Upcoming Free Picks

NFL Week 5 Best Bets

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

There are a lot of key matchups in the NFL in Week 5, but two contests standout above the others as the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles square off in a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship game. Also, the 3-1 Jacksonville Jaguars take on the 4-0 Kansas City Chiefs.

However, those are not the only exciting games this weekend, especially for those who are looking for a smart bet this weekend. If you’re looking to finish the weekend on a high note, here are five favorite bets of Week 5.

 

New York Giants vs. Carolina Panthers (-6.5)

There is a lot of skepticism about Carolina at home because they are just 18-11-1 against the spread when facing teams from the NFC. However, that number is skewed as Carolina is 4-7-1 against NFC South division opponents and they are 14-4-1 against the rest of the NFC in their own home stadium.

You also have to like the fact that Carolina is 3-0 against the spread and straight up when coming off a bye week since 2015. Those games have included them scoring better than 30 points per contest on average.

The Giants have struggled stopping the run this season, allowing better than 4.7 yards per carry, one of only seven teams in the National Football League to allow that many. Since Ron Rivera became the head coach in Carolina, the Panthers are 19-10 against the spread when facing a team allowing better than 4.5 yards per rush and they have scored better than 30 points per game in those 29 contests.

As a reference, the Giants have not scored 30 points in a single game since 2015, significantly reducing their odds of taking down the Panthers.

Week 5 Best Bet:  Carolina -6.5 (-110)

 

Los Angeles Rams (-7) vs. Seattle Seahawks

There are those who had plenty of doubts about Seattle entering the season, feeling their chances of being a competitor for a Super Bowl title were long past. They lost their first two games on the road, but have battled back to even their record, including an impressive home victory over the Dallas Cowboys two weeks ago in front of the howling 12th Man.

This week, Seattle takes on the Los Angeles Rams at home. The Rams won a great battle over the Minnesota Vikings a week ago Thursday, 38-31, in their third straight game at home. It was the first time this season that they did not cover the spread.

It makes sense that Los Angeles would be favored in this game. They are arguably the best team in the NFL to this point, but giving seven points in Seattle is a lot. In his last 45 games at home, quarterback Russell Wilson is 25-20 against the spread and in the previous 18 at home for head coach Pete Carroll the 'Hawks 13-5 against the number.

Los Angeles has not left the state of California this season, and Seattle is not a vast distance to travel, but the Seahawks are no cakewalk. The Rams will likely win, but we doubt they cover the spread.

Week 5 Best Bets: Seattle +7 (-105) 

 

Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-6)

The Miami Dolphins may be 3-1, but they have not looked overly impressive. They beat a Tennessee Titans team who had lost their quarterback halfway through the contest and then defeated two teams that stand a combined 2-6. They then squared off against the New England Patriots, who utterly destroyed them, 38-7.

Cincinnati is also 3-1, and they have earned that record by averaging better than 31 points per game and 375 yards in offense. They have also bested the likes of the Baltimore Ravens and the Atlanta Falcons, with their only loss coming in a 10-point defeat in Carolina. This team may be the actual Super Bowl contender, while Miami and their offense got exposed last week.

As long as Andy Dalton avoids giving up the ball, Cincinnati’s going to roll in this game.

Week 5 Best Bets: Cincinnati -6 (-106)

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles O/U 46 

This rematch of the NFC Championship game should be a good contest, but this probably won't be a defensive slugfest. Minnesota is coming off a game where they allowed 38 points to the Los Angeles Rams, and averages 27.5 points allowed per contest, 22nd best. Philadelphia is allowing 20.2 points per contest, tied for ninth in the league.

Those numbers would seem to make it logical that the over/under of 46.0 would be about accurate, and we agree. Minnesota looks like they are starting to put their offense together behind new quarterback Kirk Cousins, and Carson Wentz looked very good last weekend, throwing for nearly 350 yards and two touchdowns. However, these two teams are still among the bottom third in the league in points scored per contest, as Minnesota is averaging 22.5 and Philadelphia 20.5.

In the last five meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia, the total went under in four of those contests. That trend looks to continue here as well.

Week 5 Best Bets: Under 46.0 (-107)

 

 

 

The Best of the Best

Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions ) O/U 51

The Packers are coming off a big defensive effort where they shutout the Buffalo Bills, 22-0. However, no one should expect that same kind of performance against a Detroit team that can score points. The Lions lost last weekend to Dallas but return home to what should be a big crowd at Ford Field.

The Packers are favored by one, but we feel it's too dicey to go with one team against the spread. The total, however, is another story. Detroit is allowing nearly 160 yards rushing per game, worst in the league, and they give up 28.5 points per contest, ranked 24th. Green Bay is allowing 20.8 points per game, but that number is skewed by the shutout. They were allowing 27.7 points per game before that.

This is where the real matchup lies. Green Bay is 19th in scoring at 23.0 ppg, but they are also coming off a week where a disgruntled Aaron Rodgers wanted to see the Packers step up their offense. That should have them looking to light it up. That will mean Stafford will have to have a big game to keep up and that plays to his strengths.

