Flamengo vs Fluminense
Brazil Serie A, Sunday, 6:30pm ET
Play: Over 5.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -120 BR
Line Parameter: Line good to -150, or 1* at Over 6.5
One of the most classic and hateful rivalries in Brazilian soccer is taking place on Sunday, the "FlaFlu" derby between Flamengo and Fluminense, and we tend to see a lot of cards in this matchup. The only caveat here is that both teams have mid-week matches for the Copa Libertadores semi-finals, but they can't really overlook the league.
Flamengo sitting at the top of the league with 61 points, but Palmeiras are just 1 point behind, so if Flamengo don't win and Palmeiras do, Flamengo lose the top spot. Fluminense are sitting 3rd with 51 points, but with at least two teams breathing down their backs.
Cards in H2H L/5 years: 8/6/7/7/4/9/7/6/4/8/10/6/5/9/13/5/3/7/8/9/13/8/11/10/14/9/3/8/9
Over 5.5 Cards in each of L/4, in 7 of L/8, and in 23 of L/29 H2H. Some of those matches with lower card counts were in the league phase of their state championship, where teams are not that aggressive. As stated before, since both teams have crucial semi-finals coming up mid-week, they just might take it slow here, but this is still a hateful regional derby and they can't (or shouldn't) overlook the league.
This is a 2* Play on the Over 5.5 Cards (-120 BR), line good to -150, or 1* at Over 6.5 Cards
