VERY EARLY JULY 4TH WORLD CUP "CLUB 70" RELEASE (3-0 L2 YEARS, 7-1 L4 YEARS!)

Today’s Free Picks

The PLAY: Colombia to Reach the Quarterfinals

If you were living under a sports betting rock and didn't know what the pre-match odds were, you never would have known that Colombia was a fairly-sizable underdog against Portugal on Friday. Colombia out-played Portugal by a healthy margin in Miami, and if it hadn't been for the out-stretched toe nail of Davinson Sanchez on a highly-questionable offside call, the Colombians would have earned nine points in the group stage. Colombia enjoyed a 1.70-0.92 advantage in expected goals and out-shot Portugal 24-13 with 15 of those shots coming from inside the box. We tip our cap to Ghana for advancing from Group L, but Colombia should handle this first test with relative ease. Ghana deserves plenty of credit for earning that 0-0 draw against England, but England was not overly impressive in any of its three group stage matches. A 2-1 loss to Croatia and a 1-0 win over Panama aren't moving the needle for us, and Colombia should handle business in the Round of 32. They would play the winner of Switzerland-Algeria after that, and we have some major concerns about Switzerland's fitness in this tournament. In the group stage opener against Qatar, the Swiss completely ran out of gas in the second half as they allowed Qatar to score the game-tying goal in the 94th minute. The same thing nearly happened again in the finale against Canada where the Swiss only generated a total of six shots. All three goals that Switzerland has allowed in this tournament have come after the 75th minute. The longer the Swiss stay in this event, the louder we'll be asking questions about their fitness. The opposite is true for Colombia, who have made deep runs in the last two editions of Copa America. Colombia has plenty of tournament experience and they appear to be hitting their stride heading into the knockout round.

The PLAY: Rafael Devers Bases Over 1.5 (-119) Action

It's been a tough season for Rafael Devers, but the Giants' first baseman has found some power over the last three weeks. Since June 13, Devers is hitting .304 with six home runs. Devers brings a six-game hitting streak to Colorado and he's cleared this 1.5 bases prop in eight of his last 16 games. During a three-game series at Coors Field earlier this season, Devers went 6-for-14 with three doubles and a triple. He also hit two home runs at Coors Field last season. Devers has struggled with strikeouts this year, but when he's put the ball on the bat, the ball has traveled. He enters Friday in the top-10th percentile among hitters in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. Devers is also hitting below .200 against lefty pitching this year, but he will see a preferred righty in Ryan Feltner this evening. Devers has hit 33 of his 40 extra-base hits against righties. Feltner missed five weeks earlier this season and the Rockies are treating him carefully. Feltner has largely pitched well this season, but he has not gone past the sixth inning in any of his 11 starts. That means we will likely see plenty of work from the Rockies' bullpen, which is one of the worst relief units in baseball. Brennan Bernardino has pitched on back-to-back days and is presumably unavailable tonight. Zach Agnos was used for 2.0 innings on Thursday, so he is presumably unavailable tonight. The Giants' lineup should be seeing the bottom-tier of the Rockies bullpen on Friday, so even if Feltner has a nice start, Devers should see some opportunities in the second half of this game.