Upcoming Free Picks

NFL Week 5 Best Bets

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

There are a lot of key matchups in the NFL in Week 5, but two contests standout above the others as the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles square off in a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game. Also, the 3-1 Jacksonville Jaguars take on the 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs.

However, those are not the only exciting games this weekend, especially for those who are looking for a smart bet this weekend. If you’re looking to finish the weekend on a high note, here are five favorite bets of Week 5.

 

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers (-6.5)

There is a lot of skepticism about Carolina at home because they are just 18-11-1 against the spread when facing teams from the NFC. However, that number is skewed as Carolina is 4-7-1 against NFC South division opponents and they are 14-4-1 against the rest of the NFC in their own home stadium.

You also have to like the fact that Carolina is 3-0 against the spread and straight up when coming off a bye week since 2015. Those games have included them scoring better than 30 points per contest on average.

The Giants have struggled stopping the run this season, allowing better than 4.7 yards per carry, one of only seven teams in the National Football League to allow that many. Since Ron Rivera became the head coach in Carolina, the Panthers are 19-10 against the spread when facing a team allowing better than 4.5 yards per rush and they have scored better than 30 points per game in those 29 contests.

As a reference, the Giants have not scored 30 points in a single game since 2015, significantly reducing their odds of taking down the Panthers.

Week 5 Best Bet:  Carolina -6.5 (-110)

 

Los Angeles Rams (-7) vs. Seattle Seahawks

There are those who had plenty of doubts about Seattle entering the season, feeling their chances of being a competitor for a Super Bowl title were long past. They lost their first two games on the road, but have battled back to even their record, including an impressive home victory over the Dallas Cowboys two weeks ago in front of the howling 12th Man.

This week, Seattle takes on the Los Angeles Rams at home. The Rams won a great battle over the Minnesota Vikings a week ago Thursday, 38-31, in their third straight game at home. It was the first time this season that they did not cover the spread.

It makes sense that Los Angeles would be favored in this game. They are arguably the best team in the NFL to this point, but giving seven points in Seattle is a lot. In his last 45 games at home, quarterback Russell Wilson is 25-20 against the spread and in the previous 18 at home for head coach Pete Carroll the 'Hawks 13-5 against the number.

Los Angeles has not left the state of California this season, and Seattle is not a vast distance to travel, but the Seahawks are no cakewalk. The Rams will likely win, but we doubt they cover the spread.

Week 5 Best Bets: Seattle +7 (-105) 

 

Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-6)

The Miami Dolphins may be 3-1, but they have not looked overly impressive. They beat a Tennessee Titans team who had lost their quarterback halfway through the contest and then defeated two teams that stand a combined 2-6. They then squared off against the New England Patriots, who utterly destroyed them, 38-7.

Cincinnati is also 3-1, and they have earned that record by averaging better than 31 points per game and 375 yards in offense. They have also bested the likes of the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons, with their only loss coming in a 10-point defeat in Carolina. This team may be the actual Super Bowl contender, while Miami and their offense got exposed last week.

As long as Andy Dalton avoids giving up the ball, Cincinnati’s going to roll in this game.

Week 5 Best Bets: Cincinnati -6 (-106)

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles O/U 46 

This rematch of the NFC Championship game should be a good contest, but this probably won't be a defensive slugfest. Minnesota is coming off a game where they allowed 38 points to the Los Angeles Rams, and averages 27.5 points allowed per contest, 22nd best. Philadelphia is allowing 20.2 points per contest, tied for ninth in the league.

Those numbers would seem to make it logical that the over/under of 46.0 would be about accurate, and we agree. Minnesota looks like they are starting to put their offense together behind new quarterback Kirk Cousins, and Carson Wentz looked very good last weekend, throwing for nearly 350 yards and two touchdowns. However, these two teams are still among the bottom third in the league in points scored per contest, as Minnesota is averaging 22.5 and Philadelphia 20.5.

In the last five meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia, the total went under in four of those contests. That trend looks to continue here as well.

Week 5 Best Bets: Under 46.0 (-107)

 

 

 

The Best of the Best

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions ) O/U 51

The Packers are coming off a big defensive effort where they shutout the Buffalo Bills, 22-0. However, no one should expect that same kind of performance against a Detroit team that can score points. The Lions lost last weekend to Dallas but return home to what should be a big crowd at Ford Field.

