Upcoming Free Picks

UFC Fight Night 134: Justin Ledet vs. Aleksandar Rakic Betting Prediction

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

In one of the most interesting prelim bouts on UFC Fight Night 134 this Sunday, July 22nd, in Hamburg, Germany, American boxing stylist, Justin Ledet, takes on Austrian kickboxer, Aleksandar Rakic. Who will come out victorious this Sunday?

Jabzilla

One weapon stands out in the boxing arsenal of Justin Ledet: his jab. Against mediocre competition, Ledet has been able to land his crisp jab time and time again.

 

Because he uses this technique so often, some say that he has no other weapons. That's simply not true. Against his last opponent, Zu Anyanwu, he was forced to fight conservatively. Anyanwu has monstrous power and good counters - if Ledet had got reckless with his right hand, this would have given his opponent more opportunities to land devastating counterpunches.

 

Make no mistake, Ledet is a complete striker. His only deficiency on the feet may be a susceptibility to leg kicks, as is the case with most boxing stylists.

 

It’s worth noting that Ledet’s first art was actually jiu-jitsu. He showcased some of his ground game against Mark Godbeer and could undoubtedly steal close rounds with a well-timed takedown or two.

 

A Dark Horse in the Light Heavyweight Division

It’s no secret that 205 pounds is one of the weakest divisions in the UFC. With a few good wins under your belt, you can start fighting ranked competition.

 

In his UFC debut against smothering grappler and low volume kickboxer, Francimar Barroso, Rakic looked impressive. Although he got over-aggressive at times and swung wildly, Rakic generally put on a good performance. When he was taken down in the second round, he showed the ability to get back up to his feet to dominate the striking.

 

However, he did get caught with his hands low at times. If Barroso can land his jab against Rakic, Ledet may have a field day. Offensively, Rakic has more weapons in his arsenal than Ledet and possesses an excellent range of kicks to complement his punching combinations.

Who Wins?

On paper, this bout is about as close as it gets. It’s hard to know whether to favor the more diverse offense of Rakic or the crisp boxing of Ledet. The +145 opening moneyline for Rakic had value, but I wouldn’t play him at +105.

 

While I think the striking portions of this fight will be highly competitive, I give the slight edge to Ledet due to his ability to score takedowns and potentially steal rounds. I don’t think Ledet will score a finish, but I can see him winning a decision - and there is a significant discrepancy between Ledet’s moneyline and decision line.

Pick Ledet by decision +240

Check out my other betting predictions for UFC Fight Night 134.

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor. The most compherensive collection of strategies, tips, and techniques to consistently grow your bankroll.

Download it now!

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor.
Download it now!

Pig Lord

Sup fools? My name is Pig Lord. I’m a degenerate and I like to gamble on MMA.

I’m not some fraudulent turd trying to sell predictions by marketing myself as the #1 expert on MMA. I’m just a solid capper who has managed to generate consistent profits by betting on fights for the past few years.

I enjoy writing breakdowns from a gambling perspective and helping people to earn money while sitting in front of a computer in their undergarments. My predictions are always free, and you can find more at my website!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Monday, Mar 18
NBA
#533 Detroit Pistons -4.5
#534 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
7:05pm
View Pick
#535 Utah Jazz -5.5
#536 Washington Wizards 228.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#537 Denver Nuggets 222.5
#538 Boston Celtics -3.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#539 New York Knicks 215
#540 Toronto Raptors -11
7:35pm
View Pick
#541 Miami Heat 213.5
#542 Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#543 Golden State Warriors -2.5
#544 San Antonio Spurs 225.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#545 New Orleans Pelicans 230.5
#546 Dallas Mavericks -5
8:35pm
View Pick
#547 Chicago Bulls 229
#548 Phoenix Suns -2
10:05pm
View Pick
#549 Indiana Pacers 213.5
#550 Portland Trailblazers -4.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#661 Quinnipiac 143.5
#662 NJIT -5
7:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#71 Arizona 6.5
#72 Tampa Bay -275
7:38pm
View Pick
#73 Vancouver 6
#74 Chicago -250
8:38pm
View Pick
#75 Winnipeg -175
#76 Los Angeles 6
10:38pm
View Pick
#77 Vegas 6.5
#78 San Jose -170
10:38pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Mar 19
NBA
#557 Los Angeles Lakers 236.5
#558 Milwaukee Bucks -13
8:05pm
View Pick
#559 Brooklyn Nets 230.5
#560 Sacramento Kings -3.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#669 Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5
#670 Prairie View A&M 150
6:40pm
View Pick
#705 IUPUI 163.5
#706 Marshall -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#685 San Diego 148
#686 Memphis -5.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#689 Loyola - Chicago 134
#690 Creighton -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#693 Cal State Northridge 156
#694 Utah Valley -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#671 Belmont -3.5
#672 Temple 154.5
9:10pm
View Pick
NHL
#9 Washington -230
#10 New Jersey 6
7:38pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Mar 20
NCAAB
#715 North Dakota State 133
#716 NC Central -5.5
6:40pm
View Pick
#717 Toledo 140
#718 Xavier -6
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Norfolk State
#720 Alabama
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Arizona State -1
#714 St. John's 151
9:10pm
View Pick
Thursday, Mar 21
NCAAB
#773 Minnesota 134
#774 Louisville -5
12:15pm
View Pick
#767 Yale 160.5
#768 LSU -8
12:40pm
View Pick
#763 Vermont 133
#764 Florida State -10.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#761 Murray State 148
#762 Marquette -4.5
4:30pm
View Pick
#771 Abilene Christian
#772 Kentucky
7:10pm
View Pick
#769 Seton Hall 142.5
#770 Wofford -3
9:40pm
View Pick
Friday, Mar 22
NCAAB
#819 Northern Kentucky
#820 Texas Tech
1:30pm
View Pick
#827 Cal Irvine 118
#828 Kansas State -5
2:00pm
View Pick
#825 Oregon 116
#826 Wisconsin -1
4:30pm
View Pick
#815 Georgia State 142
#816 Houston -12
7:20pm
View Pick
#821 Liberty 135
#822 Mississippi St -7
7:27pm
View Pick
#813 Ohio State 140
#814 Iowa State -5.5
9:50pm
View Pick
#823 St. Louis 126
#824 Virginia Tech -10.5
9:57pm
View Pick