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After the third week of the new season, there are no unbeaten teams in the league anymore, as Milwaukee and Toronto both have suffered a loss each. Golden State (9-1) is on a seven-game winning streak, and the defending champions are topping the Western Conference, while Toronto (9-1) is leading the Eastern Conference ahead of Milwaukee (8-1). Cleveland (1-8) is the worst team in the NBA after Week 3, Oklahoma City has won four straight games after a 0-4 start on the season, and the New Orleans Pelicans are the only team in the league on a five-game losing streak at the moment.
Week 4 starts with nine games on Monday, November 5th, including a matchup between Oklahoma City and New Orleans, while Denver welcomes Boston at Pepsi Center, but our list starts from Tuesday, November 6th, 2018, when we have just four games on the schedule.
Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets – Tuesday, November 6th
The Atlanta Hawks (3-6; 3-6-0 ATS) ended their four-game losing streak with a 123-118 win against Miami at home, and they will start Week 4 with a road trip to Charlotte. The Hawks average 106.7 possessions per 48 minutes which is the fastest pace in the league, but their offensive rating is 3rd-worst in the league as they are scoring just 103.9 points per 100 possessions. On the other side, the Hawks are allowing 120.2 points per game, and they conceded 136 points at Cleveland and 146 points against Sacramento at home last week.
The Charlotte Hornets (5-5; 7-3-0 ATS) also open the third week with a matchup with Atlanta, and the Hornets have won three of their last five games including a 126-94 demolition job over the Cleveland Cavaliers at home in their previous outing. Unlike the Hawks, Charlotte's pace is 21st-fastest in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, but the Hornets' offensive rating is 2nd-best in the league (116.5). Hereof, the Hornets shouldn't have any problems to put some points on the scoreboard against Atlanta’s defense.
Charlotte is 8-2 straight up, and ATS in the last ten meetings with Atlanta, and the Hornets are 3-1 straight up and ATS in their four home games this season when considered as favorites. The Hawks on the other side are 1-4 straight up and ATS in their five games on the road this season, so I’m backing the Hornets to cover at home.
My Pick: Charlotte ATS
Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers – Wednesday, November 7th
Oklahoma City is slowly building up its form winning four straight games, and the Thunder will travel to Cleveland after a big game against New Orleans on Monday. They will be strong favorites to beat the Cavs on the road, as Cleveland lost eight of its nine games in this term covering the spread on four occasions.
Hereof, I'm backing Oklahoma City to storm the front against the Cavaliers on the road, as they just have to win games against bad teams and I've mentioned that Cleveland is the worst team in the league at the moment. The Cavaliers have the worst defensive rating in the NBA allowing 120.2 points per 100 possessions, although they are averaging just 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes which is the 4th-slowest pace in the league.
Likewise, I think the Cavs are ready to tank this season to get the highest possible pick at the 2019 NBA Draft, so I will lay odds on the Thunder here hoping that the chalk is not going to be a crazy one. Oklahoma City has won two consecutive games on the road, and the Thunder is 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS in the last eight road games when listed as favorites.
My Pick: Oklahoma City ATS
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic – Friday, November 9th
The Washington Wizards (2-7; 2-7-0 ATS) are going through a tough time, but they managed to end a five-game losing string with a 108-95 home win against the New York Knicks last Sunday. The Wizards have the worst ATS record in the league, and their defensive rating is 3rd-worst (115.5), while they are allowing 120.7 points per game which is another worst record. However, the Wizards certainly have a potential to turn the things around, so look after them when they visit Orlando on Friday night.
The Orlando Magic (3-6; 4-5 ATS) has a terrible PG situation still winning three games so far including a 117-110 win at the San Antonio Spurs last Sunday. On the other hand, the Magic have lost four home games in a row, and three of them came with a double-digit margin. With Nikola Vucevic in the paint and Evan Fournier on the outside, the Magic has some solid offensive weapons, but they often lack creativity in their half-court offense.
This will be a tight game, but I'm backing the Wizards to get the things going finally. Washington is 8-3 straight up, and 7-4 ATS in the last 11 meetings with the Magic, and the Wizards are 8-2 straight up and 6-4 ATS in the previous ten H2H duels in Orlando.
My Pick: Washington Wizards
Atlanta Hawks at Los Angeles Lakers – Sunday, November 11th
Another Hawks' game on this list, but the reason is straightforward. The Los Angeles Lakers (4-6; 3-7-0) have a 4th-fastest pace in the league while averaging 118.9 points per game (3rd in the league), and the Hawks' style of play seems like a perfect matchup for LeBron's up-tempo Lakers. Likewise, the Lakers are the 2nd-worst team in the league ATS, and this should be a perfect chance to improve their stats.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 4-0 straight up and ATS in the previous four meetings with Atlanta, while they won both last season's duels with a double-digit margin. At Staples Center, the Lakers hammered Atlanta 132-113 as 3.5-point favorites, so I expect to see a similar scenario on this one.
LeBron James and his teammates are still under .500, so they need to start winning games in bunches. Against Atlanta, the Lakers will play back-to-back after facing the Sacramento Kings a day before, so it’s an excellent opportunity to grab a couple of wins in a row, especially because they won’t leave Los Angeles. The Lakers are 4-2 straight up and ATS in their last six back-to-back games.
My Pick: LA Lakers ATS