Tom's WNBA Playoff Taunt
Washington Mystics +7.5 (-115) vs Atlanta Dream
Everyone's piling on Atlanta, and this line hasn't budged an inch. Fair — the Dream have won and covered their last five, and they're playing like a team that wants this series over quickly.
But Washington isn't walking in cold. They've won four straight and 7 of their last 8. Yes, they missed the cover in their last two games — but they were massive favorites in both, a completely different animal than being live dogs. Now they're getting points against a team they've already beaten twice head-to-head this season.
Atlanta should win Game 1 — home court, better roster, more talent. That part's not in question. The question is whether they cover 7.5 in a first-round opener against a team that owns them in the season series. That's a much tougher ask than just winning.
Washington's identity travels. Their offense doesn't have to catch fire on the road if they're getting stops and second-chance opportunities — that formula has beaten Atlanta twice already this year.
Give me the dog that just rode a four-game streak into a 5-seed over a 6.5-point home favorite in a series that's already produced two one-possession games between these two teams.
Take: Washington Mystics +7.5 (-115)
Let's cash some tickets!