Bryan Power
Event: (841) Georgia Southern at (842) Troy: Spread
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 9, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Troy -5.0 (-108)
2% Troy (7:00 ET): I’m at the point where if Georgia Southern makes me look foolish again, then so be it. After entering the Sun Belt Tournament as the 10-seed, the Eagles have shockingly won five times in five days to reach the Final (pulled four outright upsets). This was a team that shot just 31.4% from three in conference play during the regular season (11th of 14 teams), yet has managed to hit a completely unsustainable 42% from beyond the arc over the L5 days (on high volume, no less). Monday night, with an automatic NCAA Tournament berth hanging in the balance, Georgia Southern will face top seed Troy, who has a massive rest edge, having needed to win only one game to reach this Tournament Final.
Speaking to the "unsustainability" of Georgia Southern’s three-point shooting during this tournament run, last night saw them go just 7 of 26 (27%) from three. So we’re already starting to see them slow down in that regard. Tonight, they’re up against the team that was #1 in the SBC in three-point percentage allowed (30.3%). Sure enough, when these teams met in the regular season, Troy held Ga Southern to just 11 of 32 (34%) from three in an 83-78 win and cover as 4.5-point road favorites. Last night, Troy held Southern Miss (who was playing their fourth game in as many days) to a paltry 2 of 19 (11%) from three.
Don’t be fooled by that 78-70 final score either. Troy dominated Southern Miss virtually wire to wire and was up by as many as 19 at one point. This despite shooting just 3 of 17 (18%) themselves from three. In that lone regular season matchup vs. Ga Southern, the Trojans averaged 1.3 points per possession. So they had their way offensively. I suspect Troy will be a lot better from three tonight than they were last night while Ga Southern’s three-point shooting clip is clearly due to regress. Troy also won't give up as many offensive rebounds as Marshall did last night. But, more than anything else, this is about the massive rest advantage. While Troy is playing just its second game in the tournament, Ga Southern is playing for an unprecedented sixth time in six days. 2% Troy (Play to -6)
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Ricky Tran
Event: (845) Weber State at (846) Eastern Washington: Moneyline
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 9, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Eastern Washington -148
Ricky's play on EWU.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Eastern Washington are 8-2 in their last 10 games.
- Eastern Washington are 6-4 in the last 10 meetings.
- Eastern Washington are playing their best ball of the season.
Verdict: The value is on the favorite.
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Jesse Schule
Event: (849) Santa Clara at (850) Saint Marys CA: Total
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 9, 2026 11:30 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Total Under 149.5 (-112)
This is a free play on Under.
This total has been bet up, despite the fact that these teams have gone under in four straight meetings. St. Mary's is first in the WCC in scoring defense, allowing just 64.2 points per game. Santa Clara has trended 18-12 to the under in all their games this season. I don't see either of these teams scoring 75 points.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Will Rogers
Event: (839) Furman at (840) East Tenn State: Moneyline
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 9, 2026 7:00 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: East Tenn State -115
My selection is a FREE PICK on East Tennessee State.
The Buccaneers managed to pull off the double digit comeback win in their semi final matchup yesterday. Today, I'm expecting them to be much more consistent. Other than offensive rebounding, ETSU actually has a really strong offense. If it's scoring buckets, no need to rebound for second chances anyways. Furman, today's matchup, has some stats that stand out (good and bad.) But overall, the Paladins are worse on both sides of the ball in terms of efficiency.
Play on ETSU.
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Brick Haus Sports
Event: (849) Santa Clara at (850) Saint Marys CA: Spread
Sport/League: CBB
Date/Time: March 9, 2026 11:30 PM EDT
Free College Basketball Pick Today: Santa Clara +4.5 (-110)
The Santa Clara is 25–7 overall, 15–3 mark in conference play, and an 8-3 record on the road. Santa Clara is putting up 83.5 points a game on 47% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points per game. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are 27–4 overall,16-2 in conference play, and 8-2 on the road. Saint Mary's is putting up 77.8 points on 46% shooting from the field and 38.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 64.9 points per game. Santa Clara has the better offense, but St. Mary's defense is elite and ranks seventh in the country, allowing 64 points a game. St. Mary's won last month by 19. Santa Clara needs this game to lay claim to a possible berth in the big dance without winning the tournament. Take the points.
Play on Santa Clara. This is a free play
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