Top Prop Bets for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500, Part II
NASCAR rolls into the Lone Star State and the Dallas-Fort Worth area for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 from Texas Motor Speedway Sunday afternoon. We’ve already given you a rundown on the specifications about the track and how well (or in some cases, poorly) the active drivers on the circuit have fared here. Earlier today, we took a look at some of the top prop bets for you to talk walk away from the window with a stack full of cash in part one of our top prop bets. Now, we bring you part two of that look. As always, all the odds for the prop bets are brought to you by DraftKings. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the best options out there.
Erik Jones to Be Top Toyota Finisher (+800): This is based on the fact that we’re looking for Jones to have a strong run here. Factor in that we’re fading Kyle Busch (+170) here given his inability to pull a checkered flag. Denny Hamlin (+170) has four wins to tie Kevin Harvick for the circuit lead but has been inconsistent as well. Jones is on the outside of the playoff chase and has to take a few extra chances to either steal a win or at least gain ground on the playoff picture. Coupling that with his strong runs at Texas Motor Speedway, you can take a flier on Jones to actually deliver here and provide a solid return.
Aric Almirola to Record Top Finish in Group C (+215): As we mentioned in part one of our top prop bets, we’re taking a shot on Almirola to earn the checkered flag here. He’s on a roll with six straight finishes in the top eight with five top-five runs in that span. Almirola is eighth in the points standings despite not recording a win yet this season. Jimmie Johnson (+240) is the sentimental favorite who has a circuit-high seven wins here in his career but he hasn’t won a race since 2017 and is inconsistent. Kurt Busch (+250) has finished 13th or worse in four of his last six races and despite six straight top-10 runs at Texas, he hasn’t finished better than seventh. Jones we’re strong on recording a top-10 showing but it’s hard to see him going much higher than that.
Joey Logano to Record Top Finish in Group B (+255): This one is a bit of a dart throw as Logano has struggled mightily since the restart back in May. After winning two of the first four races before the season was paused, he has just one top-five finish in the last 13 races with that coming at Martinsville. With that said, Logano has had good success at Texas, ringing up 10 top-five showings in 23 races. He’s finished in the top seven in seven of the last eight races at the track. Ryan Blaney (+210) is the favorite in the group and while he’s finished in the top eight in four of the last five races at Texas, he finished 12th, 22nd and 32nd in the previous three races before running sixth at Kentucky. Martin Truex Jr. (+235) is zero for 29 when it comes to winning here with just four top-five runs to his credit. Meanwhile, Brad Keselowski (+300) has no wins and five top-five runs in 23 starts here and has only one top-five run in the last six races this season. Logano’s due for a bounceback and this is a chance for him to make an impact.
Ford to Manufacture Winning Car (+105): This goes hand in hand with some of our other picks to go with the race. Almirola drives a Ford, so, with backing him to win, you have to lean toward the oval. Harvick also drives a Ford and it’s hard to discount his success here. Throw in Blaney, Logano and Keselowski into the mix and you have a strong group of drivers to work with regard to bringing the checkered flag in for Ford. In addition, Ford has won three of the last five races here, all by Harvick, with Toyota taking the other two. Ford has won 15 of the 38 races all-time on the track, which gives them a slight edge over Toyota at 13. Give the oval the slight edge here.
Stewart-Haas Racing to Be Team of Winning Car (+225): When it comes to having a top-flight group of drivers to work with when you’re pursuing a checkered flag, Stewart-Haas is a solid option to back. Harvick is leading the circuit in points and has four wins to his credit, including, as we mentioned, the last three fall races here at Texas. Almirola is clicking right now and we’re backing him to win the race. Either Harvick or Almirola could easily pick up the checkered flag and cash this one in but there are two other drivers on the team that could pull a win out. Clint Bowyer is still trying to earn his first win since the 2018 season but he does have four top-fives along with 12 top-10s in 28 races here. The final driver for SHR is Cole Custer, who as we saw last week, could steal one out of thin air as he did in the Quaker State 400 last week. Put that quartet together and you have a very solid group to choose from when it comes to picking up the victory Sunday.
That covers the rest of our top prop options for this weekend’s race. We wish you good luck in your efforts and hope you walk away from the window with a fistful of dollars.