Royal Never Give Up (RNG) vs. LNG Esports Preview & Prediction - Free 6/12 LPL Betting Picks

If there’s ever been a lopsided line at the books to be hedging on the dog’s side of, it was the Tuesday Giants-over-Patriots equivalent epitomized in League of Legends (sans a title on the line) where LNG walked off -2500 favorite Funplus Phoenix in 2-1 fashion. This match was further proof that just about anything can happen in the LPL China.

LNG takes on streaking Royal Never Give Up (2-0) as +350 moneyline underdogs (per Bovada), whereas RNG stands atop a lofty -575 favorite. The under is being favored at -205 on the 2.5-round line.

Team Comparisons & Points of Interest

Royal Never Give Up has been off to a smoking hot start, making easy work of Vici Gaming and OhMyGod the week prior. Their new starting five has been gelling to the rhythm of 17.5 kills per game (3rd best in the LPL) with merely 4.0 deaths per round (best in the LPL).

RNG also has a solid stat line of tower kill/death ratio, a whopping 8.5 claimed per round to just 2.0 towers lost. Granted, these are based on a two-match sample size, but if anything RNG has immediately corrected their late-Spring woes heading into their biggest test this split thus far.

LNG, despite getting swept by Suning to start the season, turned things around in a major way on Tuesday by knocking out goliath FPX 2-1 and evening out some season stats for themselves along the way. Their 14.6/13.0 Kill-Death ratio signifies improvement from their opening match in drastic manner, yet still on the rusty side of the coin when it comes to towers killed and lost (5.4 towers killed to 7.0 lost).

Jungler Xx made some performance strides against FPX, tallying just six kills over eight deaths, but a mind-boggling 44 assists and 435 Creeps Slayed to capture his best match performance in months.

Pick: Royal Never Give Up -1.5 Rounds (-145 @ Bovada)

There is plenty telling in the confidence instilled in RNG’s Summer resurgence, with a -1.5 spread payout of -145 as a sweep appears in favor aligned with the under at -205. LNG encourages the underdog +1.5 rounds at +110 payout based on recency bias of forcing three (and winning) against FPX.

How much of the Phoenix collapse can be credited to LNG? Nobody can quite quantify that unless reviewing a replay argumentatively, but I feel there’s tale to the tape in LNG’s weak tower capture abilities. If LNG is to win, it will be by dominating the kill differential, and RNG succeeds few deaths in contrast.