Shohei Ohtani enters Friday night with the narrowest of leads in the National League MVP race, holding a 51% chance of winning the award on Polymarket as Pete Crow-Armstrong closes in at 47.6%. The gap has turned what once looked like another Ohtani-controlled awards race into an effective two-player contest.…

PFL Charlotte takes over Bojangles Coliseum on Friday night with Bryan Battle facing Dalton Rosta in the middleweight main event and a live Kalshi market making Dovlet Yagshimuradov the favorite over Simeon Powell in the co-main event. Yagshimuradov carries a 59% chance of defeating Powell in Friday-afternoon Kalshi trading, compared…

Daniel Brown enters Thursday’s opening round as the market leader to win the 2026 Wyndham Championship, with Polymarket giving the English golfer a 26% implied probability of claiming the title at Sedgefield Country Club. Brown sits ahead of Patrick Cantlay and Taylor Moore in the tournament-winner market as the PGA…

Republicans’ chances in Michigan sit at 38% on Kalshi, but Mike Rogers may be undervalued if the state’s Democratic primary produces a broader general-election correction toward moderate voters. Democrats remain favored at 62% to win Michigan’s open Senate seat. The Republican side has nevertheless gained ground in Kalshi’s current market…

Our Sabalenka vs Uchijima predictions strongly favor the world No. 1 when Aryna Sabalenka faces Moyuka Uchijima in the second round of the 2026 National Bank Open in Toronto. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, August 4 on Centre Court, not before 7:00 p.m. ET. Sabalenka received a first-round bye,…

With Harry Kane favored to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or, Kalshi's live award market now gives the Bayern Munich and England striker a 53% implied probability. That makes Kane the clear market leader ahead of Lamine Yamal at 22% and Kylian Mbappé at 10%. The active Ballon d'Or market had…

The latest Michigan Senate primary odds—expressed through Polymarket contract prices—strongly favor Abdul El-Sayed to win today’s Democratic nomination for the open U.S. Senate seat. At 1:17 p.m. ET on August 4, the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner market gave El-Sayed a 98.4% implied probability. U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens stood at…

Jo Adell trade value has climbed ahead of Monday’s MLB Trade Deadline, with Kalshi traders now giving the Los Angeles Angels outfielder a 66% chance of being dealt. The prediction-market probability is up five points as contenders search a thin market for right-handed outfield power. Eligible new users can enter…

José Soriano trade speculation intensified after the Los Angeles Angels scratched him from Saturday’s scheduled start against the Milwaukee Brewers. Polymarket traders now give the right-hander a 54% chance of being dealt before Monday’s MLB Trade Deadline. The late scratch was described as a precaution tied directly to the uncertainty…

Adley Rutschman trade chances have reached 65% on Kalshi as the Baltimore Orioles listen to offers for their three-time All-Star catcher ahead of Monday’s MLB Trade Deadline. Baltimore is not actively shopping Rutschman, but the club is reportedly willing to consider a major offer while several contenders search for help…

Robbie Ray trade chances reached 88% on Polymarket as his possible final San Francisco Giants start intensified speculation before the MLB Trade Deadline. Ray delivered six strong innings against the San Diego Padres while several contenders continued searching for rotation help. Eligible new users can enter Polymarket promo code WINNERS,…

Luis Arraez trade chances stand at 77% on Kalshi as the San Francisco Giants weigh moving the three-time batting champion before Monday’s MLB Trade Deadline. Arraez is one of the most logical position players available because he is producing at the plate, playing improved defense and approaching free agency. Eligible…

Bitcoin remains one of the busiest categories on prediction-market platforms as traders monitor whether the cryptocurrency will reach new price thresholds before the weekend ends. Polymarket’s current Bitcoin market covers possible highs and lows recorded between July 27 and August 2. Eligible new users can claim a Polymarket welcome bonus…

Saturday’s Major League Baseball schedule features several high-profile matchups stretching into the evening, including the New York Yankees visiting the Chicago Cubs and the Boston Red Sox continuing their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Eligible new customers can enter Kalshi promo code WINNERS and qualify for up to $500…

The Federal Reserve’s next major interest-rate decision is scheduled for September 16, and prediction-market traders are already divided over what policymakers will do. The active Polymarket market currently places a rate increase and no change well ahead of the possible rate-cut outcomes. Eligible new users can claim a Polymarket welcome…