UFC Vegas 11 Prediction and Odds

Unable to clinch mega-fight terms in 2018, former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley and top contender Colby Covington meet at UFC Vegas 11. Much has changed since the pair seemed on a collision track for 170 lb dominance: each recently lost vs. reigning titleist Kamaru Usman, and Woodley enters Saturday having dropped two straight in lopsided fashion.

However, enough bad blood remains between this weekend’s main eventers that fans eagerly await to learn which man will triumph, even if Covington holds decisive -345 odds over fading Woodley (+285).

And it’s hard to argue the line given the manner in which underdog Gilbert Burns plowed through T-Wood. During their May 30 encounter, ‘Durinho’ landed at will and outgrappled 38-year-old Woodley while matching Usman's championship-winning effort from 2019.

Conversely, the younger, fresher Covington battled hard before dropping a recent close matchup against ‘The Nigerian Nightmare.’ With 48 UFC takedowns to his name, take Colby Covington to finish a rapidly diminished Tyron Woodley in less than the five allotted rounds.

Winner: Covington by stoppage

The Co-main pits action welterweights Donald Cerrone and Niko Price together for three rounds to determine if ‘Cowboy’ can end a four-fight win drought.

Given Cerrone’s latest performance where many, including this writer, believe the 37-year-old clearly defeated former lightweight ruler Anthony Pettis, the underdog odds seem harsh toward Cerrone (+130).

After all, Price is a face-first brawler whose technical lapses play direct into Cowboy Cerrone's wheelhouse. Expect the slight betting upset as Donald Cerrone claims victory while dropping competition levels.

In what looms as a large Fight of The Night candidate, take Cerrone via decision after dragging Price into deep waters.

Winner: Donald Cerrone by decision

The remaining fights offer intrigue. Here's a look at each matchup from UFC Vegas 11.

Fight Three: Look for undefeated prospect Khamzat Chimaev (-390) to halt gatekeeper Gerald '3M' Meerschaert (+320).

Winner: Chimaev by stoppage

Fight Four: Ryan Spann (+105) wins by decisionvs. Johnny Walker (-125)

Fight Five: Mackenzie Dern (-165) wins by decision vs. Randa Markos (+145)

Fight Six: Kevin Holland (-250) wins by decision vs. Darren Stewart (+210)

Fight Seven: Mirsad Bektic (-515) wins by stoppage vs. Eduardo Garagorri (+410)

Fight Eight: Mayra Bueno Silva (-245) wins by decision vs. Mara Romero Borella (+205)

Fight Nine: David Dvorak (-110) wins by decision vs. Jordan Espinosa (-110)

Fight Ten: Jessica-Rose Clark (-225) wins by decision vs. Sarah Alpar

Fight Eleven: Journey Newsom (-140) wins by stoppage vs. Randy Costa (+120)

Fight Twelve: Andre Ewell (-220) wins by stoppage vs. Irwin Rivera (+180)

Odds courtesy of BestFightOdds.com

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Josh Broom

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