Free Picks from Tampa Bay Downs - 5/6/20

Race 1 at Tampa Bay Downs on Wednesday is a 1 mile claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $10,000 and a field of seven. Prison Padre (1) returned to action in a positive way after a long lay off, but (3) Donnie Brasco makes a slight drop in class and is the horse to beat in this small field of just 7. (6) Dig In did not race well last time out on turf at Tampa Bay but was previously second on dirt over 1-mile here and cannot be overlooked. (3) Donnie Brasco to win, Exacta 3-6

Race 2 at Tampa Bay Downs is a 7 furlong claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $10,000 and a field of eight. (4) Happy Guy has been second in three of the past four starts including when he finished ahead of (2) Just Shoot Already in his most recent outing. (5) Alvarado is a newcomer and will surprise many the first time out on Wednesday Tampa Bay. ( 4) Happy Guy to win. Exacta 4-5

Race 3 on Wednesday at Tampa Bay Downs is a 1 mile and 1/8 Maiden claiming for three year olds and up with a purse of $11,500 and a field of 14. (3) Old Fort has raced very well over the last two outings but faded slightly the last time out, while (1) Analyzeyourvision looks to be the pick of the litter in this large group of horses, but will be pushed to the limit by (2) Lastforttinofamily who has strength down the final stretch. (1) Analyzeyourvision to win, Exacta 1-2

The fourth race at Tampa Bay Downs on Wednesday is a 7-furlong allowance optional claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $20,000 and a field of seven. (6) GoGo Shoes is one of the seven in the field with a solid shot of reaching the money and broke Maiden the first time out on this same dirt. (3) Hopeful Growth is an early favorite in this matchup and was able to break Maiden the First Time Out and then was second at Gulfstream in a $75,000 optional claimer. (1) Good Credence is expected to bounce back from a poor effort on April 11 and cannot be overlooked. (3) Hopeful Growth to win, Exacta 3-1

Race 5 at Tampa Bay Downs is a 1-mile allowance for 4-year-olds and up with a purse of $20,000 and field of 11. (8) Flighty Almighty’s will make her U.S. debut in this race, but has not raced since August of 2019. (1) Peaceful Feeling has not run for almost a year as well but has had strong workouts leading up to the race. (7) Fashion’s Star won in her debut and appears to be slightly better than the rest. (7) Fashion’s Star to win, Exacta 7-8

Race 6 at Tampa Bay on Wednesday is a 1 mile and 1/16 claiming for three-year-olds and up with a purse of $10,300 and field of 11. (8) Nicole Munnings will be helped by the lack of early speed in this race and if able to get clear could be hard to catch heading home. (4) Cpl. Dionicio could actually go gate to wire in this matchup of horses. (2) Circle Away had a very strong closing rush to lose by less than a length the last time out and a strong closer in this field would likely end up no worse than in the Exotics. (4) Cpl. Dionicio to win, Exacta 4-2

Race 7 at Tampa Bay Downs on Wednesday is a 1-mile claiming for three-year-olds with a purse of $17,700 and a field of 10. (6) Dynaform has won three of his last five outings including a victory the last time out at the same distance and conditions. (9) High Heater has fared well of late but may not hold up down the homestretch stretch if the pace is too fast early. (8) California Sun does not have the late push to pull clear but will end up in the money. (6) Dynaform to win, Exacta 6-9

The eighth and final race on Wednesday at Tampa Bay Downs is a 1-mile maiden special weight for three-year-olds with a purse of $20,000 and a field of 12. (8) U.S. Army Corps raced very well the last time out in an event of similar length and conditions. (9) Big Dreaming has looked well of late and enters this race of 12 in very good form, while (4) CharlieCando could be the biggest threat to the No. 9 at the far turn and down the homestretch. (9) Big Dreaming to win, Exacta 9-4

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Kevin Vallego

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.