Free German Bundesliga Predictions for April 17

Bryan Power

Event: (202401) FC Koln at (202402) St. Pauli: Spread

Sport/League: GBL

Date/Time: April 17, 2026 2:30 PM EDT

Free German Bundesliga Pick Today: FC Koln 0.0 (-109)

I'd play FC Koln Draw No Bet on Friday as the Billy Goats open matchweek 30 of the Bundesliga season at relegation-threatened St. Pauli. Koln picked up a crucial three points last week by beating Werder Bremen 3-1. As a result, they are now five points clear of the relegation spots, which seems pretty safe with only five matches left to go in the season. Now unbeaten in the last four matches, Koln have found the back of the net eight times the last three weeks.

Meanwhile, St. Pauli still have work to do as they currently occupy 16th place in the table, which would mean going to the relegation playoff. An automatic drop is still not out of the question either. Both Opta and Understat have the Kiezkickers dead last in the Bundesliga when it comes to expected points. Last week's 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Bayern Munich wasn't totally unexpected, but St. Pauli are now winless over their last five matches with only two goals scored.

So not only are we protected (in case of a draw) with - clearly - the more in-form side here, but Koln have owned St. Pauli through the years. Unbeaten in the last seven head to head matchups, including five wins, Koln should get all three points here. The reverse fixture, played back in December, ended in a 1-1 draw. But St. Pauli, the lowest scoring team in the Bundesliga this season, created just 0.14 xG. Koln are also (obviously) in much better form now.

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