Upcoming Free Picks

NFL Week 16 Best Bets

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Thanks a pant load to the New Orleans Saints who left us 3.5 points short of achieving a perfect Week 15. A 4-1 mark leaves us at 28-22 on the year as we head into what promises to be an eventful Week 16. We bid farewell to Thursday games but we can enjoy the second week of Saturday games which will showcase a couple of crucial matchups. Several teams will be fighting for their playoff lives on Sunday while a couple of teams will be trying to save a bit of face. Let’s take a look at the best bets for Week 16 of the NFL schedule.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins (-4)

The line for this game opened with Miami listed as a three-point favorite and it seems that the early money is on the home team as the spread is now 4 to 4.5 points. The Dolphins need a lot of things to go their way if they are going to earn a post-season berth but they are certainly still in the running for a Wildcard spot. Miami has been a completely different team at home with a 6-1 record both SU and ATS. That is a huge difference from their 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS road record. They score more at home and they allow far fewer points against at home.

As for the Jaguars, disappointing does not begin to describe them. While they are still very strong defensively, their offense has dried up and they have won just a single game in their last 10 outings. They are also 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 and they are a pitiful 1-4-1 ATS on the road. This is going to be Miami’s last home game of the season and they will send their fans and backers home happy.

My Pick: Miami Dolphins -4

 

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-12.5)

Wow! New England has lost two straight? What? They haven’t even clinched a playoff berth? What is the world coming to? Take it easy Patriots backers! Brady and company will be a completely different team this week. You see, these guys have been Jekyll and Hyde all year. They are a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home but they are just 3-5 SU and ATS on the road. Make a note of the fact that they are playing at home and they are under a bit of pressure to win.

The Bills have been less than spectacular but, despite having an inconsistent offense at best, they are still a decent defensive squad. This will be their last road game of the season and they enter this game with a 2-5 SU and a 3-4 ATS record. They may have dropped 41 points on the Jets and 27 on Minnesota but they have been held to 17 points or fewer in their other road games. It’s a lot of points to lay but the situation calls for it.

My Pick: New England Patriots -12.5

 

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4)

Well, the Falcons certainly took out their frustrations on the lowly Cardinals in Week 15 to break their five-game losing skid both SU and ATS that saw them fall out of the playoff hunt. That win also saw them eclipse the 20-point mark for the first time since their losing streak began. The fact remains that the Atlanta defense has many vulnerabilities and their offense is not nearly as good on the road as it is at home. In fact, Atlanta stinks on the road this year.

Meanwhile, the Panthers hung in with the Saints before ultimately losing 12-9 which marks their 6th straight loss. They have covered just once in that stretch and their offense is sputtering. Still, Carolina is 5-2 SU and ATS this year at home which illustrates how bad they have been on the road. Even if the Panthers record a victory here, it will still take an act of divine intervention for them to make the playoffs but they are still technically alive. That, and a need to avenge a loss to the Falcons earlier this year should be enough to win their backers some dough.

My Pick: Carolina Panthers (-4)

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (-7)

The Cowboys followed up their five-game winning streak by laying an egg in Indianapolis but they still have the edge in the NFC East and they control their own destiny. It shouldn’t be too much of a surprise that the Cowboys lost. After all, they aren’t a very strong road team having gone 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS so far. It’s a different story when they are playing at home though. They have gone 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS at home including three straight wins and covers against the likes of Philly and New Orleans.

The Buccaneers’ playoff hopes essentially died in their Week 15 loss to Baltimore. They put forth a good effort but fell short. They have now lost two critical games in a row and six of their last eight. That high-flying offense that carried them earlier in the year has not shown up for a few weeks although they should be given credit for tightening up on the defensive side. It’s difficult to see them getting fired up for this one while, on the other hand, it’s hard to see Dallas not being fired up. Get it before the hook sinks in.

