Ravens 62% to Beat Cowboys in Rio | Kalshi Promo Code

By: Al MacMillan Published 09/27/2026, 11:45 AM ET

The Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday afternoon in the NFL's first game in Rio de Janeiro, and the prediction market currently favors Baltimore.

Kalshi gives the Ravens approximately a 62% chance to beat the Cowboys, compared with 38% for Dallas.

The market has already generated more than $340,000 in trading volume, making Ravens-Cowboys one of the busiest games on Sunday's NFL board.

The matchup also arrives with significant injury news on both sides.

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Baltimore wide receiver Zay Flowers is questionable with a hamstring injury, while starting left tackle Ronnie Stanley has been ruled out.

Dallas enters even more depleted defensively, with DeMarvion Overshown, Cobie Durant, Malik Hooker and P.J. Locke all ruled out.

That gives Sunday's game a deeper prediction board than the winner market alone.

Eligible new users can enter Kalshi promo code WINNERS when registering.

Ravens vs Cowboys Odds Today

Kalshi's main game market currently has:

  • Baltimore Ravens to win: 62%
  • Dallas Cowboys to win: 38%

Baltimore is the favorite, but Sunday's market includes several tighter alternatives.

The total is nearly even.

The passing-yard props for Lamar Jackson and Dak Prescott are both close to 50-50 thresholds.

And Baltimore's first-half scoring market offers another way to track whether the Ravens can turn their pregame advantage into an early lead.

Ravens Have a 62% Chance to Beat Cowboys

Baltimore enters Sunday at 1-1.

Dallas is also 1-1.

Kalshi currently gives the Ravens approximately a 62% chance to win, leaving the Cowboys around 38%.

That makes Baltimore a meaningful favorite without placing the game in runaway territory.

The Ravens have several offensive advantages, but their injury report creates some uncertainty.

Flowers remains questionable after dealing with a hamstring injury that also kept him out of Baltimore's previous game.

Stanley, one of the Ravens' most important offensive linemen, is out with a toe injury.

Those absences matter against a Dallas defense that is also missing multiple starters.

Cowboys Defense Has Four Players Ruled Out

Dallas enters the Rio game with significant defensive absences.

Linebacker DeMarvion Overshown is out with a hamstring injury.

Cornerback Cobie Durant is out.

Safety Malik Hooker is out.

Safety P.J. Locke is also unavailable.

That creates potential pressure on a Cowboys secondary facing Lamar Jackson and a Baltimore offense capable of producing explosive plays through both the air and on the ground.

The injury situation is one reason Sunday's secondary markets deserve attention.

Dallas may need to compensate with more scoring if its defense struggles to contain Baltimore.

Zay Flowers Is Questionable for Baltimore

The biggest Baltimore question involves Flowers.

The Ravens receiver is listed as questionable after working through a hamstring injury.

He missed Baltimore's previous game.

Flowers already has 150 receiving yards through his early-season work and remains one of Jackson's primary explosive-play options.

His status could affect several markets Sunday afternoon.

If Flowers plays, Baltimore regains a major vertical threat.

If he sits, the Ravens may lean more heavily on Derrick Henry, their tight ends and the rest of the receiving group.

That makes Flowers' final active status one of the most important pregame updates to monitor.

Ronnie Stanley Is Out for Ravens

Baltimore will definitely be without Stanley.

The starting left tackle was ruled out after missing practice during the week with a toe injury.

That creates an important matchup issue for the Ravens' offense.

Protecting Jackson becomes more difficult without Stanley on the left side of the line, particularly in a game where Baltimore is favored and expected to produce points.

The Ravens do receive some help defensively.

Nnamdi Madubuike is set to return after missing more than a year.

He was removed from the final injury report after participating fully in practice.

Ravens vs Cowboys Total Sits Near 52.5

The total-points market is much tighter than the game winner.

Kalshi currently gives Over 52.5 points approximately a 52% chance.

That puts the main scoring market almost directly in the middle.

Nearby thresholds show the same balance.

