Free College Basketball Predictions for February 17

Joe Duffy

Event: (611) Miami Ohio at (612) Massachusetts: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Massachusetts +3.0 (-110)

How the heck can a team 15-11, including 6-7 in conference be getting only 3-points to a team 25-0 SU, 12 of those wins in same conference?

"Luck Factor" quantifies how much better or worse a team performs due to random, unpredictable events (like turnovers, lucky bounces, or missed kicks in football) versus consistent skill, using statistical models that compare expected outcomes (based on play-by-play data) to actual results, essentially showing if a team is "due" for positive or negative regression by filtering out controllable elements from their overall performance.

We take the luck factor gap based on real wins versus what advanced analytics says the wins they should have. If for example, one team has three more lucky wins than their record and their opponents has three fewer, the luck gap would be 6.

Miami Ohio has 4.1 more wins than they deserve with UMass .4 fewer, a nice 4.5 Luck Gap.

Home teams with two more or more losses versus opponent with one or fewer are a solid 56.4 percent since 2020. Unranked home teams in games expected to be close by the oddsmakers to ranked teams are 243-188-2.

SEC GAME OF THE YEAR headlines a loaded card featuring 4 College Basketball releases including top-rated Wise Guy selections.

For 38 years, dating back to the scorephone era, the approach has never changed: disciplined methodology, volume where it matters, and long-term accountability. Short-term turbulence happens in any serious investment portfolio. What separates professionals from hobbyists is what follows — and the historical data says the next surge is coming.

ALL SPORTS: 378-306 (55%) +4314
BASKETBALL: 218-172 (56%) +2915
COLLEGE BASKETBALL: 147-109 (57%) +2716
NBA: 56-40 (58%) +1217

Fifty-five percent across all sports with documented volume. Fifty-eight percent in the NBA. Fifty-seven percent in College Basketball. That’s not selective cherry-picking — that’s sustained performance in high-liquidity markets.

Tonight’s SEC Game of the Year isn’t a random label. It’s backed by matchup analytics, situational profiling, and proprietary filters that have produced decades of elite results in marquee conference spots.

Add in two highest-rated Wise Guys and a deep college card, and this is the type of slate that historically ignites extended winning cycles.

Serious players understand timing. The numbers indicate this is one of those inflection points.

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Brick Haus Sports

Event: (637) UCLA at (638) Michigan State: Total

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 8:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Over 139.5 (-110)

MSU is 12-2 at home but has lost three of its last 4 overall. UCLA is 2-5 against the spread on the road and 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games. Both teams are 8-1 combined in going over the number in their last nine games.

Play on the OVER. This is a FREE PLAY

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Jesse Schule

Event: (645) Nebraska at (646) Iowa: Total

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 139.5 (-110)

This is a play on Under (Any number over 138.5)

Win or lose, I don't see Iowa reaching 70 points in this game. In fact I don't think either of these teams reach 70 points. We have the Top 2 defenses in the BIG10 going head to head here tonight. The Hawkeyes rank 362nd among 365 division 1 teams in pace of play, averaging just over 65 possessions per game. The under has hit in 17 of Nebraska's 25 games this season. Perhaps Iowa going from dead last to first in opponent scoring, and Nebraska going from 11th to 2nd since last season has bookmakers hesitant to make the proper adjustments?

GL,

Jesse Schule

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Jesse Schule

Event: (645) Nebraska at (646) Iowa: Team Total

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Iowa Total Under 70.5 (-115)

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This is a play on IOWA TT Under (Any number over 69.5)

Win or lose, I don't see Iowa reaching 70 points in this game. We have the Top 2 defenses in the BIG10 going head to head here tonight. The Hawkeyes rank 362nd among 365 division 1 teams in pace of play, averaging just over 65 possessions per game. The under has hit in 17 of Nebraska's 25 games this season. Perhaps Iowa going from dead last to first in opponent scoring, and Nebraska going from 11th to 2nd since last season has bookmakers hesitant to make the proper adjustments?

