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MEXICO vs. SWEDEN – FIFA World Cup Preview,
Odds and Picks 6/27/18

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The tilt between Mexico and Sweden will be played at the Central Stadium in Yekaterinburg on June 27th. The Tricolor collected six points out of the first two games and now a draw would be enough to remain at the top of the group, while the Swedes must win or get a point in case Germany fails to beat South Korea.

Mexico vs. Sweden

Three-Way: 1: Mexico +145; X: +229 Draw; 2: Sweden +220

Spread -0.5: Mexico +138; Sweden -167

Total 2.5 goals: Over +120; Under -161

MEXICO

After an impressive performance in a 1-0 win over the reigning champions Germany, Mexico was a favorite to beat South Korea at -143, and they delivered it with a 2-1 victory. The tilt didn’t offer much until the 26th minute when Hyun-Soo Jang handled the ball in the box and Carlos Vela converted the penalty to make it 1-0 for the Tricolor.

South Korea tried to equalize in the opening minutes of the second half, but Mexico hit them on the break through the speedy Hirving Lozano who displayed a great vision and sent a pass to Chicharito who showed brilliant composure inside the box to bury the ball behind Cho’s back to double the lead. The Mexicans controlled the game for the remainder, but in the 93rd minute, Heung-Min Son collected a pass and without hesitation fired an unstoppable shot inside the left post to set the final score and bring the profit to the punters who backed over 2.5 goals at +110 and BTTS at +104. Mexico’s chances to win the World Cup are now +4000, while the Tricolor is +350 to reach the quarter-finals.

SWEDEN

The Blue-Yellow had Germany on the ropes after a good first-half performance and a 1-0 lead thanks to Ola Toivonen’s cheeky lob over Manuel Neuer in the 32nd minute, but Marco Reus equalized early in the second half to complete BTTS at -125. A draw was an excellent result for Sweden and they fought bravely to keep the 1-1 result, and when Jerome Boateng received his second yellow card in the 82nd minute, many thought that this is the end for the holding champions.

However, Toni Kroos thought otherwise and scored a screamer the edge of the box in the 95th minute to give Germany a lifeline in their race for the Round of 16. All who bet on the Germans to win at -200 and over 2.5 goals at -125 were delighted with Kroos’ magic, so were the fans who now have a new belief in their World Cup-winning team from four years ago. Sweden’s chances to win the World Cup are now +25000, while the Blue-Yellow is +800 to reach the quarter-finals.

Match Prediction

Sweden is a slight underdog here but they need three points and in case they manage to win, it would complicate the situation in the group in case Germany also beat South Korea. The Mexicans don’t have to go for a victory on this one as only a point is enough to secure the top spot, but that doesn’t mean they will not try to knock out Sweden if the opportunity arises. Still, I am not convinced that Sweden has what it takes to be in the Round of 16, and I don’t think they will get more than a draw here.

The Pick: Draw (+229)

Match Prediction – Total Goals

Sweden can trouble Mexico from the set-pieces as they are generally taller and better in the air, so they could score a goal or two, but the Tricolor has the ability to score against any team, and this tilt should produce goals on both sides as I expect a free-flowing attacking affair.

The Pick: Both teams to score YES (-111)

The Admiral

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