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The last three years have seen the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors hook up in the NBA Finals and both teams were favored in their respective conferences to make it back to the Finals, but what happens if neither make it? The Warriors entered the playoffs at -140 to reach the Finals, while the Cavaliers were at +125, but now we could see neither team in the Finals and that would be a bit odd, especially since the odds of a Houston/ Boston NBA Finals was at +5450. That would be a nice ticket to be holding. I believe that the odds were +4000 that the NBA Finals would not have either Cleveland or Golden State in it. That would also be a very nice ticket to be holding at the moment.
I feel that the Warriors do have a better shot at making the finals than the Cavaliers do, especially if the Rockets are missing Chris Paul for the last two games. If he plays for the Rockets in those two games, then I feel that they have the better shot of reaching the Finals. Cleveland has played well at home in their series with the Celtics, but they have struggled on the road and are really lacking at the defensive end of the court. My opinion in that series is that they will not make it to the Finals and game six should be the last time that Lebron James plays at Quicken Loans Arena as a member of the Cavaliers.
Despite trailing the Rockets 3-2, the Warriors are still favored to win it all at -175, while the Rockets are at +190, the Celtics are at +900 and the Cavaliers are +1100 to win it all. That goes right along with my thinking as I feel the Warriors have a much better chance of moving on than the Cavaliers do, especially since Cleveland has not been able to figure out a tough Boston defense on the road. Cleveland has one of the best offenses in the league, but they have averaged just 86.7 ppg in their three road games against Boston in this series. The Rockets also have a game seven at home if it gets that far, but if they are without Chris Paul, then I feel they will lose that game, while they have a good shot at winning it should he play.
A Houston/ Boston Series would be a flat-out defensive battle and I feel that a Warriors/ Celtics would be on the lower scoring side as well, while Houston or Golden State against the Cavaliers would be a higher scoring series. No matter what, it will be odd to see either Golden State or Cleveland miss the NBA Finals for the first time in the last four years.
I will tell you this, I am personally hoping for a Houston/ Boston Finals as I feel that the Golden State Cleveland series is done and well overplayed. The NHL will crown a first-time champ after the Penguins won it all last year, so to see a team not named Golden State Or Cleveland in the Finals is something that I am rooting for big time.