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NBA Betting: Top 5 Games Dec. 10 – Dec. 16

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The previous week brought some nice bets, and this one started with 10 games last night that mostly saw expected results. We'll show you the best five bets for Week 9 starting from Tuesday, December 11, 2018, when the San Antonio Spurs welcome the Phoenix Suns, so let's take a closer look to give you all important betting trends and analysis for these five matchups.

Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs – Tuesday, December 11th

The Phoenix Suns are on a nine-game losing streak following a 123-119 overtime defeat to the Los Angeles Clippers last night, while they are 1-8 ATS during that span. Devin Booker is still sidelined with an injury, so the Suns should have a mountain to climb at San Antonio, as they will play without a rest, and the Suns are 0-9 straight up and 3-6 ATS on the back end of their last nine back-to-back sets. Likewise, Phoenix is just 1-8 straight up and 2-7 ATS in its last nine games on the road and 1-13 straight up and 4-10 ATS in its previous 14 road games versus the Western Conference.

On the other side, the San Antonio Spurs are struggling to find their rhythm this term, but Gregg Popovich's boys have won three of their last five games, and all these three victories have come on the home court. San Antonio is 9-4 straight up and 8-5 ATS in 13 home games this season, while the Spurs are 15-5 straight up and 13-7 ATS in their previous 20 games at AT&T Center, and are 6-2 straight up and ATS in their last eight home games versus the Western Conference.

The Spurs will continue to battle and try to improve on both sides of the ball, so beating the short-handed Suns at home shouldn't be a problem. The double-digit spread could be a problem, but the Suns will play back-to-back here following an overtime loss at home, so I rely on Spurs' freshness to get this one with an ease. San Antonio is 7-2 straight up and 6-3 ATS in its last nine meetings with the Suns, while this season's series is tied 1-1 after a couple of games in Phoenix. The Suns have won the previous H2H duel 116-96, so I'm backing the Spurs to get a payoff on this one in front of the home audience.

My Pick: San Antonio Spurs ATS

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors – Wednesday, December 12th

The showdown between the league leaders and the reigning NBA champions is the highest-anticipated game on our list, for sure, as the Toronto Raptors visit the Golden State Warriors Wednesday night. The Raptors are still topping the lead despite two straight losses to Milwaukee 104-99 and at Brooklyn 106-105 in the overtime, while the defending champion Golden State is on a four-game winning streak following a 116-108 home victory over Minnesota last Monday.

The first head-to-head of the season between Toronto and Golden State was a pure classic won by the Raptors in the overtime 131-128, but the Warriors were without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green. Both All-Stars will play Wednesday, and the Warriors are 3-1 straight up and ATS since Curry's return from an injury. Kevin Durant had 51 points in that loss to the Raptors, shooting 18 of 31 from the field and 11 of 12 from the line, while adding 11 rebounds, six dimes and only one turnover in 43 minutes on the floor. On the other side, Kawhi Leonard led his team with 37 points, while the Raptors shot 52.2% from the field and 91.7% from the line to earn a well-deserved win even though they allowed 17 offensive rebounds.

However, the Raptors have lost three of their last four games and are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. The Warriors are 7-2 straight up and 5-4 ATS in their last nine showings, and are 6-1 straight up and just 2-5 ATS in their previous seven games at Oracle Arena. This one will be a statement game, and I think the Warriors have a huge motive to beat the Raptors at home and show their fans who really the best team in the NBA is.

My Pick: Golden State Warriors ATS

Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns – Saturday, December 15th

The Timberwolves are playing well since Jimmy Butler's trade in exchange for Robert Covington and Dario Saric who are doing a great job in Minnesota, especially RoCo who's averaging 14.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.7 steals in 11 starts with the Timberwolves. It seems like Minnesota will mount a serious playoff challenge, but the Timberwolves are still among the worst teams in the league when playing on the road.

Minnesota is just 2-10 straight up and 5-7 ATS in 12 road games on the season including a 116-108 defeat at Golden State this past Monday when they were listed as 9.5-point underdogs. If they want to stay in the playoff picture, the Timberwolves will have to start winning on the road, and there is no better opportunity to road up than the clash with the worst team in the league. The Phoenix Suns have lost six straight games on the home court, while they are 1-5 ATS during that span thanks to a 123-119 overtime defeat to the Los Angeles Clippers.

The Suns are struggling with injuries, and their best player Devin Booker (hamstring) is out indefinitely, so they have a lot of problems, especially with their offense. Phoenix is 2-6 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS in its last eight meetings with the Timberwolves, while the Suns are 1-3 straight up and 2-2 ATS in the previous four H2H duels in Phoenix. The Timberwolves will be listed as favorites on this, but the spread shouldn't be a huge one, so I'm backing them to cover it and finally get the things going on the road.

My Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves ATS

Miami Heat at New Orleans Pelicans – Sunday, December 16th

Miami is on the six-game road trip on the west coast, starting with a couple of big wins over the Phoenix Suns 115-98 and the Los Angeles Clippers 121-98 before came up short at the Los Angeles Lakers 108-105 this past Monday. Miami is improving its form recently, winning four of its last six games despite all injury problems among the squad. Goran Dragic is back on the floor, but Josh Richardson and Tyler Johnson are still struggling to recover, while Hassan Whiteside is out with personal reasons, as it seems like the big man is unhappy at Florida.

On the other side, the New Orleans Pelicans are playing in an on-off form lately, winning four of their last eight games and covering the spread only when they've won the game straight up. The Pelicans are another team with big injury problems, as Elfrid Payton will be sidelined for at least a month, while E'Twaun Moore is out with a leg injury. Likewise, Nikola Mirotic is struggling with an ankle injury, whilst Anthony Davis is having problems with his hip all season long. The Pelicans lost at Boston 113-100 on Monday night and will host the Oklahoma City Thunder Wednesday night before they welcome the Heat.

Considering the Thunder's current form, it will be a tough task for the Pelicans even though they will play on the home court. Hereof, I'm backing them to end the week on a high note with a victory over Miami, as the Heat should be tired after a couple of visits to Salt Lake City and Memphis before they face off against the Pelicans Sunday night.

My Pick: New Orleans Pelicans ATS

 

Our Best Play of the Week

Featured Game: Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks – Wednesday, December 12th

The Atlanta Hawks had a few days to rest after a surprising 106-98 home victory to the Denver Nuggets that put an end to their four-game losing streak. However, the Hawks are just 2-11 straight up and 6-7 ATS in their 13 games on the road this season, and are 0-9 straight up and 2-6-1 ATS in their previous nine meetings with the Western Conference on the road.

On the other side, the Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 101-76 home win to the Orlando Magic after another impressive defensive performance, and the Mavs are 12-2 straight up and ATS in 14 games at home this season. Likewise, the Mavericks are the best team in the league against the spread (17-8), and they look ready to step into the Western Conference playoff race, so beating the Hawks at home is a must. Interestingly, the Mavericks are 0-10 straight up and 1-9 ATS in their last ten meetings with the Hawks including a 111-104 defeat at Atlanta earlier in the season.

While the Hawks offensive rating is 28th in the league with 102.3 points per 100 possessions, the Mavericks' defensive rating is 13th in the league (109.1), but Dallas is allowing just 106.3 points per game on the home court. The Mavs are on a 10-game winning streak at American Airlines Center and are 10-0 ATS during that span which is a fantastic record, so I'm backing them to continue this streak against the hapless Atlanta Hawks. I hope the Mavs wouldn't underestimate Atlanta on this one, and the Hawks' win over Denver should be a warning.

My Pick: Dallas Mavericks ATS

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

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