Super RIZIN.5 Odds: PFL vs RIZIN | Kalshi Promo Code
PFL and RIZIN are making MMA history Thursday morning in Osaka.
SUPER RIZIN.5 is headlined by undefeated RIZIN featherweight champion Razhabali Shaydullaev against former Bellator champion A.J. McKee, with both the RIZIN and PFL featherweight championships at stake in the same fight.
The current sportsbook market makes Shaydullaev the favorite at approximately -185, while McKee is available around +170.
The rest of the SUPER RIZIN.5 card also features Mikuru Asakura vs. Shinya Aoki, Karshyga Dautbek vs. Ren Hiramoto and Roberto Satoshi de Souza vs. Shunta Nomura.
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Kalshi offers MMA prediction markets as part of its broader sports platform, although a dedicated SUPER RIZIN.5 contract was not visible in the latest market check. The fight prices discussed below are sportsbook odds, not Kalshi contract prices.
Eligible new users can use Kalshi promo code WINNERS where available and should review the current signup offer displayed below before participating.
PFL vs RIZIN Makes History at SUPER RIZIN.5
The main event is more than another international MMA matchup.
Shaydullaev enters as the reigning RIZIN featherweight champion.
McKee represents the PFL side of the equation.
Instead of simply sending one champion into another promotion to fight for a single belt, RIZIN and PFL are putting both featherweight championships on the line simultaneously.
One fight will produce one fighter holding championships from both organizations.
That gives SUPER RIZIN.5 a much larger significance than a normal RIZIN event.
It is also an early test of what deeper cooperation between RIZIN and PFL could look like.
A successful cross-promotional main event could create future opportunities for champions and contenders from the two organizations to meet without waiting for free agency or permanent roster moves.
Shaydullaev vs McKee Odds
The current sportsbook market favors Shaydullaev.
Current main-event prices:
- Razhabali Shaydullaev: approximately -185
- A.J. McKee: approximately +170
Those prices have varied between sportsbooks, making comparison especially important on a card that does not have the same depth of U.S. betting coverage as a major UFC event.
Shaydullaev has been available around -185 at the better end of the market.
McKee has reached approximately +170.
That makes Shaydullaev the clear favorite without turning the fight into the kind of prohibitive mismatch seen elsewhere on the SUPER RIZIN.5 card.
Why Shaydullaev Is Favored Against McKee
Shaydullaev enters the biggest international showcase of his career with a 19-0 professional record.
The 25-year-old has become one of the most dangerous featherweights competing outside the UFC and built his reputation around finishing fights rather than simply controlling rounds.
He has already beaten a collection of experienced RIZIN opponents and arrives Thursday as the promotion's featherweight champion.
The current betting price reflects that momentum.
The SUPER RIZIN.5 market has also leaned toward another relatively short fight.
Under 2.5 rounds has been available around -139 in the current total market.
That does not guarantee another Shaydullaev finish.
McKee is considerably more accomplished than most of the opponents Shaydullaev has faced during his rise.
But the combination of Shaydullaev's finishing history and aggressive style explains why both his moneyline and the Under are receiving market support.
A.J. McKee Is a Dangerous +170 Underdog
McKee is not a conventional challenger.
The American is a former Bellator featherweight champion and owns victories over high-level opposition across a much longer major-promotion career.
He enters SUPER RIZIN.5 at 25-2 and has already experienced five-round championship pressure, international competition and fights against elite featherweights.
That experience is what makes the +170 price interesting.
Shaydullaev is younger, undefeated and has been extraordinarily destructive.
McKee offers a completely different challenge from the opponents who helped build that record.
He has the athleticism to create unusual striking exchanges, the grappling ability to survive difficult positions and enough experience to remain dangerous if Shaydullaev cannot produce an early finish.
At approximately +170, the market gives McKee a meaningful chance to spoil RIZIN's biggest homegrown championship story of the year.
Other SUPER RIZIN.5 Odds
The main event is not the only heavily priced fight on the card.
Mikuru Asakura is a significant favorite against Japanese MMA legend Shinya Aoki.
Current sportsbook prices have Asakura around -375 with Aoki near +299.
Karshyga Dautbek is approximately -225 against Ren Hiramoto at +190.
Roberto Satoshi de Souza is much closer to a competitive favorite against Shunta Nomura.
De Souza has been available around -145, while Nomura has reached approximately +130.
One of the most unusual markets is Vugar Karamov vs. Ryo Takagi.
Some sportsbooks have shown the matchup close to -110 on both sides, while other books have made Karamov a considerably larger favorite.
That kind of disagreement is a reminder to compare prices rather than assume every SUPER RIZIN.5 betting market is identical across operators.
SUPER RIZIN.5 Main Card
The MMA portion of Thursday's card includes:
- Razhabali Shaydullaev vs. A.J. McKee
- Mikuru Asakura vs. Shinya Aoki
- Karshyga Dautbek vs. Ren Hiramoto
- Roberto Satoshi de Souza vs. Shunta Nomura
- Yutaka Saito vs. YA-MAN
- Vugar Karamov vs. Ryo Takagi
- RENA vs. Natalia Kuziutina
A lightweight kickboxing bout between Noah Bey and Hide Meison Usami is also part of the event.
Is SUPER RIZIN.5 Available on Kalshi?
Kalshi has an active MMA section featuring fight-winner, method-of-finish and other combat-sports contracts.
A dedicated SUPER RIZIN.5 market was not visible in the latest check before publication.
That distinction matters.
The -185 price on Shaydullaev and +170 price on McKee are current sportsbook prices.
They should not be confused with Kalshi probabilities.
If a dedicated SUPER RIZIN.5 market appears on Kalshi before the main event, its contract prices would provide a separate prediction-market probability and could move independently of sportsbook odds.
Users should verify the live Kalshi MMA board before trading.
Kalshi Promo Code WINNERS
Eligible new users interested in Kalshi can use promo code WINNERS where available.
Kalshi's current Winners & Whiners signup module displays the latest qualifying offer and eligibility requirements.
Prediction-market contracts trade between market participants and settle according to the rules of the individual contract.
Prices can change rapidly.
Users should review the current contract rules, market availability and promotional terms before participating.
How to Watch Shaydullaev vs McKee
SUPER RIZIN.5 takes place Thursday, September 10 at Kyocera Dome Osaka in Japan.
The full card is available through RIZIN's streaming platform.
PFL is also scheduled to stream the Shaydullaev-McKee main event free on its official YouTube channel for U.S. viewers.
The PFL broadcast is scheduled to begin around 6:30 a.m. ET.
The exact fight time can move depending on how long the earlier bouts last.
What PFL vs RIZIN Could Mean After SUPER RIZIN.5
The most important result Thursday may extend beyond whichever fighter leaves Osaka with two belts.
PFL and RIZIN are testing a format that allows champions from different organizations to meet while preserving the importance of both championships.
That could create significantly more interesting matchmaking.
RIZIN has several fighters who would benefit from access to PFL opponents.
PFL has internationally known fighters who could gain from appearing in front of the Japanese audience.
For now, everything begins with Shaydullaev and McKee.
Shaydullaev enters around -185 as the favorite.
McKee is roughly +170 as the experienced underdog.
Two promotions are putting two championships into the same fight.
By Thursday morning, either RIZIN's undefeated champion or PFL's former Bellator star will leave Osaka holding both belts.
