Upcoming Free Picks

UFC Singapore: Donald Cerrone vs. Leon Edwards,
6-23-2018 - Expert Prediction

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

When the UFC heads to Singapore on June 23, two well-rounded fighters will lock horns in what promises to be a spectacular main event. In a quintessential ‘crossroads fight’, surging prospect Leon “Rocky” Edwards will look to defeat grizzled veteran and fan favorite, Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone.

The Evolution of Edwards

Considering his current style of fighting, it’s amazing to think Edwards entered the UFC as a pure striker. While Edwards showed himself to be competent against lower level competition, there was nothing to suggest he would become a legitimate contender.

After being suffocated and outwrestled by Kamaru Usman in 2015, Edwards showcased vastly improved grappling in his subsequent bout with Dominic Waters. Next, Edwards was able to nullify an elite technical boxer in Albert Tumenov by dragging the fight to the mat and securing a rear-naked choke submission victory.

In Edwards’ recent bouts, he’s relied on his offensive wrestling to ground opponents and win rounds with positional control. This doesn’t always excite the fans, but it’s clear Edwards favors getting his hand raised over engaging in crazy barn burners.

Riding a five fight winning streak, Edwards doesn’t comprehensively outclass his opponents - but he always finds a way to win. Stylistically, Cerrone could be a difficult matchup for Edwards.

How Much is Left in the Tank for Cerrone?

The all-action, bull riding, rodent shooting, surfboarding Cerrone would rather lose than put on a boring fight. While Cerrone’s recent record is mixed, all of his losses have come against elite competition. More specifically, all of his recent losses were against elite strikers. Edwards is a proficient kickboxer, but he’s a level or two below the likes of Jorge Masvidal, Rafael Dos Anjos and Darren Till.

If the fight stays standing, I believe Cerrone’s Muay Thai experience will be enough to get the better of Edwards. Cerrone also has an underrated ground game. If Edwards gets complacent in Cerrone’s guard, he could easily find himself tapping due to a triangle or armbar.

Despite his wild and reckless personality, Cerrone’s struggles with performance anxiety are well publicized. A slow starter, Cerrone typically needs a round to get outside of his head and establish a rhythm. Rafael Dos Anjos and Darren Till were able to blast Cerrone in the first round because they applied pressure from the first second of the fight. This could be part of Edwards’ game plan, but it’s not something we’ve seen in his performances thus far.

Styles Make Fights

At 35 years of age with over 70 combined kickboxing and MMA fights, Cerrone won’t be able to perform at the highest level forever. Despite winning convincingly, he looked a little stiff in his last bout with Yancy Medeiros and it’s entirely possible he’s declining.

Ignoring the age gap, I believe Cerrone is the more skilled fighter. I also don’t think Edwards will be able to hug his way to victory in the manner of some of his previous wins. In what should be a competitive fight, I believe there is value on Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone at +210.

Pick: Cerrone +210

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

Free Ultimate Guide to MMA Betting

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor. The most compherensive collection of strategies, tips, and techniques to consistently grow your bankroll.

Download it now!

You want to win? This guide was created for you as The Bible for the MMA Sports Bettor.
Download it now!

Pig Lord

Sup fools? My name is Pig Lord. I’m a degenerate and I like to gamble on MMA.

I’m not some fraudulent turd trying to sell predictions by marketing myself as the #1 expert on MMA. I’m just a solid capper who has managed to generate consistent profits by betting on fights for the past few years.

I enjoy writing breakdowns from a gambling perspective and helping people to earn money while sitting in front of a computer in their undergarments. My predictions are always free, and you can find more at my website!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Thursday, Jan 17
NBA
#541 New York Knicks 228
#542 Washington Wizards -6.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#543 Philadelphia 76ers 224.5
#544 Indiana Pacers -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#545 Sacramento Kings 230
#546 Charlotte Hornets -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#547 Phoenix Suns
#548 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#549 Chicago Bulls 212
#550 Denver Nuggets -12
9:05pm
View Pick
#551 Los Angeles Lakers 226
#552 Oklahoma City Thunder -10
9:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#601 FAU 151
#602 Marshall -9
7:00pm
View Pick
#603 Charleston 139.5
#604 Northeastern -3.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#605 Georgia Southern -2
#606 Troy 161
7:00pm
View Pick
#607 UNCW 152
#608 Hofstra -12.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#609 James Madison 134
#610 Delaware -4
7:00pm
View Pick
#611 Towson 146
#612 Drexel -5.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#613 Wright State -5.5
#614 Youngstown State 141.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#615 Southern Miss -4.5
#616 Charlotte 122.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#617 Louisiana Tech 129
#618 ODU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Northern Kentucky -9
#620 Cleveland State 142
7:00pm
View Pick
#621 UTSA -3.5
#622 Middle Tennessee State 137.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#637 Georgia State -5.5
#638 South Alabama 141
8:00pm
View Pick
#635 UTEP 132
#636 UAB -8
8:00pm
View Pick
#633 Michigan State -1
#634 Nebraska 144
8:00pm
View Pick
#631 Illinois - Chicago -3
#632 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 142.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#629 IUPUI 163
#630 Wisconsin-Green Bay -4
8:00pm
View Pick
#627 FIU 163.5
#628 Western Kentucky -13
8:00pm
View Pick
#625 Arkansas - Little Rock 140
#626 Texas State -11.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#623 Arkansas State 139.5
#624 UT Arlington -4.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#639 Loyola Marymount
#640 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#641 Stanford 138
#642 Washington -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#643 Oregon 130
#644 Arizona -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#645 San Francisco -6.5
#646 Pacific 138
9:00pm
View Pick
#647 Hawaii 148
#648 Cal State Northridge -2
10:00pm
View Pick
#649 California
#650 Washington State
10:00pm
View Pick
#651 Oregon State 141
#652 Arizona State -5.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#653 San Diego -10
#654 Portland 134
10:00pm
View Pick
#657 UCSB -3
#658 UC Davis 131.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#659 Santa Clara
#660 St Marys
11:00pm
View Pick
#661 BYU -2.5
#662 Pepperdine 163
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#31 New Jersey 6
#32 N.Y. Islanders -150
7:05pm
View Pick
#33 St. Louis 5.5
#34 Boston -175
7:05pm
View Pick
#41 Anaheim 5.5
#42 Minnesota -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#43 Los Angeles 5.5
#44 Dallas -175
8:35pm
View Pick
Saturday, Jan 19
NCAAB
#629 James Madison
#630 Drexel
2:00pm
View Pick
Sunday, Jan 20
NFL
#311 Los Angeles Rams 56.5
#312 New Orleans Saints -3.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#313 New England Patriots 58
#314 Kansas City Chiefs -3
6:40pm
View Pick