Free Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

Texas State has been an absolute scoring machine this season, and I really like the Over 60.5 when the Bobcats host Utah State on Saturday night. Texas State leads the nation in total offense, averaging an incredible 562.3 yards per game, while ranking third in rushing at 303.5 yards and 11th in scoring at 40.0 points per contest. The Bobcats are coming off a 66-27 demolition of Colorado State in which they piled up an astonishing 503 rushing yards. Texas State's games have averaged 72.2 combined points this season, including a whopping 77.5 over its last four outings. However, the Bobcats have been equally generous defensively, surrendering 32.2 points and 424.3 total yards per game. They're particularly vulnerable against the pass, ranking dead last nationally at 297.3 yards allowed per contest. That's encouraging for a Utah State offense that has struggled badly this season, averaging just 14.5 points per game. The Aggies have had an extra week to prepare, and facing one of the nation's worst pass defenses gives them an excellent opportunity to generate some much-needed offensive production. Texas State quarterback Brad Jackson has already thrown 14 touchdown passes, while the Bobcats have demonstrated the ability to score quickly through both the air and on the ground. With Texas State's explosive offense capable of putting up another huge number and its porous defense providing Utah State with opportunities to contribute, I expect plenty of scoring in San Marcos. Over 60.5 is the play.

This is a free play on Under.

Now I believe that the Saints might be better than their record indicates, and I have the opposite opinion of the Pittsburgh Steelers. I did entertain a play on the dog in this Paris game, but the weather report forced me to call an audible. With high wind advisories, this game could be decided with the ground game. That doesn't bode well for an ineffective Saints rushing offense. It could also slow the game down, and that has me looking at an under.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Detroit enters Saturday's matchup in Calgary with three victories in its last four games and a significant statistical advantage over a Flames team that continues to struggle at both ends of the ice. The Red Wings allow just 2.80 goals per game, ranking eighth in the NHL, while Calgary ranks 31st in goals allowed (4.22) and goals scored (2.11), giving it one of the league's most unfavorable scoring differentials. Detroit's 2.70 goals per game is modest, but the Flames' defensive deficiencies give the Red Wings a clear opportunity to generate more consistent scoring chances. Alex DeBrincat leads Detroit with six goals, while Lucas Raymond has contributed six assists. The Flames' goaltending has been particularly problematic: Dustin Wolf has allowed 24 goals on 145 shots (.834 save percentage), while Devin Cooley has allowed 13 goals on 128 shots. Although Calgary has won three of its last four games, the Flames remain offensively challenged and will be without Jonathan Huberdeau, further limiting their scoring depth and ability to capitalize on Detroit's struggling penalty kill.

The Red Wings have dominated this matchup historically, winning eight consecutive meetings against Calgary since March 2022. Detroit has covered the puck line in seven of those eight victories, while the Flames have lost six of their last seven games following a win. Calgary's power play has converted 26.1% of its opportunities, but Detroit's stronger overall defense and favorable five-on-five matchup set the stage for control.

My technical database provides further support for Detroit:

• Play On: Favorites facing rested underdogs coming off an outright upset victory in a game that stayed Under the total are 841-569 (59.6%) since 2002 (+83.2 units; +4.4% ROI);

• Play On: Non-conference road favorites priced between -110 and -190, with both teams having missed the previous season's playoffs, from Game 10 onward are 192-116 (62.3%) since 2003 (+36.5 units; +8.6% ROI);

• Play On: Road favorites priced between -110 and -190 from Game 10 onward, with both teams having missed the previous season's playoffs, are 457-297 (60.6%) since 2011 (+50.7 units; +4.9% ROI);

• Play On: Road favorites priced at -175 or shorter coming off a win, with greater average shots on goal than their opponent and a loss two games earlier, are 604-400 (60.2%) since 2005 (+72.6 units; +5.4% ROI);

• Play On: Road favorites with fewer than three days of rest and another road game scheduled next are 2,404-1,593 (60.1%) since 2003 (+100.2 units; +1.7% ROI).

Detroit's defensive superiority, Calgary's offensive limitations, and multiple profitable road-favorite systems converge to strengthen the case for backing the Red Wings. Take Detroit as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, October 24.

PSP Data Driven play on Ole Miss.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Ole Miss are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Ole Miss are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.

(953) Tampa Bay Rays at (954) Milwaukee Brewers: Total

3% First Inning Under +0.5 (-155) Drew Rasmussen (RHP), Logan Henderson (RHP) Must Start

Rasmussen is 16-0 & 19-4 NRFI with a 2.67 ERA

Henderson is 16-4 NRFI with a 2.47 ERA

Milwaukee scored 2 runs in the first inning but game #1 of the WS has been 63% yrfi.
The Brewers last scored a first inning run in B2B games on Sept 9-10.

Tampa has scored a first inning run 3 times in their 10 playoff games,