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Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx,
6/26/18 - WNBA Prediction and Preview

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

A pair of Western Conference foes hit the hardwood in WNBA action from the Land of 10,000 Lakes. The Seattle Storm is on the road as they travel to face the surging Minnesota Lynx Tuesday night. Seattle won their second straight as they rolled over Dallas 97-76 on the road Sunday afternoon. Minnesota made it four straight wins as they took down Las Vegas 88-73 on the road Sunday. The Lynx took two of the three meetings last season, including a 93-82 win in the lone meeting here on July 30, 2017.

Seattle Storm Chasing Down Top Spot in Western Conference

Seattle won their second straight and their fourth in the last five games as they easily took care of business against the Wings. With the win, they improved to 10-4 on the season and trail Los Angeles by half a game for the top spot in the Western Conference. The Storm led by as many as 15 points in the first half before seeing Dallas cut the lead to seven at intermission. Seattle found itself trailing 71-70 with 7:56 to go before ripping off a 22-0 run over the next five and a half minutes to take a commanding advantage in the contest. The Storm shot 52.9 percent from the field, including drilling 13 of 29 three point attempts, and dominated the boards by a 39-22 margin. Breanna Stewart poured in 28 points and 12 rebounds to lead Seattle in the victory.

The Storm comes into this contest second in the league in scoring offense with an average of 88.4 points per game. Seattle is sixth in rebounding (34.6 boards per contest) and is tops in the league in assists by dishing out 20.6 per night this year. The Storm is fourth in scoring defense as they allow 80.5 points a game so far this year. Breanna Stewart leads the team with 21.9 points plus 7.9 rebounds per contest this season. Jewell Loyd (18 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.9 assists) and Natasha Howard (14.1 points, 6.8 boards) are solid secondary scoring options. Sue Bird, Alysha Clark, Jordin Canada, Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis and Courtney Paris are all important pieces of Dan Hughes’ rotation. The Storm is second in the league in field goal percentage as they convert 47.1 percent of their shots from the floor this year. Seattle is tops in the league in three point field goals made per game (8.6) and in three point percentage as they knock down 36.2 percent from beyond the arc. The Storm is efficient at the line, ranking third in the league by converting 82 percent of their chances.

Minnesota Lynx Gun for Fifth Straight Win

Minnesota showed little letdown from their win over Phoenix Friday night as they went on the road and took care of business against Las Vegas. The Lynx improved to 7-6 on the year with the win and enter this one three games behind the Sparks for the Western Conference lead. Minnesota led by 10 after one and by as many as 15 in the second quarter before seeing their lead trimmed to six at halftime. The Lynx regrouped, taking a double digit lead just over a minute into the second half and never letting the Aces close to within single digits again. Minnesota shot a blistering 55.1 percent from the floor while going five of 15 from beyond the arc and controlled the boards 36-29. Maya Moore led the Lynx with 23 points in the win.

The Lynx are tied for sixth in the league in scoring average as they put up 80.5 points per game this season. Minnesota is fifth in rebounding (36 boards) per game and seventh in assists by dishing out 18.5 dimes per contest. The Lynx has been solid on the defensive end of the floor, ranking third in the league by allowing 78.7 points a night. Maya Moore leads Minnesota with 18.8 points plus 5.5 rebounds per contest. Sylvia Fowles is a force down low with 17.6 points plus 11.9 boards a night while Seimone Augustus contributes 11.4 points a game. Rebekkah Brunson, Danielle Robinson, Tanisha Wright and Lindsay Whalen are all looked at as key cogs in the rotation. The Lynx is fourth in the league by shooting 44.7 percent from the floor as a team. Minnesota isn’t overly reliant on perimeter shooting: they are ninth in three pointers per game (5.3) despite ranking third in three point percentage (35 percent) this season. The Lynx stands ninth in free throw percentage as they convert 77.9 percent of their chances.

Trends:

Seattle

  • No Key Trends

Minnesota

  • Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games
  • Lynx are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference
  • Lynx are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day of rest

This one could well come down to the way perimeter shots are falling in this contest. Seattle is the league’s most dangerous team from the outside and if they’re hot as they were against Dallas, they can run away from teams. The Storm’s perimeter shooting against the Lynx’s ability to pound the ball down low is going to be an interesting contrast to watch. The duel between Stewart and Moore is going to be a major factor in this one as well: in the end, Seattle just has a little too much for Minnesota and the Storm picks up a close road win.

Pick: Seattle Storm +6.5

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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