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The NBA Finals are here and I for one am very disappointed at the fact that we will again be seeing the Cleveland Cavaliers hookup with the Golden State Warriors. This is the 4th year in a row that these teams will meet in the NBA Finals folks. It’s tired, overplayed, done. Let’s hope that next year we can get some new blood in the finals. Ok, now that I have made my rant, let’s try and make some money off this series with my three best prop bets. Before I get to them, let's take a quick look at the combatants. Golden State is currently 12 points favorites in game one.
Can The Cavs keep Their Defense Up In This Series?
The Cleveland Cavaliers got here by taking out the Boston Celtics in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals. The Cavaliers come in ranked 13th in playoff scoring at 101.2 ppg, while ranking second in points allowed at 99.9 ppg. Their defense really played well in the playoffs, but this will be the best offense they have faced so far. The Cavaliers have gone 25-25 on the road so far and they have averaged 107.8 ppg and have allowed 108.3 ppg in those games. Keep an eye on Lebron tiring as he has looked beat at times and has played the most playoff minutes this year so far.
The Golden State Warriors took out the Houston Rockets in seven games in the Western Conference Finals and they did so without Andre Iguodala. They ranked 2nd in the league in playoff scoring with 109.1 ppg, while ranking 3rd in playoff points allowed at 100.3 ppg. They have gone 37-13 here at home for the year and they have averaged 113.1 ppg and have allowed 104.0 ppg in those games.
Let’s Make Some Money With These Three Props
My first play is to take Over 5 games at +125. The Warriors are heavy favorites in this series and the Cavs could be without Kevin Love for part of, but if their series against the Celtics taught us anything, it is that don’t count out LeBron, especially with his back against the wall. I am not saying that the Cavs have a chance to win the series, but they will not make it easy on the Warriors. Cleveland is a solid home team and they have played very good defense in the postseason so far and should be able to win at least two games in this series.
My second play is to take Steph Curry to win the MVP at +175. Curry may not be the best player on his team, but he is still one of the best in the league and I will look for him to have a very good Finals. He is averaging 24.8 ppg in the playoffs so far and really has the propensity to hit the big shots when they need them. The Cavs were 22nd in the league at defending the arc this year and Curry has hit 43.1% of his treys at home, which is important as the Warriors will get more home games than road games in this series. Kevin Durant will have a nice series, but I see Curry walking away with the MVP.
My third play is to take Kevin Durant to average under 30 ppg at -115. I have already stated that I like Steph Curry to win the MVP in this series and while Kevin Durant will have a solid series, I do not see him topping 30 ppg. He did average 35.2 ppg in last year’s finals and has averaged 29.0 ppg in the postseason this year so far, but you have to feel that he will be foremost on the minds of the Cavs this year and Cleveland has played excellent defense in the playoffs so far. I will look for Durrant to average no more than 27.0 ppg.