Upcoming Free Picks

UFC 227: Demetrious Johnson vs. Henry Cejudo 2 - 8/4/2018 Betting Prediction

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The flyweight championship will be on the line this Saturday night at UFC 227 in Los Angeles, California. Demetrious Johnson (27-2-1) will attempt to defend his belt for an unprecedented twelfth time in a row, this time against top contender, Henry Cejudo (12-2). The first time these two fought at UFC 197 in 2016, Johnson finished the inexperienced Cejudo in just two minutes and 49 seconds into the first round. SInce then, Cejudo has earned dominant wins over former title contender, Wilson Reis and up and number two contender, Sergio Pettis. He has improved drastically in the last two years could give “Mighty Mouse” a run for his money.

Demetrious Johnson continues his legacy

Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson is considered by many to be the greatest mixed martial artist in the history of the sport. Johnson has defended his belt more than any other champion and is both a knockout and submission threat. Unless he eventually fights TJ Dillashaw, Johnson is always a huge favorite in every fight he books thanks to his full tool kit, cardio, and relentless pressure.

In his most recent fight against Ray Borg, Johnson showed how complete of a fighter he really is. He pieced Borg up on the feet, showed tremendous top pressure when he got him to the ground, and was relentless in terms of cardio for all five rounds. Time and time again, Demetrious Johnson has the advantage in each aspect of mixed martial arts against his opponents. This will be the first time in awhile that he will not. While DJ does have some great wrestling, he is going up an Olympic Gold Medalist on Saturday night.

Early in the fight, Johnson will look for success on the feet. If he can outclass Cejudo in the striking game and avoid takedowns, he will be content to ride out all five rounds in a kickboxing match. If he ends up on the ground, Johnson should be safe in top position thanks to his great wrestling and outstanding grappling. He is very creative and technical on the ground but should avoid being on his back under Cejudo at all costs.

Cejudo gains experience and get another shot at the champ

From what we have seen lately, Henry Cejudo is not the same fighter that Demetrious Johnson dropped with a body shot in 2016. He later lost a split decision to Joseph Benavidez that came due to a point deduction to a foul by Cejudo. Henry Cejudo went on to beat Wilson Reis and highly-touted prospect, Sergio Pettis. That fight with Pettis was huge in demonstrating Cejudo’s improvement. He looked at home standing with the high-level striker in Pettis and looked better on the feet than ever. Cejudo was then able to do what he does best and take down Pettis, mauling him on the ground as a complete mixed martial artist.

While Cejudo is looking better standing up, it is no secret what his plan should be.Take Demetrious Johnson down and do not let him up. “Mighty Mouse” is one of the most complete and creative fighters in the UFC so keeping him on his back and taking away as many weapons as possible is the clearest path to victory. A gold medal in wrestling on the world level is no joke so do not count Cejudo out in this fight.

If Cejudo finds success with his wrestling early and often, he cannot rush the finish. Going for a finish will give Johnson opportunities to pull something sneaky which could end the fight in a split second. Henry Cejudo needs to look for top position and try to grind out a decision and not press hard for a finish unless he can posture up in mount when DJ is already exhausted.

Prediction

Demetrious Johnson has so many ways to win this fight. He is the epitome of the “hit and don’t get hit” formula of winning fights. He needs to use his movement to tag Cejudo and bounce out of striking distance early on. If DJ can frustrate his opponent, Cejudo might begin to try forcing the takedown. Johnson has some of the most dangerous knees around so if he can bait Cejudo into a poor takedown attempt, a well-timed knee could put an end to this fight.

Johnson is a big favorite in this fight and rightfully so but counting out an Olympic Champion would be a mistake. Henry Cejudo is becoming a more complete fighter each time he steps in the octagon but he may not be ready for “Mighty Mouse” quite yet. Johnson is too good at scrambling and technique on the ground to take a Khabib-like mauling from Cejudo.

