Free NCAAF Handicapping Plays - Sports Picks from Premium Cappers

This is a free play on TCU.

If you can still get a -6.5, grab it now because I don't expect that number to be available as we get close to kickoff. While the hire of Bobby Petrino could be impactful for the Tar Heels offense, it may take some time. The Horned Frogs have a new QB, and given he played at Harvard last year, there will be doubters. I expect to see a successful transition as he will be playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the BIG12, surrounded by returning talent at WR and RB. Davis Warren has more of an uphill battle in my opinion.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a free play on Hawaii Over 7.5 Regular Season Wins.

I think back to Timmy Chang's first game as head coach of the Rainbow Warriors. I had a bet against them when they hosted Vanderbilt in their season opener. I said they hired their former quarterback and 2 x Hawaii Bowl MVP because nobody else would take the job. The program was a complete dumpster fire, and they ended up getting throttled 63-10 in a loss to the Commodores.

Well in the three years since, Chang has brought this team back to consecutive bowl games, and a 9-win season in 2025. Micah Alejado absolutely balled out in the bowl win in 2024, but he injured his foot in Week Zero last year and was limited by that injury for most of the season.

He still threw for over 3000 yards and 24 TDs, and Hawaii was 7-1 at home. With Boise State, Fresno State and San Diego State now in the PAC12, there won't be too many games on the schedule that this team can't win.

GL,

Jesse Schule

With all due respect to Trent Dilfer, a change was desperately needed in Birmingham after a disastrous 9–21 tenure. Alex Mortensen was given the full-time nod after leading the final six games as the interim head coach, and we're looking for improvement from the Blazers in 2026. After spending nine years under Nick Saban at Alabama, Mortensen was held in high regard among a lot of coaching circles. In his first game with the headset after Dilfer's dismissal last year, Mortensen led the Blazers to a nationally-televised upset over then-No. 22 Memphis. Oddsmakers are only asking UAB to match last year's win total of four, and we believe that is a goal the Blazers can reach. Redshirt junior Ryder Burton is expected to get the nod at quarterback, and just like Mortensen, he made his debut against Memphis in the middle of last season. Burton went 20-of-27 for 251 yards and three touchdowns in his first start, showing that he was ready to lead the offense. Burton is already married, which is just one example of a very experienced roster that Mortensen is working with this year. According to RotoWire, UAB has the sixth-oldest roster in the country with an average age of 20.8 years old. UAB opens the season at Illinois, but then has extra time to prepare for win-able non-conference games against Louisiana and UL-Monroe. UAB plays FCS-level Samford after Navy, so that gives the Blazers a comfortable landing spot after a physical game against the Midshipmen. UAB will enjoy a bye at the end of October before finishing with a not-so-daunting closing stretch that includes Charlotte, Temple and a re-loading North Texas squad. UAB's program was in complete disarray last year, but the Blazers still won four games. We believe they can, at the least, match that total in 2026.

They can't set this line high enough. The Sooners are a legitimate top 20 team. Loaded with talent and experience, they're looking to improve on last season's 10 wins. That starts with a blowout of UTEP. Now in the Mountain West, the Miners are in a transitional/rebuilding year. The Sooners won the last two meetings by a combined score of 101-20, an average of 50.5 to 10. The Sooners had an 1168 to 483 edge in yards in those games. With Oklahoma scoring early and often, this has all the makings of another 40+ point blowout. *good up to -42

Toledo has been one of the MAC's most consistent programs, posting 16 straight seasons without a losing record, and I expect that trend to continue in 2026. While the Rockets enter a new era under head coach Mike Jacobs, he arrives after building a winner at Mercer and has already brought impact talent with him. That includes Buck Buchanan Award winner Andrew Zock, the nation's top FCS defensive player in 2025, who should immediately strengthen Toledo's defense and is a legit NFL prospect.

The schedule is favorable, with likely wins against Central Connecticut State, UMass, Buffalo, and Eastern Michigan already putting the Rockets halfway to the number. I also believe Toledo has a better chance of upsetting Michigan State than most projections suggest, and there isn't a single game on this schedule that the Rockets will be dramatically outmatched. They probably won't run the table, but they have a legitimate shot to win every game they play. My projection is at least 8 wins at the worst.