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

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Razor Ray Monohan

Event: (653) Grand Canyon at (654) San Diego State

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: San Diego State -8 (-110)

SDSU -8

San Diego State has value against Grand Canyon. SDSU has won 3 straight and 5 of 6 as they’re rolling right now. They’ve given up 71 points or less in all 6 of the games during their stretch and their defense is going to cause a lot of issues for Grand Canyon. GCU has had some struggles on the road and they do not matchup well with the physical style that SDSU plays with. Lay the points. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the AZTECS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray

Tuesday NCAAB ATS Play

EN FUEGO! +101.95 units, 59.5% Winning Percentage (119-81-3) , 17.6% ROI ! Razor Ray is #1 Documented Capper L60 Days on this network! The wins keep stacking. The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for TUE$DAY, and today’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

#1 ALL SPORTS L60 119-81-3 | +101.95 UNITS L60 | 65.5% CBB L60: $ 25.00
#3 ALL HOOPS L60 +48.13 UNITS (64-46-2) | #2 CBB L60 +43.51 UNITS 38-20 | 17.6% ALL SPORTS L60 ROI | 15.3% ALL HOOPS L60 ROI— Razor stays on the College hardwood today. This selection is included as part of Razor’s Long Term and Seasonal Sports Passes on the network. This sits well in the broader run.

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Rocky Atkinson

Event: (603) Michigan at (604) Purdue: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 6:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Purdue +2.5 (-105)

Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Tuesday 2-17-26

Michigan @ Purdue  (6:30 PM EST)
Play On:  Purdue +3

The Michigan Wolverines travel to Purdue to take on the Boilermakers on Tuesday night.  Michigan is 24-1 SU overall this year while Purdue comes in with a 21-4 SU overall record on the season.  Purdue has won 4 of the past 6 meetings overall in this series.  Purdue is 2-0 SU and ATS last 3 years at home vs Michigan.  Should be a good one here and I'll side with the home court advantage.  We'll recommend a small play on Purdue tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Picks & Parlays Syndicate

Event: (655) Minnesota at (656) Oregon: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 10:30 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Oregon -4.5 (-105)

We think the Ducks are worth a "second look" at home. The Gophers are a terrible 1-7 on the road, while Oregon is a respectable 8-6 at home. The Ducks lost this game 77-69 at Minnesota last year, so they're looking to return the favor this season. Oregon just snapped a 10-game slide with an 83-72 victory over Penn State here and I think the Ducks keep that momentum rolling here in this favorable matchup. The Gophers' road struggles continue in our opinion, so consider the Ducks (FREE PLAY)

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The Insiders Room

Event: (647) LSU at (648) Texas: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 9:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Texas -10.5 (-118)

FREE PLAY on Texas.

LSU is 14-11 overall, including only 2-5 on the road, while Texas is 16-9 overall, including 11-3 at home.

The Tigers enter with zero momentum after three straight losses, while the Longhorns enter playing possibly their best basketball of the season after going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS over their last four.

Considering their current form, and their home and away records, we feel the Longhorns are worth a "second look" here at home on Tuesday night!

Good luck, TIR

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Ben Burns

Event: (306551) Gardner Webb at (306552) Charleston Southern: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 6:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Charleston Southern -17.5 (-106)

Charleston Southern is laying more than two touchdowns today. A lot of points for a team which is 1-9 its past 10 games. That's how bad Gardner Webb is though. The Runnin' Bulldogs are 3-24 on the season, 0-13 on the road. They've conceded more than 100 points in back-to-back games. Also, the Buccaneers could easily be a lot better than 1-9 over their past 10. Four of the nine losses were in Overtime and another two came by less than five points. They're still a respectable 8-3 at home. When the Bucs finish on top, as they should today, the victories tend to be by a comfortable margin. Ten of their 12 wins have been by double-digits. Look for them to blow out the Runnin' Bulldogs in this one. *good up to -19

You're likely aware that Ben Burns just finished with the #1 NFL record (9-0 L9, 43-18 L61) again. Football in the rear view mirror, the #1 Basketball Handicapper of All-Time is #1 again this college basketball season.

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Pro Sports Picks

Event: (619) TCU at (620) Central Florida: Moneyline

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: February 17, 2026 7:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Central Florida -142

PSP Data Driven play on UCF.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Central Florida is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games. TCU is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road.

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