Upcoming Free Picks

UFC 232: Andre Ewell vs. Nathaniel Wood Betting Prediction

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

UFC 232 looks like a great card with many betting opportunities. Coming out of one of Europe’s top MMA promotions, Cage Warriors, Nathaniel “The Prospect” Wood aims to work his way to the top of the UFC’s stacked bantamweight division. Trying to stop him will be Andre Ewell, a rangy boxing stylist coming off a win over former champion, Renan Barao.

How Good is Nathaniel Wood?

Under the tutelage of former contender, Brad Pickett, Wood looked dominant on the regional circuit and managed to secure a submission victory in his UFC debut against Brazilian veteran, Johnny Eduardo.

However, Wood had to battle through adversity in round one against Eduardo, absorbing a number of unanswered strikes. It was a bizarre decision by the Brazilian muay thai striker to shoot a takedown in round two, as this allowed Wood to latch onto a D’Arce choke and finish the fight. Wood is able to secure submissions if the opportunity presents itself, but predominantly he likes to stay standing.

Wood is a competent boxer in the pocket, throwing fluid combinations and packing legitimate power for a bantamweight. He also has some nasty low kicks (especially to the calf) which may be useful in this contest, as he will need to negate a significant height and reach disadvantage. Wood stands 5’6 with a 69-inch reach whereas Ewell is 5’11 with a 75-inch reach.

Can Andre Ewell Maintain Distance?

You could call Andre Ewell one dimensional, as he’s essentially a boxer wearing MMA gloves. Given his height and reach advantage over most bantamweights, Ewell is great at keeping opponents at the end of his punches. A smooth southpaw striker, he primarily throws a 1-2 down the pipe and is precise with his technique.

Cardio seems to be a key strength of Ewell, as he dominated rounds two and three in his last contest once Renan Barao started to fade. His main weakness is his takedown defense, which is often the case for fighters with a long and narrow frame. Still, Wood doesn’t typically shoot takedowns so the grappling may be a non-issue here.

Ewell should dominate at range, but will he be able to keep the shorter Wood at bay? I’ve seen Ewell stick and move effectively in previous bouts, and he has enough power in his shots to deter a pressure fighter.

Who Wins?

While this fight looks competitive and could certainly go either way, I’m inclined to side with the taller, rangier southpaw fighter that looks like a natural bantamweight. Wood could probably make flyweight if he wanted and will be undersized in this contest.

Wood’s striking defense is porous and I can see Ewell picking him him apart at range. I also see value on Andre Ewell by KO at +400

Pick: Andre Ewell -110

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor. The most compherensive collection of strategies, tips, and techniques to consistently grow your bankroll.

Download it now!

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor.
Download it now!

Pig Lord

Sup fools? My name is Pig Lord. I’m a degenerate and I like to gamble on MMA.

I’m not some fraudulent turd trying to sell predictions by marketing myself as the #1 expert on MMA. I’m just a solid capper who has managed to generate consistent profits by betting on fights for the past few years.

I enjoy writing breakdowns from a gambling perspective and helping people to earn money while sitting in front of a computer in their undergarments. My predictions are always free, and you can find more at my website!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Monday, Mar 18
NBA
#533 Detroit Pistons -4.5
#534 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
7:05pm
View Pick
#535 Utah Jazz -5.5
#536 Washington Wizards 228.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#537 Denver Nuggets 222.5
#538 Boston Celtics -3.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#539 New York Knicks 215
#540 Toronto Raptors -11
7:35pm
View Pick
#541 Miami Heat 213.5
#542 Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#543 Golden State Warriors -2.5
#544 San Antonio Spurs 225.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#545 New Orleans Pelicans 230.5
#546 Dallas Mavericks -5
8:35pm
View Pick
#547 Chicago Bulls 229
#548 Phoenix Suns -2
10:05pm
View Pick
#549 Indiana Pacers 213.5
#550 Portland Trailblazers -4.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#661 Quinnipiac 143.5
#662 NJIT -5
7:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#71 Arizona 6.5
#72 Tampa Bay -275
7:38pm
View Pick
#73 Vancouver 6
#74 Chicago -250
8:38pm
View Pick
#75 Winnipeg -175
#76 Los Angeles 6
10:38pm
View Pick
#77 Vegas 6.5
#78 San Jose -170
10:38pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Mar 19
NBA
#557 Los Angeles Lakers 236.5
#558 Milwaukee Bucks -13
8:05pm
View Pick
#559 Brooklyn Nets 230.5
#560 Sacramento Kings -3.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#669 Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5
#670 Prairie View A&M 150
6:40pm
View Pick
#705 IUPUI 163.5
#706 Marshall -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#685 San Diego 148
#686 Memphis -5.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#689 Loyola - Chicago 134
#690 Creighton -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#693 Cal State Northridge 156
#694 Utah Valley -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#671 Belmont -3.5
#672 Temple 154.5
9:10pm
View Pick
NHL
#9 Washington -230
#10 New Jersey 6
7:38pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Mar 20
NCAAB
#715 North Dakota State 133
#716 NC Central -5.5
6:40pm
View Pick
#717 Toledo 140
#718 Xavier -6
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Norfolk State
#720 Alabama
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Arizona State -1
#714 St. John's 151
9:10pm
View Pick
Thursday, Mar 21
NCAAB
#773 Minnesota 134
#774 Louisville -5
12:15pm
View Pick
#767 Yale 160.5
#768 LSU -8
12:40pm
View Pick
#763 Vermont 133
#764 Florida State -10.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#761 Murray State 148
#762 Marquette -4.5
4:30pm
View Pick
#771 Abilene Christian
#772 Kentucky
7:10pm
View Pick
#769 Seton Hall 142.5
#770 Wofford -3
9:40pm
View Pick
Friday, Mar 22
NCAAB
#819 Northern Kentucky
#820 Texas Tech
1:30pm
View Pick
#827 Cal Irvine 118
#828 Kansas State -5
2:00pm
View Pick
#825 Oregon 116
#826 Wisconsin -1
4:30pm
View Pick
#815 Georgia State 142
#816 Houston -12
7:20pm
View Pick
#821 Liberty 135
#822 Mississippi St -7
7:27pm
View Pick
#813 Ohio State 140
#814 Iowa State -5.5
9:50pm
View Pick
#823 St. Louis 126
#824 Virginia Tech -10.5
9:57pm
View Pick