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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (431) Los Angeles Rams at (432) Atlanta Falcons: Total | 8:15pm EST - Dec 29/2025 |
The PLAY: Total Under 49.5 (+100)
If this matchup ends up grinding its way under the number, it won’t be because the offenses can’t move the ball — it’ll be because both teams have been playing tight, situational football in spots exactly like this, and the trends point hard toward a slower script. The Rams are 0‑5 to the Under in their last five Monday night games, and Atlanta is even deeper into that pattern, sitting 0‑6 to the Under in their last six Monday nighters and 1‑7 to the Under as a home dog of more than six. The season numbers back up the idea of a controlled, efficiency‑driven game rather than a shootout: the Rams score 30.5 ppg, but their defense is top‑six in points allowed at 19.9, and they’ve held opponents under 20 in three of their last five. Atlanta’s offense hasn’t shown the firepower to force pace, averaging 20.5 ppg with only 3,397 passing yards on the season, and their home scoring has been even more inconsistent. Both defenses also match up in ways that slow games down — the Rams are top‑10 against the run, Atlanta is top‑10 against the pass, and neither team gives up many explosive plays. Add in that Atlanta’s last three home games have averaged just 28.6 total points, and the Rams’ last five have produced only one true shootout, and this sets up as a game where long drives, red‑zone stalls, and conservative decision‑making keep the total from ever threatening the high 40s. With both teams’ Monday‑night tendencies pointing the same direction and the matchup leaning toward controlled possessions, Under 49.5 fits the way this one is likely to unfold.
Consultant Bio
David Hess has earned his place as one of the most trusted and respected handicappers in the industry. With years of experience analyzing games across all major college and professional sports, David brings a unique blend of passion, precision, and statistical expertise to his craft. Whether it’s football on Saturday afternoons, baseball in the heat of summer, or basketball under the bright lights of March, David has built a reputation for consistently delivering results.
At the heart of David’s success is his keen eye for totals. While many handicappers focus on sides, David has carved out a niche by specializing in Over/Under plays, where he consistently identifies value others often overlook. Totals betting requires not only an understanding of matchups, but also pace, efficiency, and situational factors that go beyond the box score. David excels at weaving these elements together, blending advanced metrics, historical data, and real-time information to produce plays that give bettors an edge. Over the course of his career, he has hit more than 61% of his college football totals, a remarkable level of consistency that has made him a go-to source for bettors who want reliable winners.
But David’s expertise extends far beyond totals. He is a true all-around handicapper, covering the full spectrum of sports with confidence and accuracy. In the NFL, David’s ability to read line movement and anticipate public perception gives him an edge week after week. On the college football side, he dives deep into team tendencies, coaching styles, and matchup advantages, producing insights that often uncover value the oddsmakers miss. In MLB, David shines by evaluating bullpens, advanced hitting splits, and situational angles that allow him to consistently cash tickets. Basketball is another area of strength, where his understanding of tempo and efficiency metrics helps him dominate both NBA and college hoops.
David’s approach is not about chasing big wins with reckless wagers—it’s about long-term, disciplined success. He treats handicapping as both an art and a science, combining data-driven analysis with intuition developed through years of experience. His clients know they’re not just getting plays; they’re getting plays backed by hours of research and proven methodology.
One of the reasons bettors trust David is his transparency and honesty. He takes pride in his record, openly sharing his results and letting his track record speak for itself. In an industry where hype can often outweigh substance, David separates himself by delivering exactly what he promises: consistent, profitable picks.
Above all, David Hess is passionate about helping his clients win. He understands that every bettor is looking for an edge, and his job is to provide it. By focusing on what he does best—breaking down games, analyzing totals, and uncovering hidden value—David continues to prove why he is considered one of the sharpest handicappers in the game today.
Whether you’re a casual bettor looking for some action on the weekend, or a serious investor focused on building profits long term, David Hess has the knowledge, experience, and winning track record to help you succeed.