Green Bay has gone over in four of their last five games, and have gone over in each of their last five road games. Detroit has also gone over in four of their last five games and has gone over in eight of their last 11 at home. That sounds like good odds to go over in this contest.

Week 5 Best Bets: Over 51.0 (-110)

The Admiral

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to me, I am your man. Folks, I have been doing this since....forever, so yeah, I know a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with the totals. Basketball, Soccer, Football, Hockey, you name it, and I will find the best pick for you.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Wednesday, Mar 20
NCAAB
#715 North Dakota State 133
#716 NC Central -5.5
6:40pm
View Pick
#717 Toledo 140
#718 Xavier -6
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Norfolk State
#720 Alabama
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Arizona State -1
#714 St. John's 151
9:10pm
View Pick
MLB
#901 Seattle Mariners
#902 Oakland Athletics
5:35am
View Pick
Tuesday, Mar 19
NBA
#551 Philadelphia 76ers 223.5
#552 Charlotte Hornets -1
7:05pm
View Pick
#553 Houston Rockets -7.5
#554 Atlanta Hawks 232.5
7:35pm
View Pick
#555 Golden State Warriors
#556 Minnesota Timberwolves
8:05pm
View Pick
#557 Los Angeles Lakers 236.5
#558 Milwaukee Bucks -13
8:05pm
View Pick
#559 Brooklyn Nets 230.5
#560 Sacramento Kings -3.5
10:05pm
View Pick
#561 Indiana Pacers 220
#562 Los Angeles Clippers -5
10:35pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#669 Fairleigh Dickinson -2.5
#670 Prairie View A&M 150
6:40pm
View Pick
#673 Hofstra 158
#674 NC State -10
7:00pm
View Pick
#681 Campbell 142
#682 UNC Greensboro -10.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 IUPUI 163.5
#706 Marshall -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#893 Wright State
#894 Clemson
7:00pm
View Pick
#685 San Diego 148
#686 Memphis -5.5
8:00pm
View Pick
#675 South Dakota State 152
#676 Texas -7
9:00pm
View Pick
#687 Arkansas 140
#688 Providence -5.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#689 Loyola - Chicago 134
#690 Creighton -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#693 Cal State Northridge 156
#694 Utah Valley -13
9:00pm
View Pick
#671 Belmont -3.5
#672 Temple 154.5
9:10pm
View Pick
#691 Dayton 135
#692 Colorado -3.5
11:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#9 Washington -230
#10 New Jersey 6
7:38pm
View Pick
#13 Edmonton 5.5
#14 St. Louis -205
8:08pm
View Pick
#17 Florida 5.5
#18 Dallas -155
8:38pm
View Pick
Thursday, Mar 21
NCAAB
#773 Minnesota 134
#774 Louisville -5
12:15pm
View Pick
#767 Yale 160.5
#768 LSU -8
12:40pm
View Pick
#781 New Mexico State 143
#782 Auburn -6.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#763 Vermont 133
#764 Florida State -10.5
2:00pm
View Pick
#775 Bradley
#776 Michigan State
2:45pm
View Pick
#783 Northeastern 144
#784 Kansas -7
4:00pm
View Pick
#761 Murray State 148
#762 Marquette -4.5
4:30pm
View Pick
#777 Florida 132.5
#778 Nevada -2
6:50pm
View Pick
#771 Abilene Christian
#772 Kentucky
7:10pm
View Pick
#757 Saint Mary's 129
#758 Villanova -5.5
7:20pm
View Pick
#779 Montana
#780 Michigan
9:20pm
View Pick
#769 Seton Hall 142.5
#770 Wofford -3
9:40pm
View Pick
#759 ODU 129
#760 Purdue -13
9:50pm
View Pick
#787 Baylor 135
#788 Syracuse -2.5
9:57pm
View Pick
Friday, Mar 22
NCAAB
#805 Iowa 139
#806 Cincinnati -3.5
12:15pm
View Pick
#803 Oklahoma 142
#804 Ole Miss -2
12:40pm
View Pick
#819 Northern Kentucky
#820 Texas Tech
1:30pm
View Pick
#827 Cal Irvine 118
#828 Kansas State -5
2:00pm
View Pick
#807 Colgate
#808 Tennessee
2:45pm
View Pick
#801 Gardner-Webb
#802 Virginia
3:10pm
View Pick
#825 Oregon 116
#826 Wisconsin -1
4:30pm
View Pick
#811 Washington 134
#812 Utah State -2.5
6:50pm
View Pick
#815 Georgia State 142
#816 Houston -12
7:20pm
View Pick
#821 Liberty 135
#822 Mississippi St -7
7:27pm
View Pick
#809 Iona
#810 North Carolina (UNC)
9:20pm
View Pick
#799 UCF -1.5
#800 VCU 124.5
9:40pm
View Pick
#813 Ohio State 140
#814 Iowa State -5.5
9:50pm
View Pick
#823 St. Louis 126
#824 Virginia Tech -10.5
9:57pm
View Pick