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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (551) Los Angeles Lakers at (552) Phoenix Suns | 9:10pm EST - Feb 26/2026 |
The PLAY: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Lakers -4.5 (-110)
Los Angeles Lakers (34-23) visit the Phoenix Suns (33-26). Using the stats, insights, and tools over at TheMoneyBaller.com, the play is Los Angeles Lakers -4.5.
The Lakers enter in a spot to bounce-back after dropping a heartbreaker at home to the Magic. They also have two Baller Systems supporting them: "Back late season medium road favorites" (15-9-1 this season, 62.5%) and "Back road favorite off loss as a home favorite" (17-13, 56.7%). On the other side, Phoenix is playing their 4th game in 6 nights — a punishing schedule that should show up in the fourth quarter.
Historical Matchups: The Suns have been profitable against the Lakers historically, but tonight should be different. The Lakers are completely healthy (their "Big 3" of Luka, Lebron, and Reaves are all in without restrictions) and the Suns come in severely lacking in health, missing both Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks. No model will get to this price, but the Suns are not who they have been.
Statistical Edges: The Lakers have advantages in Offensive Rating (116.98, 8th vs. 115.3, 15th), dominant Paint FG% (62.64, 1st), and are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to FT Rate (31.97, 1st vs. 22.09, 29th), and EFG% (56.79, 2nd vs. 53.3, 20th). Without 2/3 of their primary scorers in Booker and Brooks this gulf will only widen.
Trends to Note: The most compelling trend is the Suns at just 27.3% (3-8) ATS at home in the last 30 days — among the worst marks in the league. Meanwhile, the Lakers are 75% (6-2) ATS as a favorite over the same stretch. Full season, Lakers as an away favorite sit at a strong 10-5 ATS (66.7%), and they cover at 68.8% as a favorite in the 2.5-7 range — right where this line sits.
The Suns' have lost the last 5 games ATS and I expect that to become 6 tonight. Take Lakers -4.5.
Consultant Bio
The Money Baller is powered by experienced sports bettors who blend modeling and profitable systems to deliver disciplined, transparent picks. We consolidate insights, trends, and tools into one platform that saves you hours while helping you make sharper betting decisions.
Our model and system-driven picks are powered by three contributors with deep, complementary backgrounds in sports betting:
• Zach Katagiri (Founder) – Architect of The Money Baller platform, responsible for the site, proprietary models, and data-driven approach that anchors our analysis.
• Ronald Cabang – Professional handicappers and former WagerTalk contributor. Also known as @YoucapperSports on all socials, Ronald brings nearly 20 years of sports betting experience.
• Austin Wang – Former writer and contributor at Action Network, specializing in analytical breakdowns, beAng trends, and actionable angles across major sports.