Caitlin Clark Props and Odds at Kalshi vs. Toronto Tempo

Caitlin Clark props and odds are live on Kalshi ahead of Tuesday night's Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo matchup, with traders pricing markets on Clark's points, three-pointers, rebounds and other player outcomes.

Clark enters the 7:00 PM ET game at Scotiabank Arena as the centerpiece of an Indiana team heavily favored by prediction-market traders. The Kalshi Fever vs. Tempo game market currently gives Indiana an 82% chance of winning compared with 18% for Toronto, with more than $600,000 traded.

Clark's individual markets are more competitive. Kalshi currently gives her a 46% chance of scoring at least 25 points, an 80% chance of making at least two three-pointers and a 54% chance of making three or more.

Eligible new users can use Kalshi promo code WINNERS and qualify for up to $500 in bonus credit after completing the current trading requirements. Terms and eligibility requirements apply.

Caitlin Clark Points Odds at Kalshi

Clark's scoring market is one of the most closely balanced player props available for Tuesday's game.

The Kalshi Fever vs. Tempo points market currently gives Clark a 46% chance of scoring at least 25 points.

That makes 25 points a near coin-flip threshold rather than an outcome traders view as either highly likely or unlikely.

Clark is averaging more than 21 points per game this season while continuing to carry a large portion of Indiana's scoring and playmaking workload.

She also enters Tuesday coming off another strong offensive performance against Atlanta.

Clark scored 26 points in Indiana's most recent game and has repeatedly cleared the 25-point mark during the second half of the season.

A 46% probability shows that traders respect Clark's scoring ceiling but are not treating another 25-point game as the most likely outcome.

Toronto's defensive approach will play a major role.

The Tempo can attempt to force the ball out of Clark's hands and make Indiana's other scorers beat them, but aggressive attention on Clark can also create open passing lanes and transition opportunities.

Caitlin Clark Three-Pointer Props

Clark's three-point markets carry some of the clearest probabilities among her available Kalshi props.

The Kalshi Clark three-pointer market currently gives her an 80% chance of making at least two threes against Toronto.

Her probability drops to 54% for three or more made three-pointers.

That difference illustrates how quickly player-prop probabilities can change as the threshold increases.

Two made threes is being treated as the clear favorite.

Three made threes is much closer to a toss-up.

Clark's range creates opportunities that most guards do not have.

She can generate three-point attempts in transition, off ball screens and several feet behind the normal three-point line.

That also makes her three-point production volatile.

A player taking difficult high-volume attempts can produce six made threes one night and finish with only one or two in another game without a major change in role.

For traders looking specifically at Clark's shooting, the 3+ contract is therefore one of Tuesday's most competitive markets.

Caitlin Clark Rebound Odds vs. Toronto

Kalshi also has multiple Clark rebound thresholds available for the Fever vs. Tempo matchup.

The Kalshi player rebound market gives Clark a 96% chance of recording at least two rebounds.

Her 4+ rebound probability is much more competitive at approximately 63%.

Clark is averaging just under four rebounds per game this season, making four boards a natural threshold for traders evaluating her typical production.

Guard rebounding can be especially sensitive to game flow.

Long missed shots can produce rebounds away from the basket, while Indiana can also use Clark to begin transition possessions immediately after she secures the ball.

A fast game with plenty of perimeter attempts can create more opportunities.

A slower game or a matchup dominated by interior rebounds can reduce them.

Caitlin Clark Assists Remain a Major Part of Her Value

Scoring markets may attract the most attention, but passing remains one of Clark's most consistent strengths.

Kalshi has a separate Fever vs. Tempo assists market for Tuesday's matchup.

Clark is averaging close to eight assists per game this season and continues to function as Indiana's primary creator.

Her ability to generate assists is closely tied to how Toronto chooses to defend her.

If the Tempo send additional defenders at Clark, Indiana can create four-on-three situations behind the initial pressure.

That opens opportunities for Clark to find Aliyah Boston around the paint or shooters such as Kelsey Mitchell and Sophie Cunningham around the perimeter.

If Toronto instead defends Clark primarily one-on-one, she may have more opportunities to hunt her own shot.

That interaction between points and assists makes Clark's prop markets connected rather than completely independent.

Indiana Fever Favored at 82% Against Toronto

Kalshi traders are far more confident about the team result than most of Clark's individual prop thresholds.

Indiana currently carries an 82% implied probability of beating Toronto.

The Tempo sit at approximately 18%.

More than $600,000 has already been traded in the game winner market.

Indiana enters the matchup at 23-12 and near the top of the Eastern Conference standings.

Toronto is 10-23 and has struggled through a difficult stretch during its inaugural season.

The teams have already met once this year.

Indiana defeated Toronto 113-91 on June 16.

Clark was central to that game as a distributor, recording 14 assists.

That previous matchup helps explain why her playmaking markets are worth monitoring along with her scoring props Tuesday.

Indiana has multiple ways to create offense against Toronto, and Clark does not necessarily need a massive scoring night for the Fever to control the game.

Why Caitlin Clark's 25+ Points Market Is So Close

A 46% chance of reaching 25 points may initially look low for a player with Clark's scoring reputation.

The threshold is still above her season scoring average.

Clark is averaging approximately 21.5 points per game this season.

Getting from an average around 21 or 22 to 25 requires an above-average scoring performance even for an elite offensive guard.

The market also has to account for Indiana's balance.

Kelsey Mitchell remains a major scorer.

Boston can control stretches of games inside.

