NFL Week 10 Betting Recap
NFL Week 10 Betting Recap
This was an incredible week for highs and lows when it comes to betting and quarterback injuries. Let’s take a look at each game from Week 10 and look at the betting implications that occurred and may also affect the line in Week 11 and beyond.
(closing lines) (Home team in caps)
Thursday, November 9, 2023
CHICAGO (-3/38) over Carolina 16-13
The best pick in this game was the Under as that prime-time number is now 24-7 Under after Monday night. This was another Thursday night bore-fest between two rookie quarterbacks. Bryce Young struggled going 21 of 38 for 185 yards. Tyson Bagent was adequate for the Bears with 162 yards passing. RB D’Onta Foreman rushed for 80 yards on 21 carries against his former team Carolina. Chicago (3-7) outgained the Panthers 205-97 in the first half, but trailed. Carolina (1-8) scored one touchdown and it came on Ihmir Smith-Marsette’s 79-yard punt return early in the game.
Sunday, November 12
Indianapolis (-2.5/41.5) over New England 10-6
Yes, the Patriots were the home team, but this game was played in Frankfurt, Germany. It probably could have been played in Foxborough and the Patriots would still score six points. Mac Jones completed 15 of 20 for 170 yards with no TDs and a pick. Bailey Zappe came in late and also threw a pick. About the only positive on offense was Rhamondre Stevenson, who rushed for 88 yards on 20 carries. The Colts didn’t do a whole lot offensively. Gardner Minshew completed 18 of 28 for 194 yards with a pick. Somehow, the Colts with a mediocre backup quarterback are 5-5, while New England is 2-8 and at the bottom of the AFC.
TAMPA BAY (-2.5/38.5) over Tennessee 20-6
The Bucs broke a four-game losing streak with a pretty easy 20-6 win. Baker Mayfield threw for 278 yards and two TDs as Tampa Bay moved to 4-5. Rookie QB Will Levis completed 19 of 39 for 199 yards with a pick in his third NFL start. He was sacked four times playing behind a makeshift offensive line for the 3-6 Titans. Tampa Bay held star RB Derrick Henry to just 24 yards on 11 carries and the Titans to 209 total yards.
MINNESOTA (+3/40.5) over New Orleans 27-19
The “Passtronaut” strikes again. Joshua Dobbs threw for a TD and ran for one in his first start for the Viking. The week before, Dobbs came off the bench and led Minnesota to a win over Atlanta. Against the Saints, he passed for 268 yards and rushed for 44. The news gets better for the Vikes, who have won five straight and are close to getting WR Justin Jefferson back. New Orleans lost Derek Carr to a concussion and right shoulder injury in the third quarter. Jameis Winston came in and three two TDs passes, but also two picks in the most Jameis of performances for the 5-5 Saints.
San Francisco (-3/44.5) over JACKSONVILLE 34-3
The Niners (6-3) are finally healthy and they showed how dominant they can be with an easy win over a Jags team (6-3) that had won five straight games. San Francisco had lost three straight without star WR Deebon Samuel and All-Pro LT Trent Williams. They returned and the Niners looked like their dominant self again. Brock Purdy also looked like a Pro Bowler, tossing for 296 yards and three TDs. George Kittle caught three passes for 116 yards. Trevor Lawrence struggled with 185 yards passing with two picks. Chase Young also made his debut after getting acquired from Washington. The defensive end had 1.5 sacks and a recovered a fumble. Nick Bosa and Ambry Thomas also forced fumbles.
PITTSBURGH (-3.5/38.5) over Green Bay 23-19
The Steelers just continue to find ways to win. That’s despite Kenny Pickett throwing for just 126 yards, yet Pittsburgh is now 6-3, having won four of their last five games. RB Jaylen Warren led the way with 101 yards rushing with a TD and Najee Harris rushed for 82 yards with a score. Jordan Love played pretty well, completing 21 of 40 for 289 yards with two TDs, but also had two picks. The Packers fell to 3-6 and ost a game where they outgained their opponent 399-324.