If you really believe in Cejudo and he wins, you will make a bunch of money but betting against Demetrious Johnson feels silly. The lines are really too wide to make much money on a winner bet. Because of the pace that Cejudo will try to dictate and the calculated fighting of Johnson, picking this fight to go to decision could be a solid bet.

Pick: Fight goes to decision -110

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor. The most compherensive collection of strategies, tips, and techniques to consistently grow your bankroll.

Download it now!

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor.
Download it now!

Nick Cowie

Nick graduated with an environmental science degree and is a freelance writer, covering anything from fighting to forestry. He is a washed up swimmer and a sports and comedy enthusiast.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Monday, Mar 18
NBA
#533 Detroit Pistons -4.5
#534 Cleveland Cavaliers 214
7:05pm
View Pick
#535 Utah Jazz -5.5
#536 Washington Wizards 228.5
7:05pm
View Pick
#537 Denver Nuggets 222.5
#538 Boston Celtics -3.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#539 New York Knicks 215
#540 Toronto Raptors -11
7:35pm
View Pick
#541 Miami Heat 213.5
#542 Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#543 Golden State Warriors -2.5
#544 San Antonio Spurs 225.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#545 New Orleans Pelicans 230.5
#546 Dallas Mavericks -5
8:35pm
View Pick
#547 Chicago Bulls 229
#548 Phoenix Suns -2
10:05pm
View Pick
#549 Indiana Pacers 213.5
#550 Portland Trailblazers -4.5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#661 Quinnipiac 143.5
#662 NJIT -5
7:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#71 Arizona 6.5
#72 Tampa Bay -275
7:38pm
View Pick
#73 Vancouver 6
#74 Chicago -250
8:38pm
View Pick
#75 Winnipeg -175
#76 Los Angeles 6
10:38pm
View Pick
#77 Vegas 6.5
#78 San Jose -170
10:38pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Mar 19
NBA
#557 Los Angeles Lakers 236.5
#558 Milwaukee Bucks -13
8:05pm
View Pick
#559 Brooklyn Nets 230.5
#560 Sacramento Kings -3.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#669 Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5
#670 Prairie View A&M 150
6:40pm
View Pick
#705 IUPUI 163.5
#706 Marshall -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#685 San Diego 148
#686 Memphis -5.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#689 Loyola - Chicago 134
#690 Creighton -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#693 Cal State Northridge 156
#694 Utah Valley -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#671 Belmont -3.5
#672 Temple 154.5
9:10pm
View Pick
NHL
#9 Washington -230
#10 New Jersey 6
7:38pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Mar 20
NCAAB
#715 North Dakota State 133
#716 NC Central -5.5
6:40pm
View Pick
#717 Toledo 140
#718 Xavier -6
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Norfolk State
#720 Alabama
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Arizona State -1
#714 St. John's 151
9:10pm
View Pick
Thursday, Mar 21
NCAAB
#773 Minnesota 134
#774 Louisville -5
12:15pm
View Pick
#767 Yale 160.5
#768 LSU -8
12:40pm
View Pick
#763 Vermont 133
#764 Florida State -10.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#761 Murray State 148
#762 Marquette -4.5
4:30pm
View Pick
#771 Abilene Christian
#772 Kentucky
7:10pm
View Pick
#769 Seton Hall 142.5
#770 Wofford -3
9:40pm
View Pick
Friday, Mar 22
NCAAB
#819 Northern Kentucky
#820 Texas Tech
1:30pm
View Pick
#827 Cal Irvine 118
#828 Kansas State -5
2:00pm
View Pick
#825 Oregon 116
#826 Wisconsin -1
4:30pm
View Pick
#815 Georgia State 142
#816 Houston -12
7:20pm
View Pick
#821 Liberty 135
#822 Mississippi St -7
7:27pm
View Pick
#813 Ohio State 140
#814 Iowa State -5.5
9:50pm
View Pick
#823 St. Louis 126
#824 Virginia Tech -10.5
9:57pm
View Pick