Upcoming Free Picks

UFC Fight Night 134: Justin Ledet vs. Aleksandar Rakic Betting Prediction

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

In one of the most interesting prelim bouts on UFC Fight Night 134 this Sunday, July 22nd, in Hamburg, Germany, American boxing stylist, Justin Ledet, takes on Austrian kickboxer, Aleksandar Rakic. Who will come out victorious this Sunday?

Jabzilla

One weapon stands out in the boxing arsenal of Justin Ledet: his jab. Against mediocre competition, Ledet has been able to land his crisp jab time and time again.

 

Because he uses this technique so often, some say that he has no other weapons. That's simply not true. Against his last opponent, Zu Anyanwu, he was forced to fight conservatively. Anyanwu has monstrous power and good counters - if Ledet had got reckless with his right hand, this would have given his opponent more opportunities to land devastating counterpunches.

 

Make no mistake, Ledet is a complete striker. His only deficiency on the feet may be a susceptibility to leg kicks, as is the case with most boxing stylists.

 

It’s worth noting that Ledet’s first art was actually jiu-jitsu. He showcased some of his ground game against Mark Godbeer and could undoubtedly steal close rounds with a well-timed takedown or two.

 

A Dark Horse in the Light Heavyweight Division

It’s no secret that 205 pounds is one of the weakest divisions in the UFC. With a few good wins under your belt, you can start fighting ranked competition.

 

In his UFC debut against smothering grappler and low volume kickboxer, Francimar Barroso, Rakic looked impressive. Although he got over-aggressive at times and swung wildly, Rakic generally put on a good performance. When he was taken down in the second round, he showed the ability to get back up to his feet to dominate the striking.

 

However, he did get caught with his hands low at times. If Barroso can land his jab against Rakic, Ledet may have a field day. Offensively, Rakic has more weapons in his arsenal than Ledet and possesses an excellent range of kicks to complement his punching combinations.

Who Wins?

On paper, this bout is about as close as it gets. It’s hard to know whether to favor the more diverse offense of Rakic or the crisp boxing of Ledet. The +145 opening moneyline for Rakic had value, but I wouldn’t play him at +105.

 

While I think the striking portions of this fight will be highly competitive, I give the slight edge to Ledet due to his ability to score takedowns and potentially steal rounds. I don’t think Ledet will score a finish, but I can see him winning a decision - and there is a significant discrepancy between Ledet’s moneyline and decision line.

Pick Ledet by decision +240

Check out my other betting predictions for UFC Fight Night 134.

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor. The most compherensive collection of strategies, tips, and techniques to consistently grow your bankroll.

Download it now!

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor.
Download it now!

Pig Lord

Sup fools? My name is Pig Lord. I’m a degenerate and I like to gamble on MMA.

I’m not some fraudulent turd trying to sell predictions by marketing myself as the #1 expert on MMA. I’m just a solid capper who has managed to generate consistent profits by betting on fights for the past few years.

I enjoy writing breakdowns from a gambling perspective and helping people to earn money while sitting in front of a computer in their undergarments. My predictions are always free, and you can find more at my website!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Thursday, Jan 17
NBA
#541 New York Knicks 228
#542 Washington Wizards -6.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#543 Philadelphia 76ers 224.5
#544 Indiana Pacers -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#545 Sacramento Kings 230
#546 Charlotte Hornets -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#547 Phoenix Suns
#548 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#549 Chicago Bulls 212
#550 Denver Nuggets -12
9:05pm
View Pick
#551 Los Angeles Lakers 226
#552 Oklahoma City Thunder -10
9:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#601 FAU 151
#602 Marshall -9
7:00pm
View Pick
#603 Charleston 139.5
#604 Northeastern -3.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#605 Georgia Southern -2
#606 Troy 161
7:00pm
View Pick
#607 UNCW 152
#608 Hofstra -12.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#609 James Madison 134
#610 Delaware -4
7:00pm
View Pick
#611 Towson 146
#612 Drexel -5.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#613 Wright State -5.5
#614 Youngstown State 141.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#615 Southern Miss -4.5
#616 Charlotte 122.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#617 Louisiana Tech 129
#618 ODU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Northern Kentucky -9
#620 Cleveland State 142
7:00pm
View Pick
#621 UTSA -3.5
#622 Middle Tennessee State 137.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#637 Georgia State -5.5
#638 South Alabama 141
8:00pm
View Pick
#635 UTEP 132
#636 UAB -8
8:00pm
View Pick
#633 Michigan State -1
#634 Nebraska 144
8:00pm
View Pick
#631 Illinois - Chicago -3
#632 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 142.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#629 IUPUI 163
#630 Wisconsin-Green Bay -4
8:00pm
View Pick
#627 FIU 163.5
#628 Western Kentucky -13
8:00pm
View Pick
#625 Arkansas - Little Rock 140
#626 Texas State -11.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#623 Arkansas State 139.5
#624 UT Arlington -4.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#639 Loyola Marymount
#640 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#641 Stanford 138
#642 Washington -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#643 Oregon 130
#644 Arizona -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#645 San Francisco -6.5
#646 Pacific 138
9:00pm
View Pick
#647 Hawaii 148
#648 Cal State Northridge -2
10:00pm
View Pick
#649 California
#650 Washington State
10:00pm
View Pick
#651 Oregon State 141
#652 Arizona State -5.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#653 San Diego -10
#654 Portland 134
10:00pm
View Pick
#657 UCSB -3
#658 UC Davis 131.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#659 Santa Clara
#660 St Marys
11:00pm
View Pick
#661 BYU -2.5
#662 Pepperdine 163
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#31 New Jersey 6
#32 N.Y. Islanders -150
7:05pm
View Pick
#33 St. Louis 5.5
#34 Boston -175
7:05pm
View Pick
#41 Anaheim 5.5
#42 Minnesota -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#43 Los Angeles 5.5
#44 Dallas -175
8:35pm
View Pick
Saturday, Jan 19
NCAAB
#629 James Madison
#630 Drexel
2:00pm
View Pick
Sunday, Jan 20
NFL
#311 Los Angeles Rams 56.5
#312 New Orleans Saints -3.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#313 New England Patriots 58
#314 Kansas City Chiefs -3
6:40pm
View Pick