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Final Thoughts on Updated NFL Futures

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Going into another exciting NFL season, who are the favorites for Super Bowl LIII? As you’d expect, the New England Patriots (6/1) top the charts, with the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles, always-strong Pittsburgh Steelers, crowd-favorite Los Angeles Rams, and thrilling Minnesota Vikings all coming in at 10/1. Here are some other odds of note after the final preseason games.

*Odds provided by VegasInsider

Tampa Bay (200/1) has sunk to the levels of Buffalo after an incredibly mediocre preseason. The defense was lackluster and gave up 24 points or more in three of their four games. Once we get past that, we have to look at their schedule, which is brutal. Remember the NFC South is stacked with a Matt Ryan-led Atlanta, reloaded New Orleans, and a Carolina defense that remains strong. A slow start without QB Jameis Winston could prove fatal.

Arizona (100/1) continues to have the best value in the longshot club. Yes, there’s a very good chance they could end up dead last in the NFC West. At the same time, Seattle is attempting to reload, San Francisco is hoping to continue their hot streak that ended  2017, riding a recent New England backup under center, and will the Los Angeles Rams live up to their lofty expectations on paper?

Speaking of San Francisco (30/1), they remain in the hopeful category along with teams like Dallas, Carolina, and the NY Giants. While QB Jimmy Garoppolo is getting a lot of hype, there’s still a lot of concern with the playmakers around him. It’s a team I’d certainly stay away from, considering lead running back Jerick McKinnon hasn’t proven himself yet, and their leading receiver is Marquise Goodwin.

Cleveland (80/1) doesn’t have the worst odds, but they haven’t significantly moved either way after this preseason. QB Baker Mayfield ended his preseason campaign completing 57.4 percent of his passes with two touchdowns, one pick, and was sacked four times. It was a fair showing, but with Tyrod Taylor expected to take the field to open the season, it’s only wise to see this number stand still.

New Orleans (14/1) is ready to win now, and they even helped themselves recently by securing a future quarterback in Teddy Bridgewater from the New York Jets. If there’s anything we learned in last year’s postseason, it’s to have a backup plan in place when a quarterback goes down. Maybe the Eagles were lucky if you’re not a believer in Foles, but luck rarely strikes twice under center in the NFL, especially with the lack of talent at the QB position recently.

Finally, Baltimore (25/1) has probably established themselves as the winners of the preseason. Dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson ended his campaign with 109 passing yards on 9-of-15 attempts and added 25 yards on three scampers for a touchdown. People are expecting this to add a fire under Joe Flacco to play better, which is why you see the odds shrink.

 

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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