Cubs as a small dog over the Padres makes sense because Chicago has already shown they match up well in this series, taking five of the six regular‑season meetings, including a 23‑3 blowout that highlighted the gap between these lineups . Matthew Boyd gives the Cubs a legitimate edge on the mound in Game 1, especially with how sharply he’s performed away from home this season. His road ERA sits at 2.86, far better than his 5.53 mark at Wrigley, and he’s been trusted in big spots down the stretch. Chicago also enters this matchup as one of the highest‑scoring teams in baseball, leading the majors with 850 runs and featuring Pete Crow‑Armstrong, who crushed Padres pitching all year, batting .364 with four homers and ten RBIs against them CBS SportsCBS Sports. San Diego has played well lately, but the Cubs’ familiarity with Petco Park, their success in this matchup, and Boyd’s strong road form make them a live underdog in Game 1.