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Home » MLB Best Bets & Expert Plays for Thursday, 5/30

MLB Best Bets & Expert Plays for Thursday, 5/30

Only 16 teams are in action tonight, and we are here to size up some MLB best bets for the smaller slate.

With June rapidly approaching, the MLB season is taking shape, and some clear betting trends are emerging. With several compelling odds available across MLB betting sites, we are honing in on three best bets for May 30.

If you are looking for more MLB predictions, Winners & Whiners offers free picks all season long. We also include dozens of MLB expert picks from industry-leading MLB handicappers.

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MLB Best Bets Today

Here’s a look at our top three MLB best bets for today’s action:

Seattle Mariners First Five Inning Run Line (-0.5/-102)

The AL West-leading Seattle Mariners play host to the Houston Astros on Thursday afternoon. Seattle is on the brink of a four-game sweep after edging out the Astros by narrow margins each of the past three nights.

Seattle owns a distinct starting pitching advantage in this matchup as they turn to young phenom Logan Gilbert. Through his first 11 starts Gilbert owns a solid 3.06 ERA while pitching to a sterling 0.98 WHIP. He has had career success against Houston with a 5-2 lifetime record, 3.15 career ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

The real advantage comes with who the opposition is. Spencer Arrighetti has been hit hard in his first eight times out this season with a bloated 6.93 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. Opponents are hitting a whopping .305 off him so far in 2024. While he has fared marginally better of late isolating the first five innings here at close to even odds is too good of a price to pass up.

Lay the run through the first five innings and back the team in better form with the vastly superior arm.

Arizona Diamondbacks Money Line (-124)

The Mets are in free fall, entering play amid a putrid 4-14 stretch. The vibes are bad, and there is a real indication we are close to a total teardown with the trade deadline just two months away.

New York ranks in the bottom third of the league in multiple offensive metrics, including runs scored, team batting average, and OPS. Now, they must contend with an ace in Zac Gallen, who is on the heels of four straight quality starts.

The Mets counter with Christian Scott, who has shown flashes but has also been inconsistent with an ERA of a touch below 4.

Arizona has also been a bit disappointing this season, but this feels like a get-right opportunity against a reeling New York team that can’t get out of its own way.

Back the Dbacks to pull out a win in Queens here.

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Marcell Ozuna 2+ Total Bases (-115)

The last of our MLB best bets is a player prop. With the Atlanta Braves visiting the nation’s capital, look for Marcell Ozuna to bust out with a favorable matchup.

Ozuna has owned Trevor Williams historically, with a .333 lifetime average across 33 at-bats.

In an injury-plagued season, Ozuna has been a massive bright spot for Atlanta, surging to a .993 OPS through the first two months of the season. Look for him to keep the good times rolling against a pitcher he sees the ball very well against.

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MLB Expert Picks

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Author

  • Devin Erickson-Sheehy

    Devin is the Product Owner at Winners and Whiners, and is a sports betting expert with experience providing sports bettors with industry news, sports betting reviews, offer details and more.

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