Cleveland (+6/44.5) over BALTIMORE 33-31
Another game, another fourth quarter collapse for the Ravens (7-3). Give Cleveland a lot of credit as Deshaun Watson was spectacular in the second half, completing all 14 of his passes. Baltimore started off the game with a 17-3 lead after Kyle Hamilton picked off Watson and ran it in for the easy TD. Lamar Jackson was 13-of-23 for 223 yards with a TD, but also had two picks including the biggest one in the fourth quarter on a tipped pass. Greg Newsome II was able to pick the pass off at the 34-yard line with 8:16 left in the game. That cut the lead to 31-10 after a Dustin Hopkins missed extra point. But Hopkins redeemed himself later as he icked the game-winning 40-yard field goal as time expired to give the Browns (6-3) the comeback win.
Houston (+5.5/45.5) over CINCINNATI 30-27
Rookie C.J. Stroud continues his astounding and ascending performance as he threw for 356 yards with a rushing TD. Devin Singletary was another big story as he ran for 150 yards and a TD on 30 carries. WR Noah Brown was the other story with 172 yards on seven catches. Houston blew a 10-point lead with three minutes left and then Matt Amendola hit a 38-yard FG as time expired to give the Texans the win. Cincinnati missed WR Tee Higgins on offense, though Joe Burrow did throw for 347 yards, but also had two picks in the fourth quarter.
Detroit (+2.5/48.5) over LA CHARGERS 41-38ot
This was the most exciting game of the day. David Montgomery’s return for the Lions was big as he rushed for a 75-yard TD for the Lions and 116 yards overall. Jared Goff passed for 333 yards and two TDs to lead Detroit to a 7-2 record. Star WR Amon-Ra St. Brown caught eight passes for 156 yards and a TD. Justin Herbert passed for 323 yards and four TDs for the Chargers (4-5). WR Keenan Allen had a huge game with 11 receptions for 175 yards. Austin
ARIZONA (+2.5/43.5) over Atlanta 25-23
Kyler Murray returned for the Cardinals and threw for 249 yards and ran for a score. Matt Prater kicked four field goals including the game winner from 23 yards out. James Conner also came back to rush for 73 yards after spending four games on the IR. Desmond Ridder came in to replace Taylr Henicke for the Falcons, who left with a hamstring injury. Atlanta threw for just 94 yards, while Bijan Robinson ran for 95 yards on 22 carries. The Falcons fell to 4-6, while the Cardinals are now 2-8.
DALLAS (-17.5/38.5) over NY Giants 49-17
The Giants’ miserable season continue as they fell to 2-8 with Tommy DeVito at quarterback. The rookie from Illinois and Syracuse threw for 86 yards with two TDs and a pick. He was also sacked five time. Dallas outgained the Giants 640-172 as Dak Prescott threw for four TDs and rushed for another. Brandin Cooks (9 for 173 yards,TD) and CeeDee Lamb (11 for 151 yds) had monster games for the Cowboys, who improved to 6-3.
Washington (+5.5/44) over SEATTLE 26-29
Jason Myers led the Seahawks with five field goals including a 43-yarder as time expired. Washington (4-6) was led by QB Sam Howell, who completed 31 of 47 for 312 yards and three scores. Geno Smith threw for 369 yards for Seattle, who is now 6-3. Kenneth Walker III added 63 yards and a 64-yard reception for a TD.
LAS VEGAS (+1.5/35.5) over NY Jets 16-12
Another prime-time under game. The Raiders won again for new coach Antonio Pierce. Josh Jacobs rushed for 116 yards, but a late fumble nearly cost the Raiders the game. Rookie QB Aidan O’Connell threw for 163 yards and Davante Adamas had six catches for 86 yards for the Raiders (5-5), who are sneaking up in the AFC West. The Jets fell to 4-5 as QB Zach Wilson completed 23 of 39 for 263 yards with a pick and rushed for 54 yards to lead the team.
Monday, November 13, 2023
Denver (+7.5/47.5) over BUFFALO
Will Lutz booted a 36-yard field goal as time expired to give Denver (4-5) the upset road win. Lutz missed his first attempt but the Bills had 12 men on the field. It was a mess for the Bills, who fell to 5-5. Buffalo committed four turnovers and had 63 yards worth of penalties. Josh Allen threw for just 177 yards and had two picks. So of course, the next day, the Bills fire OC Ken Dorsey.