The Packers are favored by one, but we feel it's too dicey to go with one team against the spread. The total, however, is another story. Detroit is allowing nearly 160 yards rushing per game, worst in the league, and they give up 28.5 points per contest, ranked 24th. Green Bay is allowing 20.8 points per game, but that number is skewed by the shutout. They were allowing 27.7 points per game before that.

This is where the real matchup lies. Green Bay is 19th in scoring at 23.0 ppg, but they are also coming off a week where a disgruntled Aaron Rodgers wanted to see the Packers step up their offense. That should have them looking to light it up. That will mean Stafford will have to have a big game to keep up and that plays to his strengths.

Green Bay has gone over in four of their last five games, and have gone over in each of their last five road games. Detroit has also gone over in four of their last five games and has gone over in eight of their last 11 at home. That sounds like good odds to go over in this contest.

Week 5 Best Bets: Over 51.0 (-110)

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Thursday, Jan 17
NBA
#541 New York Knicks 228
#542 Washington Wizards -6.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#543 Philadelphia 76ers 224.5
#544 Indiana Pacers -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#545 Sacramento Kings 230
#546 Charlotte Hornets -3
7:05pm
View Pick
#547 Phoenix Suns
#548 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#549 Chicago Bulls 212
#550 Denver Nuggets -12
9:05pm
View Pick
#551 Los Angeles Lakers 226
#552 Oklahoma City Thunder -10
9:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#601 FAU 151
#602 Marshall -9
7:00pm
View Pick
#603 Charleston 139.5
#604 Northeastern -3.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#605 Georgia Southern -2
#606 Troy 161
7:00pm
View Pick
#607 UNCW 152
#608 Hofstra -12.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#609 James Madison 134
#610 Delaware -4
7:00pm
View Pick
#611 Towson 146
#612 Drexel -5.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#613 Wright State -5.5
#614 Youngstown State 141.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#615 Southern Miss -4.5
#616 Charlotte 122.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#617 Louisiana Tech 129
#618 ODU -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#619 Northern Kentucky -9
#620 Cleveland State 142
7:00pm
View Pick
#621 UTSA -3.5
#622 Middle Tennessee State 137.5
7:30pm
View Pick
#637 Georgia State -5.5
#638 South Alabama 141
8:00pm
View Pick
#635 UTEP 132
#636 UAB -8
8:00pm
View Pick
#633 Michigan State -1
#634 Nebraska 144
8:00pm
View Pick
#631 Illinois - Chicago -3
#632 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 142.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#629 IUPUI 163
#630 Wisconsin-Green Bay -4
8:00pm
View Pick
#627 FIU 163.5
#628 Western Kentucky -13
8:00pm
View Pick
#625 Arkansas - Little Rock 140
#626 Texas State -11.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#623 Arkansas State 139.5
#624 UT Arlington -4.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#639 Loyola Marymount
#640 Gonzaga
9:00pm
View Pick
#641 Stanford 138
#642 Washington -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#643 Oregon 130
#644 Arizona -4.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#645 San Francisco -6.5
#646 Pacific 138
9:00pm
View Pick
#647 Hawaii 148
#648 Cal State Northridge -2
10:00pm
View Pick
#649 California
#650 Washington State
10:00pm
View Pick
#651 Oregon State 141
#652 Arizona State -5.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#653 San Diego -10
#654 Portland 134
10:00pm
View Pick
#657 UCSB -3
#658 UC Davis 131.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#659 Santa Clara
#660 St Marys
11:00pm
View Pick
#661 BYU -2.5
#662 Pepperdine 163
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#31 New Jersey 6
#32 N.Y. Islanders -150
7:05pm
View Pick
#33 St. Louis 5.5
#34 Boston -175
7:05pm
View Pick
#41 Anaheim 5.5
#42 Minnesota -180
8:05pm
View Pick
#43 Los Angeles 5.5
#44 Dallas -175
8:35pm
View Pick
Saturday, Jan 19
NCAAB
#629 James Madison
#630 Drexel
2:00pm
View Pick
Sunday, Jan 20
NFL
#311 Los Angeles Rams 56.5
#312 New Orleans Saints -3.5
3:05pm
View Pick
#313 New England Patriots 58
#314 Kansas City Chiefs -3
6:40pm
View Pick