Other Fever players can absorb more shots when Clark draws extra defensive attention.

There is also the possibility that Indiana builds a substantial lead.

With the Fever priced at 82% to win, a lopsided game could reduce Clark's late-game minutes or shot volume.

That creates an unusual relationship between the team and player markets.

Indiana can be a heavy favorite while Clark's 25-point probability remains below 50%.

Why 3+ Clark Threes Is Nearly a Coin Flip

The 54% probability for Clark to make at least three three-pointers stands out as one of the night's most balanced markets.

Kalshi traders are giving the outcome only a slight edge toward Yes.

Clark has demonstrated the ability to clear the number comfortably.

She has multiple games this season with four, five or more made threes.

But three-point shooting naturally produces more variance than many other statistics.

A strong process does not guarantee a strong result.

Clark can create good looks and still finish below three makes.

She can also hit several difficult attempts that turn a normal shooting night into a huge one.

That makes 3+ threes a useful snapshot of how prediction-market traders are evaluating Clark's shooting outlook against Toronto.

Two or more is heavily favored at 80%.

Three or more is essentially a coin flip.

Fever vs. Tempo Game Markets at Kalshi

Clark's props are only part of Kalshi's market for Tuesday night's game.

Traders can also take positions on the game winner, spreads, team totals, quarter markets and first-half outcomes.

Indiana is currently 82% to win outright.

Kalshi also gives the Fever a 73% chance of winning the first half.

Indiana is being priced as the stronger team across most of the major game markets.

That does not mean every Fever player prop automatically carries a high probability.

Player statistics depend on role, minutes, shooting efficiency and how the game unfolds.

A dominant Indiana win could come through Clark scoring 30 points.

It could also come through Clark creating shots for teammates and finishing closer to her season average.

That distinction is important when comparing a team win probability with individual player thresholds.

Caitlin Clark's 2026 Season

Clark has continued to develop as one of the WNBA's leading offensive players.

The WNBA lists her at approximately 21.5 points, 7.9 assists and 3.8 rebounds per game this season.

Those averages place each of Tuesday's major Kalshi thresholds into useful context.

The 25+ points contract requires Clark to score above her normal average.

The 4+ rebounds contract sits almost directly on her typical production.

Her three-point markets depend more heavily on shooting volume and efficiency on a single night.

Clark has also produced several major performances during the summer.

She recorded a triple-double with 26 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists against Portland on July 31.

Earlier in July, she scored 45 points with 10 assists against Seattle.

Those ceiling performances are one reason prediction markets can remain competitive even when individual thresholds sit above her season averages.

Toronto Has Few Options for Defending Clark

Toronto's challenge is not simply stopping Clark from scoring.

The Tempo have to decide what type of production they are willing to concede.

Playing Clark straight up can give her opportunities to attack off the dribble and create three-point attempts.

Sending two defenders can increase her passing opportunities.

Switching ball screens can create mismatches.

Playing drop coverage can open pull-up shots.

Toronto rookie Kiki Rice has emerged as one of the Tempo's more promising perimeter defenders and could see important possessions against Indiana's guards.

The Tempo may also rotate several defenders onto Clark rather than asking one player to handle the assignment all night.

Whatever approach Toronto chooses should affect multiple Kalshi markets simultaneously.

How Caitlin Clark Props Work on Kalshi

Kalshi player props are structured as event contracts rather than traditional sportsbook wagers.

Each contract asks whether a specific statistical outcome will occur.

For example, the Clark 3+ three-pointers contract resolves Yes if she makes at least three threes in the game.

A contract priced near 54 cents corresponds roughly with a 54% implied probability.

If a Yes contract ultimately wins, it settles at $1.

If the outcome does not occur, the Yes contract settles at $0.

The same basic structure applies to points, assists and rebounds.

Prices can move before the game as traders place orders and react to lineup information, injury news and other developments.

They can also change as available liquidity changes.

The percentages should therefore be treated as live market snapshots rather than fixed odds.

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Eligible new users can use Kalshi promo code WINNERS when opening an account.

The current Winners & Whiners offer allows qualifying new users to receive up to $500 in bonus credit after completing the promotional requirements.

There is no minimum qualifying deposit requirement under the current promotion.

Eligible users must complete identity verification and trade at least $25 on Kalshi Predictions within 30 days of opening the account.

1. Create an eligible new Kalshi account.
2. Enter promo code WINNERS during registration.
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5. Trade at least $25 on Kalshi Predictions within 30 days.
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The exact bonus amount varies.

Additional eligibility, trading and expiration requirements apply.

Users should review the current promotion before depositing or trading.

Prediction-market trading involves financial risk, including the possibility of losing the full cost of a losing contract.

Caitlin Clark Props and Odds Outlook

Kalshi traders see several different paths for Clark against Toronto.

Her 2+ three-pointer contract is one of the strongest Clark outcomes at approximately 80%.

Three or more threes is much tighter at 54%.

Four or more rebounds sits around 63%.

The 25+ points contract is priced at 46%, making it one of the most competitive Clark markets on Tuesday's board.

Meanwhile, Indiana is a heavy 82% favorite to win the game.

Those numbers paint a clear picture.

Traders strongly expect the Fever to win, but there is much less agreement about exactly how Clark will produce along the way.

She could lead Indiana with another big scoring performance.

She could create offense primarily as a passer.

She could do both.

With several Clark markets sitting close to 50%, Tuesday night's matchup offers multiple live measures of what traders expect from the Fever star against the Tempo.