My Pick: Dallas Cowboys -7

 

 

The Best of the Best

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks (+2.5)

The Chiefs took a mighty blow in their Week 15 loss to Los Angeles and they are now under a bit of pressure. It looks like the loss of Kareem Hunt has really affected this team as they have had to really fight for their points in a more one-dimensional approach. Another obvious thing is the fact that their defense is a severe liability. They may have won three of their last five games but they are 0-4-1 ATS in that span.

After dropping their Week 15 game to the 49ers, the Seahawks might look like a tough team to back especially against a playoff-bound team like the Chiefs. However, Seattle has made a lot of money for their ATS backers in the last 10 weeks as they are 6-4 SU and 7-2-1 ATS. They have won their last three in a row at home and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six at home. Seattle’s defense has been very solid in front of the home crowd so far this year while Kansas City’s defense has been a mess on the road. Seattle is looking good to pull off the upset.

My Pick: Seattle Seahawks +2.5

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Thursday, Jan 17
NBA
#541 New York Knicks 228
#542 Washington Wizards -6.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#543 Philadelphia 76ers 224.5
#544 Indiana Pacers -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#545 Sacramento Kings 230
#546 Charlotte Hornets -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#547 Phoenix Suns
#548 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#549 Chicago Bulls 212
#550 Denver Nuggets -12
9:05pm
View Pick
#551 Los Angeles Lakers 226
#552 Oklahoma City Thunder -10
9:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#601 FAU 151
#602 Marshall -9
7:00pm
View Pick
#603 Charleston 139.5
#604 Northeastern -3.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#605 Georgia Southern -2
#606 Troy 161
7:00pm
View Pick
#607 UNCW 152
#608 Hofstra -12.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#609 James Madison 134
#610 Delaware -4
7:00pm
View Pick
#611 Towson 146
#612 Drexel -5.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#613 Wright State -5.5
#614 Youngstown State 141.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#615 Southern Miss -4.5
#616 Charlotte 122.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#617 Louisiana Tech 129
#618 ODU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Northern Kentucky -9
#620 Cleveland State 142
7:00pm
View Pick
#621 UTSA -3.5
#622 Middle Tennessee State 137.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#637 Georgia State -5.5
#638 South Alabama 141
8:00pm
View Pick
#635 UTEP 132
#636 UAB -8
8:00pm
View Pick
#633 Michigan State -1
#634 Nebraska 144
8:00pm
View Pick
#631 Illinois - Chicago -3
#632 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 142.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#629 IUPUI 163
#630 Wisconsin-Green Bay -4
8:00pm
View Pick
#627 FIU 163.5
#628 Western Kentucky -13
8:00pm
View Pick
#625 Arkansas - Little Rock 140
#626 Texas State -11.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#623 Arkansas State 139.5
#624 UT Arlington -4.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#639 Loyola Marymount
#640 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#641 Stanford 138
#642 Washington -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#643 Oregon 130
#644 Arizona -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#645 San Francisco -6.5
#646 Pacific 138
9:00pm
View Pick
#647 Hawaii 148
#648 Cal State Northridge -2
10:00pm
View Pick
#649 California
#650 Washington State
10:00pm
View Pick
#651 Oregon State 141
#652 Arizona State -5.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#653 San Diego -10
#654 Portland 134
10:00pm
View Pick
#657 UCSB -3
#658 UC Davis 131.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#659 Santa Clara
#660 St Marys
11:00pm
View Pick
#661 BYU -2.5
#662 Pepperdine 163
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#31 New Jersey 6
#32 N.Y. Islanders -150
7:05pm
View Pick
#33 St. Louis 5.5
#34 Boston -175
7:05pm
View Pick
#41 Anaheim 5.5
#42 Minnesota -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#43 Los Angeles 5.5
#44 Dallas -175
8:35pm
View Pick
Saturday, Jan 19
NCAAB
#629 James Madison
#630 Drexel
2:00pm
View Pick
Sunday, Jan 20
NFL
#311 Los Angeles Rams 56.5
#312 New Orleans Saints -3.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#313 New England Patriots 58
#314 Kansas City Chiefs -3
6:40pm
View Pick