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National Treasure Prediction, Odds, and Profile for the 2023 Belmont Stakes

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Post Position: #4
Probable Odds: 5-1
Record: 6 starts, 2 Wins, 1 Second, 2 Thirds
Lifetime Earnings: $1,335,900
Jockey: John Velazquez
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Sire: Quality Road
Dam: Treasure (Medaglia D’oro)

National Treasure Preview & Analysis

The #4 position at the Belmont Stakes went to Preakness winner National Treasure, trained by legendary trainer Bob Baffert. Horses have won the Belmont Stakes 10 times out of the fourth position. National Treasure is listed at 5-1 to win the Belmont Stakes.

National Treasure has finished in the money twice in three starts this year including the win at the Preakness.

In six career starts, National Treasure has finished in the money five times including two first-place finishes. Velazquez has been in the money in 47% of his mounts this year including 37 first-place finishes. In terms of star power, few can match a horse trained by Baffert and ridden by Velazquez.

Can National Treasure repeat his performance at the Preakness in a slightly longer race while navigating a position towards the middle of the track? That will be decided on Saturday but the odds are improved with this team.

How Can National Treasure win the Belmont Stakes?

Pretty simple strategy here, get to the lead, slow the pace down, and stay there as long as he can. It worked in Baltimore in the Preakness, and if he can control the pace like he did 3 weeks ago, there’s no reason it can’t work again. Baffert will be going for his 18th Triple Crown race win on Saturday and his fourth at Belmont.

Baffert last won at Belmont in 2018 with Justify. Jockey John Velazquez will be looking for his 8th Triple Crown race win, including two wins at Belmont. Velazquez last won at Belmont in 2017.

Click here to read our FREE Belmont Stakes Betting Strategy: Turn $1 into hundreds! Prepared by our Horse Racing expert handicapper who nailed this year’s Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, you don’t want to miss out as he breaks down how he plans to earn his own ‘Triple Crown’ with a third big win on the Belmont Stakes!

More Belmont Stakes Horse Profiles & Predictions

Belmont Stakes contender Tapit Shoes trains on the main track during morning workouts at Belmont Park.

Tapit Shoes

Tapit Shoes has already gotten off to a good start at the Belmont Stakes by drawing the first position in the race. In the history of the Belmont Stakes, the #1 position has won the most times of any other position, 24 times.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Tapit Trice

In four starts this year, Tapit Trice has three wins. Unfortunately, the Kentucky Derby was the lone time he was out of money. Tapit Trice finished a disappointing 7th at the Derby before sitting out the Preakness.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

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Arcangelo

This will be Arcangelo’s first start in a Triple Crown race. Trainer Antonucci has just two career-graded stakes wins in her career.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Il Miracolo

Tied for the second-highest position to win the Belmont, the #5 position went to Il Miracolo in Tuesday’s draw.  15 times a horse has won the Belmont out of the #5 position. Il Miracolo has the longest odds on the board at 30-1.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Forte

Finally, Forte makes his long-awaited debut in a Triple Crown race this year. Expected to contend at the Kentucky Derby, Forte was a late scratch and then sat out the Preakness. Forte is the favorite to win the Belmont Stakes at 5-2 out of the sixth position. 

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

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Hit Show

Hit Show drew the 7th position in Tuesday’s draw, a position that has won the Belmont Stakes 14 times in the race’s history. Hit Show is another of trainer Brad Cox’s entrees and will be ridden by one of the top jockeys this year Manny Franco.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Angel of Empire

Angel of Empire is slotted for the eighth position in Saturday’s Belmont Stakes. Just seven horses have won the Belmont Stakes from the eighth position. Angel of Empire is another entry from trainer Brad Cox and will be ridden by jockey Flavien Prat.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Red Route One

Red Route One will be on the far outside at the Belmont Stakes, drawing the 9th position on Saturday. Only four horses in the history of the Belmont Stakes have won the race from the 9th spot. Red Route One was a late scratch from the Kentucky Derby and took a fourth-place finish at the Preakness.

Click here to read our complete profile & prediction.

Authors

  • Mark Ruelle

    Mark has been a sports fanatic since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his own betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team! He holds degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a wide variety of statistics to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup that he covers. Please follow him daily for an up-to-the-minute analysis of all the important games.

  • Seth has been obsessed with Baseball & Horse Racing since he was a kid going to games and races with his Father & Grandfather. He's turned it into a profitable career, writing about and picking winners in both sports for years, including the most recent Kentucky Derby winner, Mage, at 17-1!!