Rory McIlroy enters Friday's second round of the BMW Championship tied for the lead after a bogey-free 6-under 64, and his market position has changed dramatically from where it stood before the tournament. McIlroy was around 5.5% to win the BMW Championship on Kalshi before the opening round. After Thursday's…

Scottie Scheffler's BMW Championship chances have moved up to 24% on Polymarket as the opening round gets underway at Bellerive Country Club, keeping the defending champion well clear of the rest of the 50-player field. The 2026 BMW Championship winner market on Polymarket now prices Scheffler at 24%, up from…

Thursday's MLB best bets focus on the three remaining night games, with a pitching-driven under in Baltimore, a first-five underdog angle in Texas and a team-total under in Houston. With several afternoon games already underway, this card only includes bets that remain actionable for Thursday night. Each selection comes directly…

Democrats' House Control Chances are 84% on Kalshi as the 2026 midterm battle takes shape after Tuesday's primaries and a new Florida congressional map gives Republicans a potentially important advantage. The Kalshi market on which party will win control of the U.S. House currently gives Democrats an 84% probability of…

MLB Best Bets for August 19 feature five plays from Wednesday's Winners & Whiners card, including a plus-money total at Coors Field, two first-five bets and a pair of targeted moneyline and team-total spots. There are 15 games covered on today's Winners & Whiners MLB picks board. Rather than forcing…

Caitlin Clark props and odds are live on Kalshi ahead of Tuesday night's Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo matchup, with traders pricing markets on Clark's points, three-pointers, rebounds and other player outcomes. Clark enters the 7:00 PM ET game at Scotiabank Arena as the centerpiece of an Indiana team heavily…

2026 senate control chances continue to favor Republicans as Alaska voters cast ballots in one of the most closely watched Senate races of the midterm cycle. The Polymarket market on which party will control the Senate after the 2026 midterms currently gives Republicans a 56% chance of retaining the chamber,…

Trump Canada tariff chances have fallen to about 40% as traders increasingly lean toward the new 50% U.S. duties on certain Canadian goods not taking effect as scheduled on Aug. 19. The Kalshi market on whether Trump's 50% tariffs on Canada will take effect Aug. 19 is now around 40%…

September fed rate chances continue to favor no change after U.S. import prices fell in July, with Kalshi traders giving the Federal Reserve a 71% chance of holding interest rates steady at its September meeting. The Kalshi September Fed decision market currently prices a 25-basis-point rate hike at 28%, while…

Best no deposit sweepstakes bonuses this week include free signup offers from PlayFame, MegaBonanza, RealPrize and Dara Casino, giving eligible new users Gold Coins and Sweeps Coins without requiring an initial purchase. The strongest current free signup packages for Aug. 17-23 include two offers with 2.5 Sweeps Coins and two…

Jordan Spieth enters Friday at the FedEx St. Jude Championship with considerably more at stake than simply chasing the tournament lead. Spieth began the opening event of the FedExCup Playoffs ranked No. 54 in the season standings, four spots outside the top 50 that will advance to next week's BMW…

A'ja Wilson gets another shot at the Washington Mystics on Thursday night, and Kalshi traders have her primary scoring contract sitting almost exactly at a coin flip. Wilson is currently priced at 51% to score 25 or more points when the Las Vegas Aces host Washington at 10:00 p.m. ET.…

Fernando Mendoza enters his first NFL preseason game already tied at the top of one of the league's most closely watched rookie markets. Kalshi currently gives the Las Vegas Raiders quarterback a **17% chance to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year**, matching Arizona Cardinals running back Jeremiyah Love for…

Scottie Scheffler enters the FedEx St. Jude Championship as the clear favorite on Polymarket, but traders are still assigning the world No. 1 only a 14% probability of winning at TPC Southwind. Scheffler's contract currently shows Yes at 15 cents and No at 87 cents, with $1,241 in displayed individual…

The Toronto Blue Jays remain outside the American League playoff picture, but prediction-market traders are becoming noticeably less pessimistic about their chances of getting back into the race. Kalshi now gives Toronto an 18% probability of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, with Yes contracts available at 19 cents and No…