**, matching Arizona Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love for…
Scottie Scheffler enters the FedEx St. Jude Championship as the clear favorite on Polymarket, but traders are still assigning the world No. 1 only a 14% probability of winning at TPC Southwind. Scheffler's contract currently shows Yes at 15 cents and No at 87 cents, with $1,241 in displayed individual…
The Toronto Blue Jays remain outside the American League playoff picture, but prediction-market traders are becoming noticeably less pessimistic about their chances of getting back into the race. Kalshi now gives Toronto an 18% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, with Yes contracts available at 19 cents and No…
Bitcoin is sitting almost directly on top of one of Kalshi's key short-term price thresholds, with traders giving BTC a 57% chance of being worth at least $63,500 at 5 p.m. EDT Wednesday. The live Bitcoin market also gives BTC a 46% probability of reaching $63,750 or above by the…
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Michael Brennan has surged into the center of the Wyndham Championship title race, with Kalshi giving him a 27% chance to win during Sunday's final round at Sedgefield Country Club. Brennan and Beau Hossler are tied for the lead at 16-under, with Tom Kim one shot behind at 15-under. Kalshi…
Shohei Ohtani enters Friday night with the narrowest of leads in the National League MVP race, holding a 51% chance of winning the award on Polymarket as Pete Crow-Armstrong closes in at 47.6%. The gap has turned what once looked like another Ohtani-controlled awards race into an effective two-player contest.…
PFL Charlotte takes over Bojangles Coliseum on Friday night with Bryan Battle facing Dalton Rosta in the middleweight main event and a live Kalshi market making Dovlet Yagshimuradov the favorite over Simeon Powell in the co-main event. Yagshimuradov carries a 59% chance of defeating Powell in Friday-afternoon Kalshi trading, compared…
Daniel Brown enters Thursday’s opening round as the market leader to win the 2026 Wyndham Championship, with Polymarket giving the English golfer a 26% implied probability of claiming the title at Sedgefield Country Club. Brown sits ahead of Patrick Cantlay and Taylor Moore in the tournament-winner market as the PGA…
Republicans’ chances in Michigan sit at 38% on Kalshi, but Mike Rogers may be undervalued if the state’s Democratic primary produces a broader general-election correction toward moderate voters. Democrats remain favored at 62% to win Michigan’s open Senate seat. The Republican side has nevertheless gained ground in Kalshi’s current market…
Our Sabalenka vs Uchijima predictions strongly favor the world No. 1 when Aryna Sabalenka faces Moyuka Uchijima in the second round of the 2026 National Bank Open in Toronto. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, August 4 on Centre Court, not before 7:00 p.m. ET. Sabalenka received a first-round bye,…
With Harry Kane favored to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or, Kalshi's live award market now gives the Bayern Munich and England striker a 53% implied probability. That makes Kane the clear market leader ahead of Lamine Yamal at 22% and Kylian Mbappé at 10%. The active Ballon d'Or market had…
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