Liverpool vs. Burnley Prediction, 7/11/20

Unbeaten in four consecutive Premier League games, 10th-placed Burnley will try to keep their European dream alive while paying a visit to newly-crowned EPL champions Liverpool, who have a 100% win record on own turf in the league this year. Kick-off - at 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, July 11.

Liverpool Set New Record

Newly-crowned Premier League champions Liverpool reached 30 EPL victories in a league-record 34 games after beating Brighton & Hove Albion with a score of 3-1 away at Amex Stadium on Wednesday. Ending a five-game winless run on the road in all competitions (D1 L4) and an away goal-drought of seven hours and 47 minutes, the Reds saw Mohamed Salah find the back of the net twice, while also providing an assist to Jordan Henderson. With 92 points in their pocket (W30 D2 L2), Liverpool is still on the hunt to break Manchester City’s 100-point record in a single campaign.

Egyptian forward Salah tops Liverpool’s scoring table with 19 league markers, sitting joint-3rd in the EPL behind Leicester City’s Jamie Vardy (22 goals) and Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (20). Goalie Alisson, meanwhile, is 20th in the Premier League with 54 saves. He has recorded 13 clean sheets in 25 contests this year and allows a goal every 137 minutes on average. The Reds are 2nd in most goals scored during the ongoing campaign (75), 3rd in most shots taken per game (15.3), 2nd in ball possession (59.2%), and 3rd in passing accuracy (84.2%).

Burnley Extend Unbeaten Streak

The current unbeaten run of Burnley extended to four Premier League fixtures (W3 D1) after the team snatched a 1-0 victory against West Ham United away at London Stadium on Wednesday. The Clarets were outshot 21-8, but managed to bury the only strike of the contest, with forward Jay Rodriguez banking a 38th-minute, off-the-crossbar header, thus recording his seventh snipe of the year. Burnley have lost just one of their last 12 EPL matches (W7 D4 L1), currently sitting 10th in the league with a W14 D7 L13 record, trailing the top-seven by two points.

New Zealand marksman Chris Wood leads the Clarets with 11 league goals, but has found the back of the net just once in his last six appearances. Goalie Nick Pope, meanwhile, sits 7th in the EPL with 104 saves. He has picked up a league-high 14 clean sheets in 34 contests during the current campaign and gives up a goal every 67 minutes of play. Burnley have netted the 12th highest quantity of markers this year (38), while registering the 3rd lowest number of shots per game (9.9). The team is 2nd from the bottom in ball possession (43.5%) and bottom of the league in passing accuracy (69.4%).


Liverpool has been excellent on its own turf in the league this year, currently being just two home victories away from matching Sunderland’s 128-year-old record of winning every domestic league outing of the season. Lately, though, the Reds have dipped in form. And while they still seem to get the job done, don’t expect a field day against an opponent as tough as Burnley. If anything, don’t count on the Clarets to be beaten considerably here! They have lost just one of their past 12 Premier League contests (W7 D4 L1) and have been beaten by more than one goal in just four away games in 2019-20.

Best bet:

Burnley (Handicap +1.5) (-105)

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