Ceuta vs Sabadell
La Liga 2, Saturday, 10:30am ET
Play: Ceuta +0.25
Odds at Time of Release: -124
Line Parameter: Line good to -135
Reports from Spain (more precisely the press conference by Sabadell's manager) state that Sabadell are hit by a virus that has affected a lot of players (the exact number is unknown), so they are coming here with absences.
Considering that the team started their trip to Ceuta on Thursday, took an airplane, a bus and a ferry to Ceuta, things could get uglier as the ill could not be separated from the healthy, so we might see more players come down with that virus. Now let's look at stats/form.
Ceuta started the season really ugly with 5 losses with just 2 goals and 15 conceded, however they were extremely unlucky in that span, as their underlying numbers suggest they should've grabbed 4 points, should've scored 5.4 goals and should've conceded 11.6. Statistical correction came, and now Ceuta are unbeaten in L/3 (W1 D2) and are looking to add to that tally at home against an illness-struck Sabadell side, who also lost their top goalscorer with a season-ending injury.
Sabadell were promoted last season and are holding their own in the La Liga 2 with a W3 D4 L1 record and 13 points to their name. However, this is a long trip, with several players suffering from a virus and without their top striker, against a team that is starting to wake up and is looking to, at the very least, avoid a loss.
This is a 3* Play on Ceuta +0.25 (-124), line good to -135. That's a split line of Ceuta +0.0 and Ceuta +0.5, meaning that we win this bet if Ceuta win, we get half win/half push if it's a draw, and we lose the bet if Ceuta lose.
