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Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (955) St. Louis Cardinals at (956) Washington Nationals: Moneyline | 6:45pm EDT - Apr 6/2026 |
The PLAY: St. Louis Cardinals -115 Action
2% St. Louis (6:45 ET): I understand that the Cardinals are having to travel (from Detroit) after playing on Sunday Night Baseball. But, all things considered, this is a pretty cheap price to fade the Nationals. To that point, the Nats have closed +142 or higher on the ML for all nine of their games this season. Now they did face the Cubs, Phillies and Dodgers, three teams all stronger than St. Louis. However, I just don’t think you can blindly fade teams coming off a Sunday Night game. Here, I just think St. Louis is the better team. Any minimal rest advantage for Washington is not significant enough to swing me in the other direction.
The fact is Washington is not a good team. They’ve lost five in a row and the pitching staff just allowed 31 runs in a three-game sweep at the hands of the Dodgers over the weekend. Zach Littell is scheduled to start for the Nationals on Monday. Be sure to choose “action” when making this bet because the Nats did use an opener in front of Littell in his first start, which saw the right-hander allow two home runs while striking out only one batter. The Nats’ bullpen also continues to be a major issue. That group ranked dead last in ERA a season ago and is bottom five so far in 2026 after blowing all of a five-run lead on Sunday. By the way, the start of yesterday’s finale with the Dodgers was delayed by rain for two hours. So there’s really very little rest edge for the Nats with the Cardinals coming off the Sunday night game.
St. Louis won Sunday night, avoiding the sweep by beating the Tigers 5-3 (as +120 ML underdogs). The offense has been feast or famine for the Cardinals, but they’ve allowed four runs or less in five of the last six games. Everyone scores on Washington, so not concerned about the Cards putting up runs here. As far as the pitching goes, starter Andre Pallante tossed five shutout innings (against the Mets) in his ‘26 debut. Safe to say, the Cards have the edge in both starting and relief pitching in this particular matchup. 2% St. Louis (Play to -130)
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| SOC | (200313) Stoke City at (200314) Derby County: 3-Way Moneyline | 10:00am EDT - Apr 6/2026 |
The PLAY: Derby County -110
3% Derby County (10:00 AM ET): This is a huge match for Derby County in terms of staying in the race for the Promotion Playoff down in the EFL Championship. Despite losing to 1st place Coventry City on Friday, the Rams enter matchweek 41 sitting 8th in the table, but just four points back of 6th place Wrexham for the final playoff spot. Wrexham will face 7th place Southampton Tuesday. So at least one of the two sides directly in front of Derby County is going to drop points this week. If they share, then a win here for Derby will have them right in the playoff mix. I’ll back what should be a motivated home team here as they’ve won four straight at Pride Park while conceding only two goals.
Friday’s loss to Coventry City was tough in that Derby Country twice erased a one-goal deficit, only to concede the eventual game-winning goal in the 80th minute. But again, considering the opposition and that it was an away match, that result doesn’t concern me. Just like Stoke City’s 2-0 win over Sheffield United, without question the worst team in the league this season, isn’t a “game-changer” for me. That’s a Sheffield United club that hasn’t won a league match since September. Stoke still sit 12th in the table and are 10 points back of the last playoff spot. So I question them being able to match Derby County’s motivation for this fixture.
Motivation is obviously just one part of the equation. However, again, we’re also getting a nice discount on the home side due to last Friday’s respective results. Remember that Derby County lost to the best team in the league, away, while Stoke City beat them worst team in the league at home. Speaking of home, not only has Derby County won four straight at Pride Park (by an aggregate score of 8-2), but Stoke has lost four straight away Championship matches and have scored just once in their last six trips here. All the signs seemingly point towards the hosts picking up all three points in this one. 3% Derby County (Play to -125)
Consultant Bio
After spending the previous decade at Covers Experts, Bryan Power has wasted little time establishing himself. A consistent winner since first emerging on the scene back in 2011, Power didn't have a single losing calendar year in his first decade as a pro handicapper! In April & May of this year (2022), he went on an amazing 154-99-2 (+$41,322) with all plays!
Power handicaps football (both NFL and college), basketball (NBA and college), MLB, Soccer (most major European leagues), and the UFC. He uses a personal set of power ratings, combined with situational handicapping, to make his selections. Multiple bets per day across multiple sports are the norm.