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UConn vs Kansas NCAAB Free Pick
by Mark Ruelle
The Huskies’ main weakness this season has been their ability to get out on the perimeter and slow down the 3-point shot. Their numbers may also be slightly inflated in that area because of the big leads the Huskies have built in their games this season.
A deeper dive into the numbers reveals how well that UConn has defended its quality opponents from outside the arc. Texas shot just 5-of-16 from 3-point range against UConn and Indiana was just 3-of-13 from beyond the arc. I expect the Huskies to be equally effective against the Jayhawks on the perimeter and limit their quality attempts. Additionally, Kansas doesn’t particularly rely on the 3-point shot, ranked 267th in the country in percentage of points coming from the 3-point shot.
The game should come down to pace. Kansas wants to play fast, ranked 30th in the nation in pace of play, while the Huskies want the game slowed down and the ability to pound the ball into the paint. UConn is 209th in pace of play. Ultimately, rebounding will decide the outcome and UConn is the better rebounding team. Kansas head coach addressed his team’s rebounding issues following the Eastern Illinois’ win and that will be further exacerbated against UConn, ranked 11th in rebounding. It will be close but the Huskies will prevail.
Prediction: UConn +2
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