Over 51.5 points is slightly more likely.

Over 53.5 sits closer to the opposite side of 50%.

That means traders have a fairly narrow expected scoring band for a matchup featuring two productive quarterbacks.

Lamar Jackson 250 Passing Yards Is Around 57%

One of the main quarterback props asks whether Jackson will reach 250 passing yards.

Kalshi currently gives Jackson 250+ passing yards approximately a 57% chance.

That prop becomes particularly interesting because Dallas is missing multiple defensive backs.

Jackson has thrown for 559 yards through Baltimore's first two games while completing nearly 68% of his passes.

The Flowers injury complicates the projection.

But the Cowboys' depleted secondary creates an opposing factor in Jackson's favor.

Dak Prescott 275 Passing Yards Is Around 55%

Dallas may need Prescott to throw frequently if Baltimore builds an early lead.

Kalshi currently prices Prescott 275+ passing yards around 55%.

Prescott has thrown for 454 yards through two games with six touchdowns and one interception.

His early-season efficiency gives the Cowboys a path even if Baltimore's offense performs well.

That also contributes to the relatively high game total.

The market expects both quarterbacks to have realistic opportunities to clear substantial passing thresholds.

Ravens First-Half Team Total Is Another Market to Watch

Baltimore's first-half scoring market also leans toward offense.

Kalshi gives the Ravens approximately a 55% chance to score more than 13.5 points before halftime.

The lower 9.5-point threshold sits much higher.

That gives traders a useful read on Baltimore's expected start.

The Ravens are favored overall.

They are also favored to reach two touchdowns worth of first-half scoring.

But neither market is overwhelming enough to remove uncertainty.

Ravens vs Cowboys Is the NFL's First Game in Rio

Sunday's matchup carries significance beyond the standings.

Baltimore and Dallas are playing at MaracanΓ£ Stadium in Rio de Janeiro.

It is the NFL's first game in Rio.

Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

The international setting adds another layer of uncertainty because neither team is playing in a standard home environment.

Travel, routine changes and field conditions can all become part of the pregame discussion.

The market, however, still gives Baltimore the clear edge.

Ravens vs Cowboys Markets to Watch

Four markets stand out Sunday afternoon.

Baltimore to win: 62%

This is the primary market and establishes the Ravens as the favorite.

Over 52.5 points: 52%

The game total remains close to even despite Baltimore's advantage in the winner market.

Lamar Jackson 250+ passing yards: 57%

Dallas' defensive injuries make Jackson's passing market especially relevant.

Dak Prescott 275+ passing yards: 55%

Prescott may need significant volume if the Cowboys are playing from behind.

Those markets create four different ways to read the same game.

Baltimore is favored.

The total is close.

And both quarterbacks have passing props sitting slightly above 50%.

Kalshi Promo Code WINNERS

Eligible new users can enter Kalshi promo code WINNERS when creating an account.

Kalshi offers NFL prediction markets covering game winners, spreads, totals, team totals, player passing and receiving milestones, first-half results and other game outcomes.

Promotion availability, qualifying requirements and geographic restrictions can vary. Users should verify the current terms displayed during registration.

Ravens-Cowboys Has One of Sunday's Best Market Boards

Baltimore enters Rio as the favorite.

Kalshi gives the Ravens approximately a 62% chance to win.

Dallas remains at 38%.

But the supporting markets are much tighter.

Over 52.5 points is around 52%.

Jackson reaching 250 passing yards is around 57%.

Prescott reaching 275 is around 55%.

Baltimore scoring more than 13.5 first-half points is also near 55%.

The injuries add another layer.

Flowers is questionable.

Stanley is out.

Dallas is missing four defenders.

Madubuike is returning.

That combination makes Ravens-Cowboys more than a simple favorite-versus-underdog market.

It is one of Sunday's deepest pregame prediction boards.

Prediction-market prices can change before and during the game and represent current trader pricing rather than guarantees. Event-contract trading involves risk. Promotion availability, eligibility requirements and geographic restrictions apply.

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