Free College Basketball Predictions for January 14

David Hess

Event: (769) Nevada at (770) Utah State: Spread

Sport/League: CBB

Date/Time: January 14, 2026 10:00 PM EST

Free College Basketball Pick Today: Utah State -13.5 (-110)

Utah State -13.5 is the side you lay without blinking, because everything about this matchup points to a complete mismatch in efficiency, depth, and momentum, and the Aggies have already shown they can bury Nevada in this building—last year’s meeting in Logan ended in a 21‑point Utah State win, and this year’s team is even more explosive. The Aggies have been an absolute wagon at home, outscoring opponents by 25.8 points per game, and they’ve steamrolled their first five Mountain West opponents by an average of 26.2 ppg, which is almost unheard of in this league. Their offensive profile is elite across the board: 87.0 ppg, 53.2% shooting, 62.0% on twos, and a top‑15 national ranking in overall efficiency, all while turning it over just 11.7 times and assisting on nearly 19 buckets per night. Nevada simply doesn’t have the firepower or defensive resistance to keep pace—they’re shooting 43.9%, ranking outside the top 280 in both FG% and 3PT attempts, and they rely heavily on free throws (20.3 FTA per game) to stay afloat, something Utah State’s disciplined defense (only 17.5 fouls per game) is built to neutralize. The Wolf Pack’s defense also doesn’t travel well, allowing 71.9 ppg and ranking outside the top 200 in opponent 3PT%, opponent FT rate, and defensive rebounding. Utah State’s balance, pace control, and interior dominance (top‑10 nationally in 2P%) create a game script where Nevada is playing uphill from the opening tip, and with the Aggies already 4–0 ATS as a favorite in this series, the blowout profile is too strong to ignore. This is another Logan avalanche.

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

David's Wednesday Evening CBB Totals 3-Pack: $ 30.00
David Hess kept the college board rolling last night, cashing two of his three CBB totals, including his Total of the Week on the West Virginia/Houston Under. He’s reading these matchups perfectly and coming right back tonight with three more strong CBB totals locked, loaded, and ready to fire. When Hess finds this kind of rhythm, you ride it.

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