German Bundesliga Soccer - Bayern Munich vs. Freiburg, 6/20/20 - Preview, Prediction & Odds
With the Bundesliga title officially bagged, Bayern Munich will host 8th-placed Freiburg, who are still battling for a place in the top-seven. Kick-off - at 9:30 AM ET on Saturday, June 20.
Bayern Win Bundesliga
A 30th German league title (and the 29th in the Bundesliga era) was finally confirmed for Bayern Munich, who edged out Werder Bremen with a score of 1-0 at Wohninvest-Weserstadion on Tuesday. The Reds, who have now finished as champions for eight consecutive years, didn’t need anything more than a 43rd-minute snipe by Robert Lewandowski, whose second-half marker was disallowed due to an offside call. The towering Pole has now become only the second non-German player after Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (in 2016-17 for Borussia Dortmund) to collect 31 goals in a single Bundesliga campaign.
Lewandowski’s 31 league strikes lead Germany’s top tier five goals ahead of 2nd-placed Timo Werner (RB Leipzig). Goalie Manuel Neuer, meanwhile, sits 12th in the league with 80 saves. He has picked up 14 clean sheets in 32 games this season and he allows a goal every 93 minutes of play. Bayern Munich has scored the absolute highest quantity of markers this year (93) while taking the highest number of shots per game (18). The team is top of the league in both ball possession (61.7%) and passing accuracy (86.9%).
Freiburg Set Eyes On Europe
Freiburg improved their chances of earning a place in the Europa League next season after banking a 2-1 home victory against Hertha Berlin at Schwarzwald-Stadion on Tuesday. After the visitors had a goal disallowed by VAR in the second half, the Black Forest club opened the scoring with a Vincenzo Grifo free-kick, adding their second marker through Nils Petersen, who banked the winner following Hertha’s penalty-spot equalizer. Freiburg are unbeaten in their last three outings (W2 D1) and sit 8th in the standings (W12 D9 L11), one point below a place in the Europa League.
German forward Petersen leads Freiburg with 11 goals, having netted three times in his past five appearances. Goalie Alexander Schwolow, meanwhile, occupies the 10th position in the league, having posted 85 saves. He has collected four clean sheets in 23 games this season and gives up a goal every 69 minutes on average. Freiburg have buried the 11th highest number of goals during the current campaign (43), while delivering the 9th highest amount of shots per game (13.2). The team is 11th in ball possession (48.3%) and 8th in passing accuracy (78.0%).
Prediction
Bayern Munich snatched their 30th German league title at the start of the week with a 1-0 victory in Bremen and will undoubtedly be in a jolly mood ahead of their home outing versus Freiburg, who will be taking this match way more seriously. The Black Forest club still has a realistic chance of qualifying for the Europa League, currently trailing the top-seven by a single point with two games remaining. Freiburg have gone W1 D2 L2 against the current top-three this season and have dropped just two of their past eight Bundesliga contests (W3 D3 L2), losing by more than just a single goal on just one of the last 12 occasions. Bayern are still likely to bank a victory here, but don’t expect it to be an overwhelming one!
Best bet:
Freiburg (Handicap +1.5) (+115)